Tom Gross Mideast Media Analysis

Saudis warn against New Year’s celebrations (& 13th victim of attack on school bus dies)

December 31, 2013

Mother of seven Sarah Sharon was 38 when she was raped and stabbed to death in Holon on January 20 1993

 

* Lebanese cleric: “Saying ‘Merry Christmas’ is worse than fornication, alcohol, or killing someone.”

* Malaysian Muslim group: New Year’s parties are “a plot by Jews” to cause Muslim youths to commit sins, by mixing with the opposite sex and possibly drinking alcohol.

* The Israeli Christian community is the only Christian community left in the Middle East that is still growing.

* The (London) Daily Mail: “Check YouTube for pictures of la quenelle at weddings and parties, by soldiers, policemen, on ski trips and, of course, at Auschwitz. In one reel, it is shown performed at the Holocaust memorials in Berlin and New York, on a deportation wagon in Drancy, outside synagogues in Paris, Bordeaux, Budapest and Barcelona, and on innumerable rues de la Juiverie. Quenelliers stand laughing while posing in the act outside the Creche Israelite de Paris or the Memorial des Camps de la Mort. So it is preposterous to believe Anelka did not know what he was doing, or the association.”

***

I attach a variety of items below.

You can see these and other items that are not in these dispatches if you "like" this page: www.facebook.com/TomGrossMedia.

 

CONTENTS

1. Saudi religious police warn against New Year’s celebrations
2. Malaysian Muslim group calls for New Year parties to be canceled because they are “Jewish”
3. Somalia government bans Christmas
4. Israel’s Christian population continued to grow in 2013
5. 13th victim of terrorist attack on bus of children from Avivim dies
6. NBA player Tony Parker apologizes for Nazi-like gesture – while English-based soccer star stops short of full apology
7. Fatah: Hamas should disengage from “terrorist” Muslim Brotherhood
8. Egypt anti-terror prosecutors interrogate al-Jazeera English team
9. Farage calls on UK government to take in Syrian refugees
10. “Anelka should be banned for 16 games… this was twice as harmful as Suarez baiting Evra or Terry targeting Anton” (Daily Mail Sport)


[Notes below by Tom Gross]

SAUDI RELIGIOUS POLICE WARN AGAINST NEW YEAR’S CELEBRATIONS

Saudi Arabia’s religious police have warned people against celebrating New Year’s Eve, the Saudi daily paper Okaz reports.

The Commission for the Promotion of Virtue and the Prevention of Vice, known unofficially as Mutawaa, said violators will be severely punished.

Saudi Arabia follows the Muslim lunar calendar, unlike other Gulf states that use the Gregorian calendar.

Members of the commission enforce the kingdom’s religious rules, including the strict segregation of men and women, and forcing women to cover from head to toe in public.

 

MALAYSIAN MUSLIM GROUP CALLS FOR NEW YEAR PARTIES TO BE CANCELED BECAUSE THEY ARE “JEWISH”

ArabianBusiness.com reports that a Malaysian Muslim group has called for New Year’s parties to be cancelled tonight because they are supposedly “a plot by Jews” to cause Muslim youths to commit sins, by mixing with the opposite sex and possibly drinking alcohol.

(The Jewish New Year is held, of course, in the fall, and not on December 31, which is the Christian New Year.)

***

In Indonesia, the “Guardians of Sharia law in Aceh” group have forced a major vacation resort hotel to cancel New Year’s celebrations this evening.

 

SOMALIA GOVERNMENT BANS CHRISTMAS

The Somali Government released an edict on Tuesday (Christmas Eve) banning the celebration of Christian festivities in the country.

The Director General of the Ministry of Justice and Religious Affairs, Sheikh Mohamed Khayrow Aden, and the Director of Religious Matters, Sheikh Ali Sheikh Mohamud, held a press conference in the capital Mogadishu, to make the announcement.

The ban came into effect just hours before Christmas Day.

Sheikh Aden said that copies of the directive were delivered to hotels and other meeting places in Mogadishu to warn non-Muslim foreign workers and residents against celebrating Christmas.

It is the first time that a Somali government has banned Christmas.

***

In 2011, Lebanese-born cleric Abu Musaab Wajdi Akkar said that “saying ‘Merry Christmas’ is worse than fornication, alcohol, or killing someone.”

***

Last week, in the latest in a long line of lies, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas used his annual Christmas holiday message to again claim that Jesus was a Palestinian Arab (when of course Jesus was a Jew – and were he alive today, might be regarded as a Jewish settler in the West Bank town of Bethlehem).

 

ISRAEL’S CHRISTIAN POPULATION CONTINUED TO GROW IN 2013

According to the latest census figures released by the Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics, there are around 161,000 Christians living in Israel, comprising about 2 percent of the population. This is an increase from 158,000 Christians at the end of 2012.

Nearly 80 percent of these Christians are Arab, while the majority of the remaining 20 percent are from the former Soviet Union.

The Israeli Christian community is the only Christian community left in the Middle East that is still growing. Christians now make up only 4 percent of the region’s total population, a dramatic decrease from 20 percent a century ago.

***

The Israeli army has also observed a rise in Christian-Arab enlistment recently.

***

The Associated Press reports that suspected Islamic militants killed 12 civilians in weekend attacks on two Christian villages in Muslim-dominated northeast Nigeria. One attack targeted a wedding reception, where eight victims were murdered.

***

At least 34 people were killed in bomb attacks on people leaving Church Christmas services in Baghdad on Christmas Day.

 

13TH VICTIM OF TERRORIST ATTACK ON BUS OF CHILDREN FROM AVIVIM DIES

43 years after nine of her young classmates (aged 8 and 9) and three adults were murdered en route to school in the upper Galilee, Leah Revivo (52) died last week from an infection from a fragment from terrorists’ fire that lodged in her brain.

Tom Gross adds:

Last night, under pressure from the Obama administration, Israel released 26 further convicted Palestinian terrorists.

They included Muammar Mahmoud and Salah Ibrahim, convicted of murdering Menahem Stern, a history professor at Hebrew University in 1989; Yakoub Ramadan, convicted of the multiple rape and murder of 38-year-old mother of seven Sara Sharon in 1993; Barham Nasser who stabbed to death his employer, father of nine Morris Edri, in 1993; Damara Ibrahim Mustafa Bilal who murdered Steven Rosenfeld, 48, a New York native; Abu Mohsin Khaled Ibrahim Jamal who murdered gardener Shlomo Yehiya, 76, a father of six who was stabbed to death during the Sukkot holiday; and Tamimi Rushdi Muhammad Sa’id who murdered Haim Mizrahi, 30, while he was buying eggs, leaving behind a pregnant wife.

Members of the families of the prisoners’ victims have been begging the Israeli government not to release the murderers. The vast majority of the Israeli public opposes the release.

Almost no one in Israel can understand why Barack Obama and John Kerry have forced Israel to release convicted terrorists, almost all of whom were responsible for murdering Israeli civilians (and several of whom also killed Palestinian moderates) before any peace deal has even been signed with the Palestinians.

If you haven’t read it already, you may want to read the piece by terror victim Adi Moses which I had translated and published earlier this year: “Because if he is released, I will no longer be able to live” - But me, you do not really know at all .

* The release of prisoners in recent weeks has been marked not by peaceful reciprocal gestures towards Israel, but by an increase in the number of murders and attempted murders of Israelis (including a bus bomb last week in the Israeli coastal town of Bat Yam), and from sniper and rocket fire from Gaza and Lebanon.

* Nearly half of the 13,000 terrorists whom Israel has released since 1985 resumed terrorist activities either as planners of attacks, executors of attacks, or accessories.

 

NBA PLAYER TONY PARKER APOLOGIZES FOR NAZI-LIKE GESTURE – WHILE ENGLISH-BASED SOCCER STAR STOPS SHORT OF FULL APOLOGY

(I write in some detail because of the disgraceful misreporting in some international media, including broadcasts on the BBC and reports in The Guardian, failing to explain who Dieudonne is and implying that Anelka is the innocent party. One paper that has reported on it accurately is the Daily Mail, and I include an article from the Daily Mail’s sports pages at the end of this dispatch.)

***

San Antonio Spurs guard Tony Parker has apologized for using the “quenelle” Nazi-like gesture invented by the notorious anti-Semite and Holocaust denier, the French entertainer Dieudonne M’bala M’bala.

Parker said he will “never again repeat the gesture,” and expressed his hope that the incident would “serve to educate others that we need to be more aware that things that may seem innocuous can actually have a history of hate and hurt” and incitement to kill.

Several prominent French public figures including soccer star Mamadou Sakho and TV journalist Yann Barthes have all been photographed making the gesture. Alain Sorel, an anti-Semitic filmmaker, was also seen posing at the Berlin Holocaust memorial, and in September, two French soldiers were punished for displaying the quenelle in front of a Paris synagogue they were supposed to be guarding.

Meanwhile, English-based French soccer star Nicolas Anelka has still not properly apologized for his use of the gesture after scoring a goal for English soccer club West Bromwich Albion earlier this week.

Jewish groups accused Anelka of “mainstreaming anti-Semitic hate” and criticized the West Brom coach and sections of the British media for defending Anelka.

The “quenelle” has been used by followers of Dieudonne in front of Nazi concentration camps, synagogues and Holocaust day memorials.

On Friday, French Interior Minister Manuel Valls, said that his ministry was looking for legal ways to ban Dieudonne’s shows which are rife with encouragement to harm Jews and Holocaust survivors.

Dieudonne’s film, “The Anti-Semite,” was banned from the Cannes Film Festival last year. He has also openly supported former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s Holocaust denial and said museums that educate about the Holocaust were “pornography.”

Dieudonne also tells his audience that Jews spread the Aids virus in Africa, and the Jews made up the Holocaust.

Anelka is believed to be one of his followers. France’s Minister for Sport, Valerie Fourneyron, said that, “Anelka’s gesture is a shocking and disgusting provocation. Anti-Semitism or incitement to hatred has no place on the football field.”

Dieudonne has defended the torture and killing of a young French Jew, Ilan Halimi, hunted down in Paris, and he has demanded Halimi’s killers should be released from prison.

(For more on the murder of Halimi and the reaction to it, please see this article.)

 

FATAH: HAMAS SHOULD DISENGAGE FROM “TERRORIST” MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD

The Palestinian Fatah movement has called on Hamas to disengage from the Muslim Brotherhood to protect the Palestinian people from “atrocities,” Egypt’s state-run news agency MENA reported.

The statement comes after the decision of Egypt’s interim government to officially declare the Muslim Brotherhood a terrorist group.

Ahmed Assaf, the spokesman for Fatah, said that the continuation of Hamas’s “subordination” to the international Muslim Brotherhood organization will put millions of Palestinians -- especially those in the Hamas-ruled Gaza Strip -- in confrontation with several Arab states, including Egypt.

