Tom Gross Mideast Media Analysis

Fatah: “Wailing Wall is ours”; Egyptian cleric cracks the Pepsi code; & other items

June 29, 2009

* Hamas: Idea of demilitarized Palestine is “pathetic”
* Fatah boasts about lynch murder of Israelis
* Relations between Obama administration and Israel hit new low
* Some European governments now more supportive of Israel than U.S. is
* Jimmy Carter and James Baker call on Obama to “talk to Hamas without delay”
* Human Rights Watch finally speaks up for Gilad Shalit (while Amnesty, Oxfam remain silent)
* Will Michael Jackson’s kids be raised by their Jewish mother?

 

CONTENTS

1. Fatah TV shows Hamas torturing Palestinians in Gaza
2. Fatah boasts about lynch murder of Israelis
3. U.S. government to fund Palestinian center named after Fatah terrorist and child-killer
4. Fatah delegate to Arab League: “Wailing Wall is an integral part of Al-Aqsa mosque”
5. Palestinian prosecutors seek death penalty for woman charged with collaborating with Israel
6. Egyptian cleric calls for boycott of Pepsi: name stands for “Pay Every Penny to Save Israel”
7. Middle East Quartet envoy Blair puts onus on Israel
8. Some European governments now more supportive of Israel than U.S. government is
9. U.S., EU seek to include Hamas in peace process
10. Livni: agreement with Hamas will “gravely harm Israel”
11. Jerusalem Post laments the “busloads of terrorists” who will be released for Gilad Shalit
12. Three years on, HRW finally firmly condemns kidnap of Shalit (while Amnesty Intl., Oxfam still silent)
13. The BBC’s Alan Johnston also refuses to condemn holding of Shalit
14. Hamas leader Meshaal rejects idea of demilitarized Palestine as “pathetic”
15. Cartoons: Palestinians discuss statehood
16. Will Michael Jackson’s kids be raised by their Jewish mother?


[All notes below by Tom Gross]

I attach various items relating to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. For space reasons, this dispatch is divided into two. The second part will be posted on Wednesday.

Even if you don’t have time to read the full dispatch, please do watch the four videos below. The videos are very short (most are under a minute) and are integral to understanding why it has been so difficult to achieve Mideast peace, and why Western governments continue to do so much damage by financing a Palestinian leadership without making their funding conditional on putting an end to the kind of incitement to murder which the second video below illustrates.

 

FATAH TV SHOWS HAMAS TORTURING PALESTINIANS IN GAZA

Palestinian Authority Television, which is controlled by Fatah and part-funded by the EU and U.S., marked the second anniversary of the Hamas takeover of Gaza by broadcasting an event that focused on vilifying Hamas. One part of the event featured graphic video of Hamas beating and torturing Palestinians in Gaza. You can watch a one minute segment here. (Warning: this video is violent.)



(Please also try to see videos which I included earlier this year on this list. For example, this 44-second film shows Hamas operatives throwing political opponents, with their hands bound and in some cases blindfolded, off Gaza rooftops.)

 

FATAH BOASTS ABOUT LYNCH MURDER OF ISRAELIS

Another segment of the Palestinian Authority TV program last week criticized and mocked Hamas for carrying out fewer acts of terrorism against Israel recently. (Hamas have been trying, but increased security at Gaza checkpoints by both Egypt and Israel have made it difficult for terrorists to get through.) At the same time PA TV glorified acts of terrorism by Fatah. (The BBC, CNN, New York Times and others constantly and wrongly refer to Fatah as a moderate organization.)

The Fatah TV program contains a scene with actors playing student supporters of Fatah and Hamas, debating which movement has been more “successful” in its attacks on Israel.

At the end, a Fatah student wins the debate when he outdoes Hamas’s boast of having kidnapped Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit by saying that Fatah knows how to kill Israelis and not just hold them hostage.

The incident referred to, which I reported on at the time as a journalist, is the gruesome lynching of two Israeli reservist soldiers who accidentally entered Palestinian Authority-controlled Ramallah in October 2000. The picture of a Palestinian celebrating the killing by waving his bloody hands out of the Ramallah police headquarters shocked the world, but the murder remains a source of pride for Fatah, and is often praised in mainstream Palestinian newspapers.

You can watch the short Fatah-Hamas “terror debate” here:



Please note that the video shows Fatah leaders seated in the front row of last week’s event. They are seen applauding. They include former head of PA security Muhammad Dahlan, the head of the PA Prisoners’ Association Kadura Faras; former PA Minister of Foreign Affairs Nasser Al-Qidwa; senior Fatah official Samir Al-Mashharawi, and other Palestinian leaders that are described as moderates by major British and French and American newspapers.

Are Barack Obama and his advisors watching videos like these? They are, after all, helping to fund them.

(Above videos courtesy of Palestinian Media Watch, the senior staff of which subscribe to this email list.)