“This will lead to a dangerous security and economic situation that will threaten the future and lives of the people in Gaza,” Assaf said.

Hamas is an ideological offshoot of the Muslim Brotherhood.

 

EGYPT ANTI-TERROR PROSECUTORS INTERROGATE AL-JAZEERA ENGLISH TEAM

Egyptian state security prosecutors interrogated a team of four journalists (including an Australian) working for Al-Jazeera’s English channel who were arrested on Monday in Cairo. State security prosecutors usually investigate cases involving national security or terrorism.

Egypt has long accused Al-Jazeera of bias in favor of the Muslim Brotherhood of ousted President Mohammed Morsi. But so far its crackdown on the network has mostly targeted its Arabic service and a local branch focusing on Egypt coverage.

 

FARAGE CALLS ON UK GOVERNMENT TO TAKE IN SYRIAN REFUGEES

Nigel Farage, the leader of the UK Independence Party (which is often viewed as being anti-immigrant), has called on the British government to start admitting refugees fleeing the Syrian civil war into Britain.

Farage, who has been at the forefront of the opposition to migrants from Bulgaria and Romania being granted free access to the UK, said that those displaced by conflict are in a very different position to those wanting to enter the country from Europe.

“I think refugees are a very different thing to economic migration and I think that this country should honor the spirit of the 1951 declaration on refugee status that was agreed,” he told BBC News.

“I think actually there is a responsibility on all of us in the free West to try and help some of those people in Syria fleeing literally in fear of their lives.”

The British government has consistently rejected calls to take in any Syrian refugees.

***

Tom Gross adds: Regime air strikes on the northern Syrian city of Aleppo have killed at least 517 people since December 15, including 151 children and 46 women, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said.

Among the deaths, last Saturday, Assad’s helicopters dropped TNT-packed barrels on a vegetable market and next to a hospital in Aleppo city, killing at least 25 civilians, including children.

***

I attach one article below.


ARTICLE

Anelka should be banned for 16 games... this was twice as harmful as Suarez baiting Evra or Terry targeting Anton when you consider the thought behind it
By Martin Samuel
Daily Mail Sports correspondent
December 29, 2013

www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-2530753/MARTIN-SAMUEL-What-Nicolas-Anelka-did-twice-bad-Luis-Suarez-John-Terry-episodes.html

Dieudonne M’bala M’bala is an extremist. He started on the left, which drew him towards events in Palestine and Israel, and as this obsession grew he moved right, to Holocaust denial, 9/11 conspiracy theories, flirtations with the language and actions of anti-Semitism and hanging around with Jean-Marie Le Pen, the former president of Front National.

Dieudonne is a comedian. In 2008, he gave the academic and Holocaust denier Robert Faurisson an ‘insolent outcast’ prize on stage in Paris. The award was presented by an assistant dressed in a concentration camp outfit, complete with yellow star. Perhaps you had to be there.

In pursuit of more laughs, Dieudonne created a gesture he called la quenelle. He equates it to defiance of the system, although others believe it has quasi-Nazi intent and is nakedly used to bait Jews. Nicolas Anelka made it after scoring for West Bromwich on Saturday.

Like Josip Simunic of Croatia, who took over a loudspeaker system to shout an extreme nationalist slogan following a World Cup win over Iceland and was banned for 10 matches, Anelka says he is surprised by the reaction to his celebration. Anelka insists he was merely showing solidarity with a friend, but this apparent lack of awareness should be approached with caution.

Dieudonne has been convicted on eight occasions of offences linked to anti-Semitism – as well as a more recent court appearance, in which he was fined close to £700,000 for tax evasion – has links to Iran and Hezbollah and the implications of la quenelle have been discussed by President Francois Hollande.

Until now, the stance has been that the gesture is too vague to invite prosecution, but as its use has grown, so the government has become nervous.

It is easy to understand why. Check YouTube for pictures of la quenelle at weddings and parties, by soldiers, policemen, on ski trips and, of course, at Auschwitz. In one reel, it is shown performed at the Holocaust memorials in Berlin and New York, on a deportation wagon in Drancy, outside synagogues in Paris, Bordeaux, Budapest and Barcelona, at the Wailing Wall and on innumerable rues de la Juiverie.

Quenelliers stand laughing while posing in the act outside the Creche Israelite de Paris or the Memorial des Camps de la Mort. So it is preposterous to believe Anelka did not know what he was doing, or the association.

He says he was acting in support of a friend. Yet support against what? If he knows Dieudonne requires support, then he is aware of the issues.

‘We will act to shake the tranquillity which, under the cover of anonymity, facilitates shameful actions online,’ said Hollande. ‘But also we will fight against the sarcasm of those who purport to be humourists but are actually professional anti-Semites.’ This has been interpreted as a direct reference to Dieudonne.

So Hollande knows the score and so, almost certainly, did Anelka. Keith Downing, caretaker manager of West Brom, didn’t, so he made a fool of himself by defending his player. ‘I think the speculation can be stopped now, it is rubbish really,’ said Downing. ‘Nicolas is totally unaware of what the problems were. It has got nothing to do with what is being said.’

Oh yes it has. La quenelle is a way of making a semi-Nazi gesture without getting arrested, just as Dieudonne’s coining of the term shoananas – crushing the Hebrew word for Holocaust into the French word for pineapple – has become a cute way to deny the Holocaust without contravening French laws.

Many quenelliers pose with pineapples in their pictures. Indeed, the controversy around these antics are such that to be Dieudonne’s friend, or his fan, and not know this, would be akin to claiming to be on Team Nigella while professing not to be aware of any drug allegations.

This is what Dieudonne is, this is what he does, la quenelle defines him – and now Anelka has brought that ghastly package to a wider audience. And some of them will be receptive.

If you didn’t know la quenelle before – and chances are, you didn’t – you do now and do not doubt that there will be imitators. So, what Anelka did was twice as harmful to British sport and British society as Luis Suarez’s baiting of Patrice Evra, or John Terry’s riposte to Anton Ferdinand.

What Suarez said, what Terry said, was for private consumption, no matter how unpalatable. It was in the context of a game, and was not intended to be heard beyond that game. There was no message to the wider world, no belief system.

It was abuse, pure and simple. Horrid, racist abuse, but ultimately meaningless. Like ranting nutters on the train, the words may be offensive but they do not go anywhere.
Anelka’s gesture does. It causes ripples. It introduces people to a cynical way to deny the Holocaust, or strike an anti-Semitic pose without getting arrested. YouTube is full of quenelliers posing beside unsuspecting Hasidic Jews or Jewish celebrities, who smile dumbly, while the friendly stranger makes a gesture designed to demean and humiliate them.

Anelka brought this to a wider audience, and he did so knowingly. His best defence would be that the gesture was spontaneous; he scored, and did not think too hard about the ramifications of his celebration. To suggest an innocent misunderstanding, though, insults our intelligence.

English football has many problems, but anti-Semitism is not high among them. Yes, there are one or two grounds where sinister hissing noises can be heard when Tottenham visit, and the whole Yid Army debate has dragged the game into a moral maze but, for the most part, Jewish football fans can attend matches without feeling threatened. Anelka has jeopardised that.

What if la quenelle catches on? What if the Football Association take action against him and a section of the crowd at West Brom start doing it in support of their striker? What if fans visiting White Hart Lane begin making it? Cries of ‘Yid Army’ at one end, massed ranks of quenelliers at the other?

What if Anelka has thoughtlessly, uncaringly introduced a set of issues to English football that simply did not exist before December 28, 2013?

He is not Dieudonne’s only friend over here. At least two Newcastle United players are acquaintances of his as well.

Mamadou Sakho of Liverpool claims he was tricked into making la quenelle for the camera last month. Yet what if Anelka’s display catches on? Anti-social behaviour that is not stopped is as good as encouraged. Where does this end?

The FA have a dilemma. Performing la quenelle isn’t, without context, an illegal or offensive act. As the French have found, whatever the meaning, its design is subtle enough to evade prosecution. It is not out there like the verbal attacks of Suarez or Terry. It is insidious. It permeates. And, as such, its potential for spiteful harm is far greater.
There will always be racist words and racist speech. The right people deplore racism, the wrong people embrace it, society deals with it as best it can and moves on.

This is different. Through the decades, the strongest reason for the English league to resist an outstretched hand to Rangers and Celtic has been that the fan culture of those clubs is based on religious division.

Nobody in England cares who is Protestant or Catholic, so why introduce sectarianism? The same can be said of la quenelle.

This is not about free speech or freedom of expression. There is no freedom to falsely shout ‘fire’ in a crowded cinema. Not all words and gestures are permissible.

Once Britain became aware of the meaning of Anelka’s gesture – and in our modern social media world it did not take long for the outrage felt in France to filter over here – the danger was obvious.

We do not know where this goes now and can only hope that Anelka and his comedian friend do not become a cause celebre.

Despite this, any punishment should be exemplary. Suarez received eight matches, double that would not be too harsh. Were Anelka not seen again this season it will be no loss, and no injustice.

This is not a gesture without meaning. There is a philosophy here, one that has no place on the football field or beyond. The creator of la quenelle knew what he was doing; so did Anelka. It is time to kick him out, no matter his denials.

As the world rightfully mourns Mandela, how many people can name a single North Korean victim?

December 29, 2013

North Korea’s Camp 14: Total Control Zone

 

AS THE WORLD MOURNS NELSON MANDELA, HOW MANY PEOPLE CAN NAME A SINGLE NORTH KOREAN VICTIM?

[Note by Tom Gross]

As the year draws to a close, and while the world media and politicians focus on conflicts in Africa, such as those in South Sudan and the Central African Republic, and to some extent on this week’s violence in the Middle East, in Iraq, Syria and Egypt, it is worth remembering the atrocious situations in two of the worst countries in the world: North Korea, and Belarus.

Belarus is a country which borders the European Union, but which the EU spends very little time considering even though its people are, as Andrei Sannikov writes, repressed by a brutal dictator more ruthless and despotic than Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych and Russian President Vladimir Putin combined.

And as David Feith writes below, while the world trivializes the situation in North Korea, whether through spoofs from the creators of “South Park” or Elle magazine touting the trendiness of “North Korea chic” distinguished by “sharp buckles and clasps and take-no-prisoners tailoring,” or Dennis Rodman celebrating Kim Jong Un as a “friend for life,” the plight of millions of North Koreans barely registers on the world stage.

As the world mourns Nelson Mandela, how many people can name a single North Korean victim?

***

I attach two articles below. David Feith is an editorial writer at The Wall Street Journal Asia, and a subscriber to this email list. Andrei Sannikov, a former political prisoner and opposition leader in Belarus, now lives in exile in Warsaw.


“COULDN’T HAVE HAPPENED TO A NICER GUY”

North Korea’s Dennis Rodman Problem
By David Feith
Wall Street Journal
December 19, 2013

Now we know what it takes to turn world attention to the horrors of North Korea. Last week’s purge of Pyongyang’s second-in-command was a state TV spectacle, with soldiers dragging Jang Song-thaek from an official meeting and later marching him into court, hunched over and handcuffed. Jang’s execution occurred off-screen – likely by firing squad – but the central news agency’s announcement was vivid in its own way, calling Jang “despicable human scum” who “was worse than a dog.”

Couldn’t have happened to a nicer guy. Jang had been near the pinnacle of North Korean power since marrying into the ruling family in 1972. As brother-in-law to former leader Kim Jong Il and uncle to current leader Kim Jong Un, he helped keep his country’s 24 million people captive and miserable.

Thanks in part to Jang’s work, no North Korean can travel, speak or worship freely. As many as 2.5 million North Koreans died of starvation or related illness in the mid-1990s, according to Andrew Natsios, author of “The Great North Korean Famine.” That was one-tenth of the population. One million more have perished in political prisons, or kwalliso, where 200,000 still languish. Across this gulag, the dead lie unburied during frozen winters, prisoners dig their own graves before executions, and starving children scour for undigested kernels of corn in cow dung.

Yet North Korea’s cruelty rarely earns wide attention. Even the country’s nuclear arsenal is eclipsed in global consciousness – by ridicule.

Kim Jong Il was a tyrant who launched a thousand punch lines with his bouffant hairstyle, monochrome suits and platform shoes, along with his penchant for pornography and claim to five holes-in-one in a single golf round. An Economist magazine cover in 2000 showed him waving beneath the headline: “Greetings, earthlings.”

In 2004, a foul-mouthed, string-puppet version of Kim was the hilarious villain of “Team America: World Police,” a spoof from the creators of “South Park.” When the real Kim died in 2011, “Team America” was among Twitter’s most popular trending topics. “People responded to the death of one of the worst dictators of the 20th century with references to a cartoon puppet film,” Sokeel Park of the activist group Liberty in North Korea laments.

The trivialization of horror has accelerated in the Kim Jong Un era. Internet memes mock the young leader’s girth, haircut and Mao suits, while Elle magazine recently touted the trendiness of “North Korea chic,” distinguished by “sharp buckles and clasps and take-no-prisoners tailoring.”

Even South Koreans living within range of the North’s artillery don’t take the enemy seriously. Park Sang Hak, who escaped from the North in 1999, complains that the South’s schools refuse to teach about North Korean suffering, while its journalists obsess over the fashion sense of Pyongyang’s twenty-something first lady, Ri Sol Ju.

Topping it off is the media frenzy around Dennis Rodman, the freakish former NBA star who celebrates Kim Jong Un as a “friend for life” and is now touring North Korea for the third time in a year. After his first pilgrimage, Mr. Rodman appeared on ABC’s “This Week” to convey Kim’s request that President Obama give him a call.

Amid all this, the plight of North Koreans barely registers on the world stage. The contrast with South Africa is telling. As the world mourns Nelson Mandela, how many people can name a single North Korean victim? Among the countless sites of North Korean brutality, there is no globally recognized Soweto. And it’s a rare diplomat or college student who could identify songbun, the decades-old system of political apartheid that dictates every North Korean’s life, from housing to education, jobs and food.

This is partly because North Korea is the Hermit Kingdom. The Kims have expended enormous energy cutting off their people from the outside world. Yet several first-hand accounts of life in North Korea exist and deserve wider attention.

The best-known may be journalist Blaine Harden’s “Escape From Camp 14,” about Shin Dong-hyuk, the only person known to have escaped North Korea (in 2005) after being born in a concentration camp. Kang Chol-hwan’s memoir “Aquariums of Pyongyang” recounts his imprisonment in the gulag as a teenager, from 1977-87. Mr. Kang’s experience is one of several dramatized in “Yodok Story,” a 2006 musical by fellow North Korean defector Jung Sung San. The related documentary “Yodok Stories” records how Mr. Jung produced the musical to honor his father, who was stoned to death as punishment for his son’s defection.

Other movies – including “Danny From North Korea,” “48m” and “Crossing,” called “a ‘Schindler’s List’ for North Korea” by former Journal editor (and “Escape From North Korea” author) Melanie Kirkpatrick – depict what it means to defect. Most would-be defectors must cross the Tumen or Yalu rivers, where guards have shoot-to-kill orders, and enter China, where they must hide from police to avoid being repatriated to face imprisonment or execution in North Korea.

Most defectors hope to make it to Southeast Asia and ultimately to South Korea, but that requires luck and reliable help. Many women make it to China only to be sold into prostitution or forced marriages.

In this context it is perverse that the execution of the odious Uncle Jang should prompt so much overdue talk of the Kim regime’s cruelty. It’s also grim confirmation of a quip often attributed to Stalin: “One death is a tragedy. One million deaths is a statistic.”

 

MEDIA FOCUS ON UKRAINE, BUT WHAT ABOUT BELARUS?

Supporting Belarus’s climb out from under dictatorship
By Andrei Sannikov
Washington Post
December 26, 2013

The world’s attention has recently been focused on the brave people of Ukraine, who have held large rallies in support of joining Europe rather than falling into the “embrace” of Russia. But it is also important to remember Ukraine’s northern neighbor Belarus, a country that lies geographically in the heart of Europe but politically is more akin to a Soviet backwater. The majority of its citizens want to be free, but they are repressed by a brutal dictator more ruthless and despotic than Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych and Russian President Vladimir Putin combined.

As a presidential candidate in Belarus three years ago, I took part in massive demonstrations the size of which my country had not seen for years. In central Minsk, people from all walks of life braved a police state, and the cold, to protest the widespread election fraud by which Belarusan dictator Alexander Lukashenko stole the presidential election. We also backed a future that lies with Europe, not a re-created Soviet Union.

This demonstration of the people’s will scared Lukashenko and his thugs. Riot police brutally broke up our peaceful rally and beat women, senior citizens and anyone else they could reach, evoking images not seen in my country since the end of World War II. I spent that Christmas and the next – altogether more than a year – in a Soviet-era jail as a political prisoner. I was released as a result of a rare demonstration of political will on the part of the European Union, which imposed sanctions on Lukashenko’s financial supporters. However, additional sanctions planned by the European Union didn’t materialize, partly because of intense lobbying by Latvia and Slovenia, and numerous other political prisoners remain in prison in Belarus, including my colleague, presidential candidate Mikalai Statkevich, and human rights defender Ales Bialiatski.

The European Union’s lack of will and strategy in dealing with countries on its periphery began with it turning a blind eye to Lukashenko’s undemocratic consolidation of power in the mid-1990s. As Europe experienced an unprecedented period of economic success, great expectations and enlargement, and as it declared a commitment to common democratic values and human rights, Lukashenko rigged elections while his opponents mysteriously disappeared. The E.U. responded by suspending relations with the regime but didn’t take more serious steps such as launching investigations. Instead, the E.U. simply hoped that the next election would be fair. Popular opposition leaders Yuri Zakharenko and Viktor Gonchar were then murdered in 1999, and Gennady Karpenko died under mysterious circumstances. Each had enjoyed broad support and could easily have won against Lukashenko. As Lukashenko constructed modern Europe’s most repressive and totalitarian system, the European Union didn’t react adequately.

Europe today faces a very real crisis of values. The European Union simply does not see its mission as strengthening and developing democratic values in Europe itself, despite its declaration that the Eastern Partnership program, in which Eastern neighbors including Belarus build ties with the E.U., is a framework based on them. Instead, the program has turned out to be just another means of justifying diplomacy and trade with autocrats – including maintaining a relationship with the dictator Lukashenko by returning to a policy of “dialogue” with Minsk.

Ukrainians are rejecting their corrupt leader through their Euromaidan protests. It was encouraging to see European and U.S. politicians, such as Sen. John McCain, Polish members of the European Parliament and Swedish Foreign Minister Carl Bildt, come to the central square in Kiev to bolster them. However, strong moral support is not enough when the Kremlin has stepped in with loans and cheaper gas – not to help Yanukovych per se but to defend the model of dictatorial rule in the region.

The E.U. believes it can maintain its own institutions and values while engaging and trading with undemocratic neighbors such as Belarus, Ukraine and Russia at no political or moral cost to itself. This is a mistake. No amount of “engagement” or “realpolitik” overtures toward autocrats is going to create predictable, safe neighbors for the European Union.

It is not a question of if but when Belarusans will rid themselves of Europe’s last dictatorship and join the community of European democracies. The strategy for doing so has to be built on principles. Lukashenko must be sanctioned for the crimes he has committed, and the people of Belarus must be engaged. By supporting democratic movements, free media and freedom fighters, along with transparent cooperation and concerted diplomacy with the European Union, the Obama administration can significantly reduce this time from years to months.


More Syrian children’s lives saved by Israel over Christmas (& Buffett donates $10m)

A 20-year-old Syrian refugee holds her newborn baby after giving birth in Israel. Israeli nurse Mira Eli, pictured left with glasses, said “We gave her a hug, a shower and food – she had barely been able to eat or clean herself for weeks – as well as postnatal advice. She’s a very young woman who came without her husband or anyone accompanying her, and it was her first delivery.”

 

CONTENTS

1. While Israeli hospitals treat more Syrian children, the IDF sends water and baby food to besieged Syrian villages
2. Syrian, Palestinian children treated in Tel Aviv area too
3. Warren Buffett donates $10m to Haifa hospital
4. “Good by stealth” (By Tom Gross, Standpoint magazine, December 2013)
5. “The victims of Syria’s war finding care in Israel” (By Kevin Connolly, BBC News)


[Notes below by Tom Gross]

WHILE ISRAELI HOSPITALS TREAT MORE SYRIAN CHILDREN, THE IDF SENDS WATER AND BABY FOOD TO BESIEGED SYRIAN VILLAGES

While a church in London’s Piccadilly and a TV station in Romania were among those who “celebrated” Christmas with vicious anti-Semitic attacks on Israel, badly wounded Syrian refugees with life-threatening injuries continued to be ferried into Israel over the Christmas period.

The 200th wounded Syrian this year to be treated at the Ziv Medical Center in Safed was smuggled into Israel on Monday night. The 21-year-old, in serious condition with gunshot wounds to his hip and stomach, was operated on overnight and remains in intensive care.

The Ziv Medical Center – one of several hospitals in Israel treating wounded Syrians – has treated another 10 Syrians, including four children, in the last week alone.

The cost of treating victims of the Syrian civil war, which has amounted to many millions of dollars, has been shared by the Israeli Health, Defense and Finance ministries, with help from a number of Jewish charities.

Below I attach an article of mine on Israeli help for Syrians, from the December edition of the British magazine Standpoint. (It went to press in mid-November.)

Since it was written, the BBC has, finally, amidst a daily flurry of anti-Israel reports on its world service radio, television and website, run a positive report on Israeli help for Syrians. I attach the BBC text and a link to their video after the Standpoint article.

The BBC does not mention the help given by Israelis to Syrian refugees inside Jordan and Syria itself. Or the fact the Israeli army is continuing to send water and baby food to besieged Syrian villages. The IDF has also been using its groundbreaking freeze-dried plasma innovation in its field hospitals – to save wounded Syrians from blood loss.

Also not mentioned by the BBC is that Israel’s policy is in marked contrast to that of many European and Arab governments, which have turned away Syrian refugees.

One rare European Union country that has agreed to allow in wounded Syrians for treatment is Bulgaria – but even in Bulgaria it is American and Canadian Jewish charities that are helping to pay for food and medication for the Syrians, rather than much wealthier European charities – some of which, such as the major British charity War on Want, spend a lot of money they raise running campaigns defaming Israel instead.

 

SYRIAN, PALESTINIAN CHILDREN TREATED IN TEL AVIV AREA TOO

Syrians are also continuing to be treated in central Israel too. Last week, for example, a four-year-old Syrian refugee child, known only by his first name, Mahmoud, received life-saving heart surgery at the Pediatric Cardiology Unit at Sheba Medical Center, in Tel Hashomer near Tel Aviv. He was born with a rare, life-threatening heart defect – his right and left ventricles were reversed – and had not been expected to live for much longer.

During the eight-hour operation, a state-of-the-art pacemaker was implanted with a battery that will last much longer than other pacemakers, since no one knows when Mahmoud will be able to receive regular follow-up medical treatment. In this case, Mahmoud was brought to Israel with his father, who told the Israeli paper Israel Hayom:

“All our lives, we were taught by our government to love one person and hate another. Now the one we learned to love is trying to kill us, and the one that is supposed to be my enemy has saved my son’s life.”

Meanwhile at nearby Wolfson Medical Center in Holon, another four year-old Arab child, this time from Hebron, Muath Abu Danash, was also given life-saving heart surgery last week.

The Times of Israel noted that in the room alongside Muath were five other children: from Gaza, Hebron, Ghana, Tanzania and Israel.

 

WARREN BUFFETT DONATES $10M TO HAIFA HOSPITAL

U.S. billionaire Warren Buffet last weekend donated $10 million to Rambam Hospital in Haifa. The contribution was announced at an event just before Christmas to celebrate 75 years since the hospital’s establishment.

Buffet says he has fantastic admiration for Israeli hospitals, which are some of the best in the world, and have developed pioneering medication to help people worldwide.

Buffet has expressed enormous confidence in Israeli technological development too. As I noted in a dispatch on this list in May 2006, Buffett, then the world’s second richest man, bought 80 percent of Iscar, an Israeli company that manufactures metalworking tools. This was Buffett’s first large-scale non-American investment, and his third-largest investment anywhere.

***

Tom Gross adds:

When the Lebanese terrorist group Hizbullah rained down missiles on northern Israel from Lebanon seven years ago, and Hizbullah targets included Rambam Hospital, doctors treated patients under fear of attack.

As a result, Rambam has this year finished the completion of a wartime operating room spread out over three stories below ground, which will be used should bombs fall on Haifa again. Spanning 645,000 square feet, the three stories will house 2,000 medical stations, making it one of the largest underground hospitals in the world.

 

Among recent related dispatches:

* Baby born in IDF field hospital in Philippines named ‘Israel’ (& UN interpreter slips up, tells truth) (November 17, 2013)

* First ever Syrian woman gives birth in Israeli hospital (& a giant new Jesus statue rises in Syria) (November 3, 2013)

* Israel’s secret doctors (& Disabled Gaza toddler lives at Israeli hospital) (September 18, 2013)

* Video dispatch 18: Syrian refugees: “May God bless Israel” (September 2, 2013)

(You can see these and other items that are not in these dispatches if you "like" this page: www.facebook.com/TomGrossMedia.)


ARTICLES

FOR SOME NEWS OUTLETS ISRAEL CAN DO NO RIGHT

Good By Stealth
By Tom Gross
Standpoint magazine (London)
December 2013

http://www.standpointmag.co.uk/counterpoints-december-13-good-by-stealth-tom-gross-syria-nahariya-hospital

The media is full of stereotypes and mistakes about many issues. Yet years of experience as a foreign correspondent has led me to the conclusion that the prejudices and biases against the state of Israel are in a league of their own. There are notable exceptions, of course, but for some news outlets Israel can do no right.

Which is one reason why one of the more remarkable stories coming out of the Middle East over the last two and a half years has been largely overlooked: the bravery of Israeli doctors and civilians who have gone into war-ravaged neighbouring Syria to treat the injured, and feed and clothe refugees from all ethnic backgrounds.

Thousands of Syrian doctors have fled the country and hundreds have been killed as the Assad regime continues to bomb medical clinics as a means of terrorising population groups who oppose his government. Where they can, Israeli medics have gone in to help those few Syrian doctors still working. Other Israelis have defied the Jordanian authorities by helping Syrian refugees in that country.

Although they work independently of the Israeli government, the Israeli army has quietly supported their humanitarian actions, sometimes helping to ferry them across the border. In addition to setting up field hospitals, they have brought food. The Economist pointed out in September that in Dera alone, the southern city where the anti-Assad uprising began, Israelis have distributed 300,000 meals to Syrians, as well as medication, mobile phones and chemical protection suits.

The more severely injured Syrians – particularly children – have been brought to Israel for specialised treatment, all at the expense of the Israeli government and Jewish charities. Syrians are taking a risk even entering Israel: the Syrian government makes it a crime for its citizens to go there.

One or two American news outlets have reported on the medical treatment in Israel (though not on the help being given in Syria and Jordan). In July, Jim Clancy of CNN went to the Rebecca Sieff Hospital in Safed (named after a member of the founding family of Marks & Spencer), where he noted that half of all intensive care beds were occupied by Syrian civilians wounded during the previous week alone.

In May, the New York Times reported from Nahariya Hospital in northern Israel on a three-year-old girl being given skin grafts for horrific facial injuries she sustained during a government missile attack in Syria. In the next bed, the newspaper noted, a girl, aged 12, lay in a deep sleep, having been operated on for a severe stomach wound and a hole in her back. Next to her lay another Syrian girl, 13, recovering from over a month of operations for injuries to her face, arm and leg. In Wolfson Medical Center near Tel Aviv, the life of a four-year-old Syrian girl was saved by open-heart surgery. In another hospital, a Syrian mother gave birth last month, the first Syrian born in Israel.

Although there has been hardly any coverage in British media, one Palestinian website noted: “While the Arab countries make empty promises, the Israelis have crossed the border to provide assistance to the refugees, risking their lives without a word of thank you.”

 

BBC RUNS RARE IMPARTIAL REPORT ON ISRAEL

You can watch the BBC video here and the text of their online report is below:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-24998618

The victims of Syria’s war finding care in Israel
By Kevin Connolly
BBC Middle East correspondent, Tzfat, northern Israel
25 November 2013

In the maternity unit at the Sieff Hospital in the Israeli city of Tzfat, the safe arrival of every baby feels like a minor miracle.

But on the day we visited, there was one little boy among the row of newborns who will one day have quite a story to tell. That is, if his parents ever decide to tell him.

The child’s name has to be withheld: publishing any kind of information which could identify him might put him in danger when he goes back to his home village – which is in Syria.

His mother’s name or any personal information that might identify her can’t be published either. She looked tired but happy when we met her, quick to praise the kindness of the Israeli medical staff who had treated her.

She was already in labour when she went to her local clinic in her home village in Syria – but they told her that they could not treat her.

Her worried husband knew that it was possible to get her treated in Israel – and so the couple began a dangerous race to the frontier in a country at war and a desperate race against time.

She had to be taken to a point inside Syria from where she could be seen by Israeli soldiers patrolling the fence that marks the old ceasefire line between the two countries that dates back decades.

A military ambulance then took her to hospital – she made it on time.

The humanitarian chain that got the woman from her home village under heavy shellfire to the boundary fence and then to hospital links guides in Syria to Israeli Army paramedics on the frontier, to the doctors and nurses in Tzfat.

For the woman, every step in the process worked perfectly, perhaps because it has become a well-trodden path.

She was the 177th person to make the journey to the emergency room in what has become one of the most extraordinary subplots of Syria’s agonising civil war.

Syria and Israel regard each other as enemies. A state of war has existed between them for decades.

And yet, since the first patients arrived around nine months ago, the informal system of patient transfer has become so well-established that some patients have even arrived with letters of referral written by doctors in Syria for their Israeli counterparts.

Dr Oscar Embon, the director of the Sieff Hospital, says simply: “Some beautiful relationships have started between the staff at the hospital and the people that we treat. Most of them express their gratitude and their wish for peace between the two countries.”

The Israelis say they are treating everyone who needs treatment. That often means women and children but it is possible that among the young men who have been patched up, there may well be fighters loyal to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, or jihadist rebels who in other circumstances would attack Israeli targets if they could.

Dr Embon says that policy of not discriminating between the sick and the hurt is entirely consistent with what he sees as the values of his country and the ethics of his profession.

He told me: “I don’t expect them to become lovers of Israel and ambassadors for what we do here, but in the interim I expect they will reflect on what was their experience here and that they will reflect differently on what the regime tells them about Israelis and Syrians being enemies.”

Israel’s help for the Syrian patients is politically interesting, of course – this is the Middle East, after all.

But even if you only spend a few hours in the hospital at Tzfat, you get a sense that there are powerful human dramas being played out in the treatment room.

Most of the patients, though, won’t talk about what they have been through – they are too frightened about what would happen to them back in Syria if it emerged they had been to Israel.

At the centre of the system is an Israeli Arab social worker who asked us to refer to him only by his first name, Faris.

He calms the fears of disoriented patients who are shocked to find themselves suddenly being treated in an enemy state.

He organises charity collections to provide them with toiletries and toothbrushes.

And he listens to their stories.

The job Faris does is tough at the best of times – imagine having to explain to a young boy blinded in an explosion that he will never see again – but with the Syrian patients, it feels even more difficult because they go home as soon as they have been treated.

And once they cross back onto the Syrian side of the boundary fence, all contact with them will be lost between the old enmities of the Middle East and the dangerous chaos of civil war.

Faris acknowledges that the regular partings from men, women and children he has helped through dark moments are tough for him as well as for them.

He looks tired when we meet but says he sleeps well knowing that he has been given a chance to do some good.

“When people come here for two months,” he told me, “a relationship starts between you and them and becomes stronger. Then they go home and the sad thing is you can’t be in contact with them because their villages are ‘enemy’ villages.”

Such is the grinding misery of Syria’s civil war, though – and the growing problems in the healthcare system there – that it seems every week will bring Faris and the medical staff at the hospital new patients and new problems.

The Syrians who go home cannot be too open about the help they have received in Israel – merely admitting having been here could put them in danger.

But somehow word is spreading and it seems likely that as long as the civil war goes on, the tide of injured seeking help will continue to rise.

Kissin in Yiddish too (& A rap reply to the boycotters)

December 09, 2013

[Note by Tom Gross]

This is a brief-follow up note to my dispatch last Thursday: “I do not want to be spared of the troubles which Israeli musicians encounter...”

A large number of people wrote to me about this. I apologize for not having time to reply to most of your emails, but I have passed some of them on to Evgeny Kissin and he thanks you very much for them.

Some readers wanted to see a photo of Evgeny Kissin receiving his new Israeli passport and ID card:



At Mishkenot Sha’ananim in Jerusalem with Israel’s Absorption Minister Sofa Landver and Natan Sharansky.

 

RACHMANINOV, TCHAIKOVSKY AND CHOPIN

Other readers wanted to see some of Kissin’s performances. I have posted three examples below.

***

From the First Night of the 2000 BBC Promenade Concerts at London’s Royal Albert Hall, where Evgeny Kissin played Rachmaninov’s 2nd Piano Concerto and as an encore, Rachmaninov’s Prelude in G minor.



 

Evgeny Kissin plays Tchaikovsky’s Piano Concerto No.1, at Carnegie Hall’s Opening Night in New York in 1995.



 

To celebrate the bicentenary of the birth of Frederic Chopin, in 2010 the French cultural TV channel Arte recorded Kissin playing Chopin with the Warsaw Philharmonic Orchestra conducted by Antuni Wit.



 

IN YIDDISH TOO

My dispatch revealing that Kissin was to receive Israeli citizenship has been picked up in many places, for example in America at National Review Online, or in Israel at the Times of Israel, or here in Britain. It has also been reported widely in the Israeli media, on music blogs and on blogs that advocate a boycott of Israel.

Dispatches from this email list are often translated into other languages. For example, the recent al-Quds university dispatches have been translated by media in other countries into Danish, Norwegian, Hungarian, Polish, Russian, Portuguese, Spanish, German, French and so on.

But my Kissin dispatch is the first one, to my knowledge, to be translated into Yiddish.

Among his other languages, Evgeny Kissin is a fluent Yiddish speaker and he requested that the Yiddish version of The Forward translate and publish my dispatch here:

קיסין באַקומט ישׂראלדיקע בירגערשאַפֿט.

 

A RAP REPLY TO THE BOYCOTTERS

Speaking of boycotts, for those of you with a different taste in music, the Orthodox Jewish rap and reggae artist Ari Lesser has released a song “Boycott Israel” – in which he delivers a stern message to all those around the world advocating a boycott of Israel and Israelis:



-- Tom Gross

“I do not want to be spared of the troubles which Israeli musicians encounter…”

December 05, 2013

 

* “When Israel’s enemies try to disrupt concerts of the Israel Philharmonic Orchestra or the Jerusalem Quartet, I want them to come and make troubles at my concerts, too: because Israel’s case is my case, Israel’s enemies are my enemies…”

 

KISSIN TAKES ISRAELI CITIZENSHIP

Kissin takes Israeli citizenship
By Tom Gross
(Exclusive)

While some other leading artists are calling for a boycott of Israel, I can now reveal that Evgeny Kissin, generally regarded as one of the world’s greatest living pianists, will on Saturday take Israeli citizenship.

Unlike some Israeli musicians, Evgeny Kissin, who was born in Russia and has in recent years resided in London and Paris, is fiercely proud of being Jewish and of the Jewish state.

On Saturday evening at the Mishkenot Sha’ananim arts center in Jerusalem, he will receive his Israeli passport from another prominent Soviet-born Jew, Natan Sharansky (who, of course, spent years in solitary confinement in the gulag for saying he wanted to live in freedom). Evgeny will give a recital next Monday at Binyanei Ha’Uma, Jerusalem’s largest indoor venue.

Evgeny is long-standing subscriber to this email list, as well as being a personal friend of mine. He has asked for his original statement, made when he started the process of applying for Israeli citizenship almost two years ago (in Jan. 2012), to now be made public, so journalists and others subscribing to this list can read it.

In it, he says:

“I am a Jew, Israel is a Jewish state – and since long ago I have felt that Israel, although I do not live there, is the only state in the world with which I can fully identify myself, whose case, problems, tragedies and very destiny I perceive to be mine.

“If I, as a human being and artist represent anything in the world, it is my Jewish people, and therefore Israel is the only state on our planet which I want to represent with my art and all my public activities, no matter where I live.

“When Israel’s enemies try to disrupt concerts of the Israel Philharmonic Orchestra or the Jerusalem Quartet, I want them to come and make troubles at my concerts, too: because Israel’s case is my case, Israel’s enemies are my enemies, and I do not want to be spared of the troubles which Israeli musicians encounter when they represent the Jewish State beyond its borders.

“I have always deeply despised chauvinism and have never regarded my people to be superior to other peoples; I feel truly blessed that my profession is probably the most international one in the world, that I play music created by great composers of different countries, that I travel all over the world and share my beloved music with people of different countries and nationalities – but I want all the people who appreciate my art to know that I am a Jew, that I belong to the People of Israel. That’s why now I feel a natural desire to travel around the world with an Israeli passport.”

 

Update

There is a follow-up dispatch here: Kissin in Yiddish too (& A rap reply to the boycotters)

This dispatch was linked to in a column in the Washington Post by Charles Krauthammer (who is a subscriber to this list).

Why does John Kerry refer to the Ayatollah as “Supreme Leader?”

December 03, 2013

 

* Yaakov Amidror (who until last month was Israel’s National Security Advisor) writing in The New York Times: Just after the signing ceremony in Geneva, President Rouhani of Iran declared that the world had recognized his country’s “nuclear rights.” He was right. Iran made only cosmetic concessions to preserve its primary goal, which is to continue enriching uranium. The agreement represents a failure, not a triumph, of diplomacy. With North Korea, too, there were talks and ceremonies and agreements – but then there was the bomb.

* Mark Steyn: “Iran, U.S. Set To Establish Joint Chamber Of Commerce Within Month,” reports Agence-France Presse. Government official Abolfazi Hejazi tells the English-language newspaper Iran Daily that the Islamic Republic will shortly commence direct flights to America. Passenger jets, not ICBMs, one assumes – although, as with everything else, the details have yet to be worked out. Still, the historic U.S.-Iranian rapprochement seems to be galloping along, and any moment now the cultural exchange program will be announced, and you’ll have to book early for the Tehran Ballet’s season at the Kennedy Center (“Death To America” in repertory with “Death To The Great Satan”).

* In Geneva, the participants came to the talks with different goals: The Americans and Europeans wanted an agreement; the Iranians wanted nukes. Each party got what it came for.

* Steyn: Worse than Munich. In 1938, facing a German seizure of the Sudetenland, the French and British prime ministers were negotiating with Berlin from a position of profound military weakness: it’s easy to despise Chamberlain with the benefit of hindsight, less easy to give an honest answer as to what one would have done differently playing a weak hand across the table from Hitler 75 years ago. This time round, a superpower and its allies, accounting for over 50 percent of the planet’s military spending, were facing a militarily insignificant country with a ruined economy and no more than two-to-three months’ worth of hard currency – and they gave it everything it wanted.

* Steyn: John Kerry said that “The Supreme Leader has indicated there is a fatwa which forbids them to do this.” The “Supreme Leader” is not Barack Obama but Ayatollah Khamenei. Why is America’s secretary of state dignifying Khamenei as “the Supreme Leader”? In his own famous remarks upon his return from Munich, Neville Chamberlain referred only to “Herr Hitler.” “Der Fuhrer” means, in effect, “the Supreme Leader,” but, unlike Kerry (and Obama), Chamberlain understood that it would be unseemly for the representative of a free people to confer respectability on such a designation. As for the Fuhrer de nos jours, Ayatollah Khamenei last month called Israel a “rabid dog” and dismissed “the leaders of the Zionist regime, who look like beasts and cannot be called human.” If the words of “the Supreme Leader” are to be taken at face value when it comes to these supposed constraints preventing Iran from going nuclear, why not also when he calls Jews subhuman?

* The Guardian reports that on Saturday night at the Geneva InterContinental, the final stages of the P5+1 talks were played out to the music bleeding through from the charity bash in the adjoining ballroom. At one point, the band played Johnny Cash:

“I fell into a burning ring of fire
I went down, down, down and the flames went higher
And it burns, burns, burns
The ring of fire...”

So it does.

* Bernard Lewis: America risks being seen as harmless as an enemy and treacherous as a friend.

* Jonathan Tobin: One of Obama’s prime objectives has been to ensure that Israel cannot act on its own or even in concert with some of its unlikely Arab allies of convenience against Iran. Indeed, that appears to be the only American objective that has actually been achieved with this agreement. Obama also lied to Netanyahu for months while Obama’s envoys were talking to Iran behind Israel’s back.

* Tobin: Obama has worried American Jewish supporters before, but never has he so ruthlessly undermined their faith. The choice for the pro-Israel community is clear. It can redefine its objectives, and concede defeat on stopping Iran and/or pretend nothing has happened. Or it can find its collective voice and speak out against a terrible betrayal that gives the lie to every Obama statement about stopping Iran. If it chooses the latter, these groups will face the usual “Israel Lobby” calumnies from anti-Semites and Israel-haters. But they cannot take counsel of their fears or be silenced. If they do, they will look back on this moment when it was still possible to mobilize congressional action against this betrayal with regret.

 

Also: Breaking news: French scientific team say the Al-Jazeera and Suha-Arafat appointed Swiss team got it completely wrong: Their detailed research concludes that Yasser Arafat was not poisoned, but died of natural causes associated with old age.

 

This dispatch follows the two most recent ones on the Geneva agreement.

The previous ones can be read here:

* “This is only the first sip, the first foretaste of a bitter cup”

* Diplomacy is better than war but bad diplomacy can cause bad wars


You can see these and other items that are not in these dispatches if you "like" this page: www.facebook.com/TomGrossMedia.

 

CONTENTS

1. Iran’s ISNA photo essay (how to fool the West)
2. Iran unveils plans for new nuclear site
3. U.S. concedes on Arak
4. ‘Iran to access $15bn under nuclear deal’
5. Israeli intelligence: U.S. freed top Iranian scientist and other Iranian convicts as part of secret talks before Geneva deal
6. Israeli intel: Agreement with Iran led Obama not to strike Assad
7. “Iran, U.S. to open joint Chamber of Commerce”
8. Americans divided over nuclear deal
9. PM Netanyahu’s Remarks at the Candle-Lighting Ceremony for the Fifth Night of Chanukah
10. White House denies Obama plans to travel to Tehran
11. Cartoons: the Saudis and Israelis, united in fear
12. “A most dangerous deal” (By Yaakov Amidror, New York Times, Nov. 27, 2013)
13. “U.S. boxes in Israel, not Iran” (By Mark Steyn, Orange County Register, Nov. 29, 2013)
14. “Worse than Munich” (By Bret Stephens, Wall St Journal, Nov. 26, 2013)
15. “Obama, Iran, and the Jews reconsidered” (By Jonathan Tobin, Commentary, Nov. 25, 2013)


[Notes below by Tom Gross]

IRAN’S ISNA PHOTO ESSAY (HOW TO FOOL THE WEST)

Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif and “smiling diplomacy”.

 

IRAN UNVEILS PLANS FOR NEW NUCLEAR SITE

“Moderate” Iranian Prime Minister Hassan Rouhani on Sunday announced plans to construct a new nuclear reactor in Iran, just days after Western governments claimed they had reached a tentative understanding to curb the Iranian’s nuclear ambitions.

The second reactor will be located at the country’s nuclear facility in Bushehr province, along the country’s southeast coastline near Shiraz, according to reports by the state-run Fars news agency:

english.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13920910000312

The first nuclear reactor at the Bushehr facility was built in 1985, with Russian support. That reactor came fully on line in August this year.

Tehran will not be obligated to allow inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency access to the second reactor, since notification is only required six months before nuclear material is brought into the facility.

***

In a separate move, Brigadier General Hossein Salami, the lieutenant commander of Iran’s elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, announced last week that Iran has developed “indigenous” ballistic missile technology, which could eventually allow it to fire a nuclear payload over great distances.

Salami claimed that “Iran is among the only three world countries enjoying an indigenous ballistic missile technology,” according to the state-run Fars News Agency. (The others being the U.S. and Russia, he said.)

***

In its lead editorial on Thursday, The Washington Post described the Geneva agreement as “notable for its omissions,” and expressed concern that the combination of Western concessions and Iranian victories has left “the United States and its partners at a disadvantage in negotiating the comprehensive settlement.”

 

U.S. CONCEDES ON ARAK

Last week Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif told parliament that construction at the Arak site (where Iran is said to be developing a second plutonium route to a nuclear bomb) will continue even though the Western understanding of the agreement is that Iran agreed it would not.

Arak is a heavy water plant and scientists say there is no reason for heavy water reactors except for weaponry.

And Secretary of State Kerry had cited the agreement on Arak as an achievement of the deal.

The Obama administration has now backed the Iranian interpretation that construction will be allowed to continue.

 

‘IRAN TO ACCESS $15BN UNDER NUCLEAR DEAL’

Iran’s government-controlled Press TV reports that Tehran will have access to nearly $15 billion in oil revenues after the implementation of the Geneva nuclear deal between Iran and the six world powers.

presstv.com/detail/2013/11/30/337513/iran-to-access-15bn-under-nuclear-deal/

 

ISRAELI INTELLIGENCE: U.S. FREED TOP IRANIAN SCIENTIST AND OTHER IRANIAN CONVICTS AS PART OF SECRET TALKS BEFORE GENEVA DEAL

According to Israeli intelligence sources, reported in Israeli media, the Obama administration in April released a leading Iranian nuclear scientist, Mojtaba Atarodi. He had been arrested in California in 2011 for attempting to acquire equipment for Iran’s military-nuclear programs. Atarodi was working for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, according to sources close to Israeli intelligence.

The secret talks between the U.S. and Iran have been continuing for some years in Oman, say the Israeli sources. The key figure in the Oman talks is said to be Salem Ben Nasser al Ismaily, the executive president of the Omani Center for Investment Promotion and Export Development and a close confidante of the Omani Sultan, Qaboos bin Said.

Ismaily is the author of a book written in English titled “A Cup of Coffee: A Westerner’s Guide to Business in the Gulf States.” The book tells the story of a fictional American businessman who fails in his business dealings in the Gulf until he meets a sultan, who explains to him how to “surrender to very different values of the Gulf rooted in ancient tribal customs and traditions.”

According to Israeli intelligence, Ismaily played a key role in 2010, in the release for “humanitarian reasons” of Sarah Shourd, an American who is said to have accidentally crossed into Iran while hiking in Iraq. Ismaily is also said to have assisted a year later in the release of her fiancé and fellow hiker, Shane Bauer, and their friend, Josh Fattal (whose Jewish origins had been kept secret by the American media during his captivity in Iran in order to protect him).

In August 2012, the U.S. freed Shahrzad Mir Gholikhan, an Iranian convicted on three counts of weapons trafficking, and Nosratollah Tajik, a former Iranian ambassador to Jordan who, had been caught trying to buy night-vision goggles from U.S. agents. And in January this year, Amir Hossein Seirafi, who had been convicted in the U.S. of trying to buy specialized vacuum pumps that could be used in the Iranian nuclear program, was released.

There is now speculation that Iran will release some of the Americans it has been holding hostage for years, including former FBI agent Robert Levinson (whom I have written about in these Middle East dispatches before). Levinson was last seen on March 9, 2007. Last week his son Dan Levinson wrote a piece in the Washington Post calling Rouhani and Foreign Minister Javad Zarif “well-respected men committed to the goodwill of all human beings, regardless of their nationality.”


Undated photo of retired-FBI agent Robert Levinson (photo credit: AP/Levinson Family)

 

ISRAELI INTEL: AGREEMENT WITH IRAN LED OBAMA NOT TO STRIKE ASSAD

President Obama’s change of policy regarding Syria, and his decision not to carry out punitive strikes against the Syrian regime in September, after Assad gassed to death 1,500 of his own people with chemical weapons in August, was the result of Iran asking him not to during secret U.S. back-channel discussions with Iran, Israel’s Channel 2 news reported, relying on information provided by Israeli intelligence.

The Obama administration last week acknowledged holding months of secret back-channel talks with Iran ahead of the interim deal on Iran’s rogue nuclear program that was signed last week by the P5+1 powers and Iran in Geneva.

 

“IRAN, U.S. TO OPEN JOINT CHAMBER OF COMMERCE”

The Lebanese publication Naharnet reports that Iran and the United States are to establish a joint chamber of commerce within a month, with direct flights also planned.

 

PM NETANYAHU’S REMARKS AT THE CANDLE-LIGHTING CEREMONY FOR THE FIFTH NIGHT OF CHANUKAH

(Communicated by the Israeli Prime Minister’s Media Adviser)

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, this evening (Sunday, 1 December 2013), at the Great Synagogue in Rome, made the following remarks at the candle-lighting ceremony for the fifth night of Chanukah:

“In contrast to others, when I see that interests vital to the security of Israel’s citizens are in danger, I will not be silent.

It is very easy to be silent. It is very easy to receive a pat on the shoulder from the international community, to bow one’s head, but I am committed to the security of my people. I am committed to the future of my state and in contrast to periods in the past, we have a loud and clear voice among the nations and we will sound it in time in order to warn of the danger.

And as to the actual threat, we will act against it in time if need be. I would like to dispel any illusions. Iran aspires to attain an atomic bomb. It would thus threaten not only Israel but also Italy, Europe and the entire world. There should be no going astray after the attack of smiles. Today there is a regime in Iran that supports terrorism, facilitates the massacre of civilians in Syria and unceasingly arms its proxies – Hamas, Hezbollah and Islamic Jihad – with deadly missiles.

The most dangerous regime in the world must not be allowed to have the most dangerous weapon in the world. As we have warned, and I say this with regret, the sanctions regime has started to weaken and very quickly. If tangible steps are not taken soon, it is liable to collapse and the efforts of years will vanish without anything in exchange. But at the same time, I tell you and promise in the spirit of the Maccabees, we will not allow Iran to receive a military nuclear capability.”

***

Tom Gross adds: Netanyahu also held a 25-minute audience with Pope Francis at the Vatican yesterday. Netanyahu presented the pontiff with a Spanish translation of The Origins of the Inquisition, a book written by his late father, Ben-Zion Netanyahu, a leading historian on the topic. Netanyahu inscribed the inside cover: “To his Holiness Pope Franciscus, a great shepherd of our common heritage.”

 

AMERICANS DIVIDED OVER NUCLEAR DEAL

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 41% of Americans of voting age favor the short-term deal that ends some economic sanctions on Iran in exchange for verifiable cutbacks in the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Forty-three percent (43%) oppose that deal. Sixteen percent (16%) are undecided.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on November 25-26, 2013. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

 

WHITE HOUSE DENIES OBAMA PLANS TO TRAVEL TO TEHRAN

The White House is denying reports made by leading Arab news outlets that President Obama is planning to visit Tehran next year. Noting the high number of untruths the Obama administration has told about its policies in the Middle East over the past five years, many analysts say they are tempted to believe the Arab news reports.

As the New York Sun says in an editorial, a visit “would suggest Mr. Obama reckons that the Mullahs don’t hate Israel and America and that the recent difficulties have been merely about the Iranian effort to build an atomic bomb.”

 

CARTOONS: THE SAUDIS AND ISRAELIS, UNITED IN FEAR

Below are several cartoons from Dry Bones on Iran. The veteran, award-winning cartoonist is a long time subscriber to this list and these are reproduced with his permission.

***

 

 

 

 

 

 

And a cartoon from last June:


***

I attach four articles below. The first, from The New York Times, is by Yaakov Amidror, who was the head of the Israeli National Security Council from March 2011 until last month.

The authors of the other three articles are subscribers to this list, as are some of those mentioned in them, such as Bernard Lewis and Toby Young.

You may also wish to read “What a Final Iran Deal Must Do” by former U.S. Secretaries of State Henry Kissinger and George Shultz in today’s Wall Street Journal:

online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304747004579228110944819396

They say “We must avoid an outcome in which Iran, freed from sanctions, emerges as a de facto nuclear power leading an Islamist camp, while traditional allies lose confidence in the credibility of American commitments and follow the Iranian model toward a nuclear-weapons capability, if only to balance it.”

-- Tom Gross


ARTICLES

“ANYONE WHO HAS CONDUCTED BUSINESS OR DIPLOMATIC NEGOTIATIONS KNOWS THAT YOU DON’T REDUCE THE PRESSURE ON YOUR OPPONENT ON THE EVE OF NEGOTIATIONS”

A Most Dangerous Deal
By Yaakov Amidror
New York Times
November 27, 2013

JERUSALEM – Just after the signing ceremony in Geneva on Sunday, President Hassan Rouhani of Iran declared that the world had recognized his country’s “nuclear rights.” He was right.

The agreement Iran reached with the so-called P5+1 – the United States, Britain, China, France and Russia, plus Germany – does not significantly roll back Iran’s nuclear capabilities. Iran made only cosmetic concessions to preserve its primary goal, which is to continue enriching uranium. The agreement represents a failure, not a triumph, of diplomacy. With North Korea, too, there were talks and ceremonies and agreements – but then there was the bomb. This is not an outcome Israel could accept with Iran.

Harsh sanctions led Iran to the negotiating table. The easing of those sanctions will now send companies from around the world racing into Iran to do business, which will lead to the eventual collapse of the sanctions that supposedly remain.

Might economic relief, reduced isolation and new goodwill lead to greater pressure on the Iranian regime to reach a fuller agreement later? I doubt it: As recently as last week, Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, denounced Israel as a “rabid dog,” a jab that Western leaders failed to condemn.

The deal will only lead Iran to be more stubborn. Anyone who has conducted business or diplomatic negotiations knows that you don’t reduce the pressure on your opponent on the eve of negotiations. Yet that is essentially what happened in Geneva.

Iran will not only get to keep its existing 18,000 centrifuges; it will also be allowed to continue developing the next generation of centrifuges, provided it does not install them in uranium-enrichment facilities. Which is to say: Its uranium-enrichment capability is no weaker.

Under the deal Iran is supposed to convert its nearly 200 kilograms of uranium enriched to 20 percent purity – a short step away from bomb-grade material – into material that cannot be used for a weapon. In practice, this concession is almost completely meaningless.

The agreement does not require Iran to reduce its stockpile of uranium enriched to 3.5 percent, not even by one gram. Transforming unprocessed uranium into 3.5 percent-enriched uranium accounts for more than two-thirds of the time needed to transform unprocessed uranium into weapons-grade material. And given the thousands of centrifuges Iran has, the regime can enrich its stock of low-level uranium to weapons-grade quality in a matter of months. Iran already has enough of this material to make four bombs.

The Geneva deal, in short, did not address the nuclear threat at all. This was Iran’s great accomplishment. No wonder Mr. Rouhani boasted that the world had recognized Iran’s nuclear rights.

The United States, at the direction of President Obama, has developed sophisticated weaponry specifically in order to deter Iran from going nuclear. But heaven forbid those should have to be used is the dominant feeling in Western capitals. As a result, greater U.S. military capabilities may have given the P5+1 more reason, rather than less, to strike a deal in Geneva. And while the Obama administration maintains that the military option is still on the table in case Iran does not comply with the new agreement, that threat is becoming less and less credible.

Supporters of the agreement emphasize that future inspections in Iran will be frequent and strict. But people familiar with the history of past inspections are skeptical, to say the least. If the Iranians decide to deceive the inspectors, they will succeed; they have in the past.

Proponents of the deal also say that it is only a preliminary agreement and that the real fight will take place down the road. The experience of the past several weeks does not inspire optimism.

The six powers – the United States, Britain, China, France, Germany and Russia – have shown that they wanted an agreement more than Iran did. The party that was targeted by the sanctions has achieved more than the parties that imposed them.

There is no reason to think that the six powers will have more leverage in the future than they had before the Geneva agreement. On the contrary, they just gave that leverage away. After years of disingenuous negotiations, Iran is now just a few months away from a bomb.

The West has surrendered its most effective diplomatic tool in exchange for baseless promises of goodwill. I pray its gamble pays off, for if it does not there will be only one tool left to prevent Iran from getting a nuclear weapon. The Geneva agreement has made the world a more dangerous place. It did not have to be this way.

 

“JOHN KERRY HAS BEEN UNERRINGLY WRONG ON EVERY FOREIGN POLICY ISSUE FOR FOUR DECADES, SO SHEER BUNGLING STUPIDITY CANNOT BE RULED OUT”

U.S. boxes in Israel, not Iran
By Mark Steyn (Syndicated columnist)
Orange County Register (California)
November 29, 2013

“Iran, U.S. Set To Establish Joint Chamber Of Commerce Within Month,” reports Agence-France Presse. Government official Abolfazi Hejazi tells the English-language newspaper Iran Daily that the Islamic Republic will shortly commence direct flights to America. Passenger jets, not ICBMs, one assumes – although, as with everything else, the details have yet to be worked out. Still, the historic U.S.-Iranian rapprochement seems to be galloping along, and any moment now the cultural exchange program will be announced, and you’ll have to book early for the Tehran Ballet’s season at the Kennedy Center (“Death To America” in repertory with “Death To The Great Satan”).

In Geneva, the participants came to the talks with different goals: The Americans and Europeans wanted an agreement; the Iranians wanted nukes. Each party got what it came for. Before the deal, the mullahs’ existing facilities were said to be within four to seven weeks of nuclear “breakout”; under the new constraints, they’ll be eight to nine weeks from breakout. In return, they get formal international recognition of their enrichment program, and the gutting of sanctions – and everything they already have is, as they say over at Obamacare, grandfathered in.

Many pundits reached for the obvious appeasement analogies, but Bret Stephens [article below] in the Wall Street Journal argued that Geneva is actually worse than Munich. In 1938, facing a German seizure of the Sudetenland, the French and British prime ministers were negotiating with Berlin from a position of profound military weakness: it’s easy to despise Chamberlain with the benefit of hindsight, less easy to give an honest answer as to what one would have done differently playing a weak hand across the table from Hitler 75 years ago. This time round, a superpower and its allies, accounting for over 50 percent of the planet’s military spending, were facing a militarily insignificant country with a ruined economy and no more than two-to-three months’ worth of hard currency – and they gave it everything it wanted.

I would add two further points. First, the Munich Agreement’s language is brutal and unsparing, all “shalls” and “wills”: Paragraph 1) “The evacuation will begin on 1st October”; Paragraph 4) “The four territories marked on the attached map will be occupied by German troops in the following order.” By contrast, the P5+1 (U.S., U.K., France, Russia, China plus Germany) “Joint Plan of Action” barely reads like an international agreement at all. It’s all conditional, a forest of “woulds”: “There would be additional steps in between the initial measures and the final step…” In the post-modern phase of Western resolve, it’s an agreement to reach an agreement – supposedly within six months. But one gets the strong impression that, when that six-month deadline comes and goes, the temporary agreement will trundle along semipermanently to the satisfaction of all parties.

Secondly, there are subtler concessions. Explaining that their “singular object” was to “ensure that Iran does not acquire a nuclear weapon,” John Kerry said that “Foreign Minister Zarif emphasized that they don’t intend to do this, and the Supreme Leader has indicated there is a fatwa which forbids them to do this.” The “Supreme Leader” is not Barack Obama but Ayatollah Khamenei. Why is America’s secretary of state dignifying Khamenei as “the Supreme Leader”? In his own famous remarks upon his return from Munich, Neville Chamberlain referred only to “Herr Hitler.” “Der Fuhrer” means, in effect, “the Supreme Leader,” but, unlike Kerry (and Obama), Chamberlain understood that it would be unseemly for the representative of a free people to confer respectability on such a designation. As for the Fuhrer de nos jours, Ayatollah Khamenei called Israel a “rabid dog” and dismissed “the leaders of the Zionist regime, who look like beasts and cannot be called human.” If the words of “the Supreme Leader” are to be taken at face value when it comes to these supposed constraints preventing Iran from going nuclear, why not also when he calls Jews subhuman?

I am not much interested in whether “the Supreme Leader” can be trusted. Prudent persons already know the answer to that. A more relevant question is whether the U.S. can be trusted. Israel and the Sunni monarchies who comprise America’s least-worst friends in the Arab world were kept in the dark about not only the contents of the first direct U.S./Iranian talks in a third-of-a-century but even an acknowledgment that they were taking place. The only tip-off into the parameters of the emerging deal is said to have come from British briefings to their former Gulf protectorates and the French getting chatty with Israel. A couple of days ago, Nawaf Obaid, an adviser to Prince Mohammed, the Saudi Ambassador in London, was unusually candid about the Americans: “We were lied to, things were hidden from us,” he said. “The problem is not with the deal struck in Geneva but how it was done.”

“How it was done”: Some years ago, I heard that great scholar of Islam, Bernard Lewis, caution that America risked being seen as harmless as an enemy and treacherous as a friend. The Obama administration seems to have raised the thought to the level of doctrine. What has hitherto been unclear is whether this was through design or incompetence. Certainly, John Kerry has been unerringly wrong on every foreign policy issue for four decades, so sheer bungling stupidity cannot be ruled out.

But look at it this way: It’s been clear for some time that the United States was not going to take out Iran’s nuclear facilities. That leaves only one other nation even minded to keep the option on the table: Israel. Hence the strange new romance between the Zionist Entity and the Saudi and Gulf Cabinet ministers calling every night to urge them to get cracking: In the post-American world, you find your friends where you can, even if they’re Jews. But Obama and Kerry have not only taken a U.S. bombing raid off the table, they’ve ensured that any such raid by Israel will now come at a much steeper price: It’s one thing to bomb a global pariah, quite another to bomb a semi-rehabilitated member of the international community in defiance of an agreement signed by the Big Five world powers. Indeed, a disinterested observer might easily conclude that the point of the plan seems to be to box in Israel rather than Iran.

If it were to have that effect, the Sunni Arab states would be faced with a choice of accepting de facto Shia Persian hegemony – or getting the Saudis to pay the Pakistanis for a Sunni bomb. Nobody in Araby believes the U.S. can “contain” Iran, even if it wants to. And, since the Geneva deal, nobody’s very sure the U.S. wants to.

Meanwhile, through the many months they kept their allies in the dark, Washington was very obliging to the mullahs. According to the Times of Israel, among the Iranian prisoners quietly released by the U.S. as a friendly predeal gesture is Mojtada Atarodi, arrested in 2011 for attempting to acquire nuclear materials. Iran has felt under no pressure to reciprocate. America is containing itself, in hopes of a quiet life.

Will it get one? The Guardian reports that, last Saturday night at the Geneva InterContinental, the final stages of the P5+1 talks were played out to the music bleeding through from the charity bash in the adjoining ballroom. At one point, the band played Johnny Cash:

“I fell into a burning ring of fire
I went down, down, down and the flames went higher
And it burns, burns, burns
The ring of fire...”

So it does.

 

THE WEST IS BEING LED BY THE SAME SORT OF MEN, MINUS THE UMBRELLAS

Worse than Munich
In 1938, Chamberlain bought time to rearm. In 2013, Obama gives Iran time to go nuclear
By Bret Stephens
Wall Street Journal
November 26, 2013

To adapt Churchill : Never in the field of global diplomacy has so much been given away by so many for so little.

Britain and France’s capitulation to Nazi Germany at Munich has long been a byword for ignominy, moral and diplomatic. Yet neither Neville Chamberlain nor Édouard Daladier had the public support or military wherewithal to stand up to Hitler in September 1938. Britain had just 384,000 men in its regular army; the first Spitfire aircraft only entered RAF service that summer. “Peace for our time” it was not, but at least appeasement bought the West a year to rearm.

The signing of the Paris Peace Accords in January 1973 was a betrayal of an embattled U.S. ally and the abandonment of an effort for which 58,000 American troops gave their lives. Yet it did end America’s participation in a peripheral war, which neither Congress nor the public could indefinitely support. “Peace with honor” it was not, as the victims of Cambodia’s Killing Fields or Vietnam’s re-education camps can attest. But, for American purposes at least, it was peace.

By contrast, the interim nuclear agreement signed in Geneva on Sunday by Iran and the six big powers has many of the flaws of Munich and Paris. But it has none of their redeeming or exculpating aspects.

Consider: Britain and France came to Munich as military weaklings. The U.S. and its allies face Iran from a position of overwhelming strength. Britain and France won time to rearm. The U.S. and its allies have given Iran more time to stockpile uranium and develop its nuclear infrastructure. Britain and France had overwhelming domestic constituencies in favor of any deal that would avoid war. The Obama administration is defying broad bipartisan majorities in both houses of Congress for the sake of a deal.

As for the Vietnam parallels, the U.S. showed military resolve in the run-up to the Paris Accords with a massive bombing and mining campaign of the North that demonstrated presidential resolve and forced Hanoi to sign the deal. The administration comes to Geneva fresh from worming its way out of its own threat to use force to punish Syria’s Bashar Assad for his use of chemical weapons against his own people.

The Nixon administration also exited Vietnam in the context of a durable opening to Beijing that helped tilt the global balance of power against Moscow. Now the U.S. is attempting a fleeting opening with Tehran at the expense of a durable alliance of values with Israel and interests with Saudi Arabia. “How to Lose Friends and Alienate People” is the title of a hilarious memoir by British author Toby Young – but it could equally be the history of Barack Obama’s foreign policy.

That’s where the differences end between Geneva and the previous accords. What they have in common is that each deal was a betrayal of small countries – Czechoslovakia, South Vietnam, Israel – that had relied on Western security guarantees. Each was a victory for the dictatorships: “No matter the world wants it or not,” Iranian President Hasan Rouhani said Sunday, “this path will, God willingly, continue to the peak that has been considered by the martyred nuclear scientists.” Each deal increased the contempt of the dictatorships for the democracies: “If ever that silly old man comes interfering here again with his umbrella,” Hitler is reported to have said of Chamberlain after Munich, “I’ll kick him downstairs and jump on his stomach.”

And each deal was a prelude to worse. After Munich came the conquest of Czechoslovakia, the Nazi-Soviet pact and World War II. After Paris came the fall of Saigon and Phnom Penh and the humiliating exit from the embassy rooftop. After Geneva there will come a new, chaotic Mideast reality in which the United States will lose leverage over enemies and friends alike.

What will that look like? Iran will gradually shake free of sanctions and glide into a zone of nuclear ambiguity that will keep its adversaries guessing until it opts to make its capabilities known. Saudi Arabia will move swiftly to acquire a nuclear deterrent from its clients in Islamabad; Saudi billionaire Prince Alwaleed bin Talal made that clear to the Journal last week when he indiscreetly discussed “the arrangement with Pakistan.” Egypt is beginning to ponder a nuclear option of its own while drawing closer to a security alliance with Russia.

As for Israel, it cannot afford to live in a neighborhood where Iran becomes nuclear, Assad remains in power, and Hezbollah – Israel’s most immediate military threat – gains strength, clout and battlefield experience. The chances that Israel will hazard a strike on Iran’s nuclear sites greatly increased since Geneva. More so the chances of another war with Hezbollah.

After World War II the U.S. created a global system of security alliances to prevent the kind of foreign policy freelancing that is again becoming rampant in the Middle East. It worked until President Obama decided in his wisdom to throw it away. If you hear echoes of the 1930s in the capitulation at Geneva, it’s because the West is being led by the same sort of men, minus the umbrellas.

 

“OBAMA LIED TO NETANYAHU FOR MONTHS”

Obama, Iran, and the Jews Reconsidered
By Jonathan S. Tobin
Commentary magazine
November 25, 2013

President Obama hasn’t made it easy on his Jewish supporters. Conservative critics – and if polls are right, the majority of Israelis – have always doubted his intentions toward the Jewish state and suspected him of either tilting toward the Palestinians or, as veteran diplomat Aaron David Miller memorably put it, someone who was “not in love with the idea of Israel.” But for the majority of American Jews who remain loyal Democrats and liberals, Obama was, at worst, a satisfactory ally of Israel, and, at best, the misunderstood victim of smears. At times, the president’s penchant for picking fights with the Netanyahu government over settlements, borders, and even a consensus Jewish issue like Jerusalem caused some liberal true believers like lawyer and author Alan Dershowitz to worry about his intentions. But even when the relationship between Washington and Jerusalem was at its worst during the past five years, the president’s supporters could point to the issue of paramount importance to Israel’s security and claim with some justification that he was as solid an ally as could be asked.

That issue was, of course, the Iranian nuclear threat, and from the earliest days of his first presidential campaign, Obama had made it clear that he would never allow them to gain a nuclear weapon. Though he had also mentioned his desire for a rapprochement with Iran in that first campaign, the president’s rhetoric on Iran was consistent and strong. Critics could point to failed efforts at engagement, his slowness to back tough sanctions, and his reliance on a shaky diplomatic process as undermining that rhetoric. Yet administration backers like columnist Jeffrey Goldberg continued to make the case that on this point there could be no doubting the president’s resolve.

But in the wake of this past weekend’s nuclear agreement with Iran and the evidence that the president has not only ignored Israel’s concerns about the deal (as well as those of Saudi Arabia) but appears to want a détente with Tehran that will upend America’s entire stance on the Middle East, it’s fair to say that the president has put his backers into a new and even more difficult test. Liberals may be lining up to take Obama and Secretary of State Kerry at their word that they have not given up their determination to thwart Iran’s nuclear ambitions and even accept the claim that the deal makes Israel safer. But given the administration’s acceptance of Iran’s “right” to enrich uranium and its apparent belief that it is unrealistic to think that Tehran can be forced to give up its nuclear program, belief in its bona fides on this issue can no longer be considered anything. At this point, American friends of Israel as well as those who understand the grave threat that Iran poses to U.S. interests and security need to face the fact that this president has abandoned them.

The disappointment must be especially acute for Goldberg, who has continued to insist that Obama should be trusted on Iran, even insisting that he would, if push came to shove, order air strikes or do whatever it took to make good on his pledge. Thus, to read the from this respected journalist is to see what happens when leaders cut their supporters off at the knees. Though the president has made Goldberg’s previous defenses of his Iran policy look silly, he is still hoping that the bottom line here won’t be complete betrayal and therefore tries weakly to rationalize or minimize what has just happened.

Goldberg’s position now is that demands for Iran to give up its nuclear program are unrealistic. That’s a new position for him, as he has never doubted that Iran’s goal was a weapon, a point that he doesn’t abandon even in his latest column when he rightly reminds us that, “Iran’s leaders are lying” about being only interested in a peaceful program. But also new is his belief that the crushing sanctions on Iran that he has been advocating for years would never bring about Iran’s capitulation. Thus he finds himself lamely accepting the administration’s excuse that a weak deal that legitimizes Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and does nothing to roll back the tremendous progress it has achieved on Obama’s watch is “the least-worst option.”

He justifies this surrender of principle by assuring himself, if not us, that Iran won’t take advantage of the opening Obama has given them. An even greater leap is his suggestion that after investing so much effort in this diplomatic campaign, the administration “might just have to walk away” from its new relationship with Iran once it realizes than Hassan Rouhani and the supposed moderates aren’t in charge in Tehran. This is absurd because, as reports about the secret diplomatic track that led to this agreement tell us, Obama’s efforts to make nice with Iran preceded Rouhani’s victory in the regime’s faux presidential election.

Equally absurd is his fainthearted attempt to reassure himself that “everything that has happened over these past months may not amount to anything at all.” Having gambled this much on appeasement of Iran, the administration isn’t backing off. No matter what tricks the Iranians pull in the next six months of talks, they know they’ve got the U.S. hooked and won’t let go. The future of the sanctions regime that neither Obama nor the Europeans ever really wanted is much more in question than Iran’s nuclear program. Only a fool would trust Iran’s word on this issue or believe that once they start to unravel, sanctions could be re-imposed.

All this puts American Jewish supporters of Israel like Goldberg in a tough position.

Liberal critics of Israel, like the J Street lobby that was set up to support Obama’s efforts to pressure the Jewish state to make concessions to the Palestinians, will instinctively back the president in any argument with Netanyahu. And it is true that most Americans are not terribly interested in involving the U.S. in yet another foreign conflict and may accept Obama and Kerry’s false argument that the alternative to a weak deal was war.

But mainstream American Jewish groups, and even most of their moderate and liberal supporters, understand what happened this past weekend was more than just another spat in a basically solid relationship. Try as they might, Obama and Kerry will be hard-pressed to persuade most supporters of Israel that they have the country’s best interests at heart as they embark on a road whose only main goal is to normalize relations with Iran.

Though American supporters of the Jewish state loved his rhetoric during his visit to Israel last spring, the president’s goal here has been to isolate America’s sole democratic ally in the Middle East. As Goldberg aptly pointed out, one of Obama’s prime objectives has been to ensure that Israel cannot act on its own or even in concert with some of its unlikely Arab allies of convenience against Iran. Indeed, that appears to be the only American objective that has actually been achieved with this agreement.

That is why Israel’s supporters cannot hesitate about backing congressional efforts to increase sanctions on Iran despite administration resistance. Jewish leaders were lied to earlier this month when senior officials tried to convince them to back off on lobbying for sanctions (an effort that met with at least partial success at first). They also lied to Netanyahu for months while Obama’s envoys were talking to Iran behind Israel’s back.

Obama has worried Jewish supporters before, but never has he so ruthlessly undermined their faith. The choice for the pro-Israel community is clear. It can, like Goldberg has done, redefine its objectives, and concede defeat on stopping Iran and/or pretend nothing has happened. Or it can find its collective voice and speak out against a terrible betrayal that gives the lie to every Obama statement about stopping Iran. If it chooses the latter, these groups will face the usual “Israel Lobby” calumnies from anti-Semites and Israel-haters who will claim they are undermining U.S. interests. But they cannot take counsel of their fears or be silenced. If they do, they will look back on this moment when it was still possible to mobilize congressional action against this betrayal with regret.