 

OBAMA ADMINISTRATION TO FUND PALESTINIAN CENTER NAMED AFTER FATAH TERRORIST AND CHILD-KILLER

The U.S. government has announced it will finance the construction of a Palestinian computer center named in honor of arch Fatah terrorist Dalal Mughrabi, who led the 1978 bus bombing on Israel’s coastal highway in which 37 Israeli civilians, including 12 children and U.S. citizen Gail Rubin, were murdered.

Besides being morally reprehensible, the Obama administration is contravening the 2008 U.S. Foreign Operations Bill that bars U.S. assistance to the Palestinians from being used “for the purpose of recognizing or otherwise honoring individuals who commit or have committed acts of terrorism.”

 

FATAH DELEGATE TO ARAB LEAGUE: “WAILING WALL IS AN INTEGRAL PART OF AL-AQSA MOSQUE”

WAFA (the official news agency of the PLO, of which Fatah is the main constituent) reports that the chief Palestinian delegate to the Arab League, Ambassador Mohamed Sobeih, told reporters in Cairo last week (on June 26) that the Western Wall, which he called the “Jews’ Wailing Wall” is “an integral part of the Al-Aqsa mosque” and there would be no peace unless the wall “fell under Palestinian Muslim sovereignty.”

The Western Wall, which (together with the Temple Mount) is the holiest site in Judaism, lies in the Jewish quarter of Jerusalem’s old city. It is sometimes still referred to in a politically incorrect way as “The Wailing Wall”.

 

PALESTINIAN PROSECUTORS SEEK DEATH PENALTY FOR WOMAN CHARGED WITH COLLABORATING WITH ISRAEL

A 22-year-old Palestinian woman has been charged with “collaborating with Israel” and the Palestinian Authority prosecutor in the West Bank city of Jenin said he will seek the death sentence. Following interrogation (involving the threat of torture) the woman confessed to passing “low level” information to Israel. She was refused legal counsel. The PA has sentenced at least 30 Palestinians to death, but in general has not carried out the sentences. In Gaza, Hamas has executed a number of people, sometimes summarily shooting them in the street.

 

EGYPTIAN CLERIC CALLS FOR BOYCOTT OF PEPSI: NAME STANDS FOR “PAY EVERY PENNY TO SAVE ISRAEL”

Egyptian cleric Hazem Abu Ismail said in a religious address on Al-Nas TV:

“Do you know what the word ‘Pepsi’ means? Pepsi as in P-E-P-S-I. The first P stands for ‘Pay.’ E stands for ‘Every.’ The third letter stands for ‘Penny.’ A penny means any small coin you receive and don’t know what to do with. Pay it to ‘Saving’ I – ‘Israel.’ In other words, pay every small coin you receive in order to save Israel. They don’t want money from you – they want your small change, your pennies.”

The full video segment can be seen in Arabic here. (It was broadcast in February but only posted with English subtitles in recent days.)

(Translation courtesy of MEMRI, the senior staff of which subscribe to this email list.)

Alternatively, here is another broadcast where Hazem Abu Ismail makes similar points:


 

MIDDLE EAST QUARTET ENVOY BLAIR PUTS ONUS ON ISRAEL

Former British Prime Minister Tony Blair has said that a two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict could be within reach if only Israel would make more compromises. In an interview with Reuters, Blair, who represents the Quartet of Middle East mediators (which includes the UN, the U.S., Russia and the EU), put the focus of demands on Israel, not the Palestinians.

Ignoring the case of Gaza, where the removal of all Jewish settlements and soldiers merely led to an increase of attacks on Israel from territory Israel had left, Blair (reiterating the misguided position of the Obama administration) said that removing settlements would somehow in and of itself deliver peace. (The removal of many or most settlements might well be part of an agreement that would help lead to Israeli-Palestinian co-existence but to suggest that it alone will provide such an outcome is the height of naivety.) Blair added: “The advent of the Obama administration has given a new sense of energy and commitment and to a certain extent hope.”

 

SOME EUROPEAN GOVERNMENTS NOW MORE SUPPORTIVE OF ISRAEL THAN U.S. GOVERNMENT IS

Relations between Israel and the U.S. government are now at their lowest point in years. In the latest polls only 5% of Israelis say Barack Obama is sympathetic to Israel. These are, to my knowledge, the least favorable ratings Obama gets in any country in the world.

This is not surprising as he continues to ratchet up pressure on the Jewish state while being quite friendly when he meets dictators like Hugo Chavez of Venezuela or the Saudi crown prince. Even an American journalist like Washington Post Deputy Editorial Page Editor Jackson Diehl – who in the past has been a harsh critic of Israel – says in an editorial today that Obama has gone too far in the pressure and demands he is now putting on Israel. Diehl’s article will be included in the second part of this dispatch.

In a complete reversal of the Bush era, Israel now enjoys better relations with several European governments, and also with Canada, than it does with the U.S. administration.

One such government is Italy, where Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu received a warm welcome last week from Italian Premier Silvio Berlusconi, while Netanyahu postponed a potentially much less comfortable meeting with Obama’s Mideast envoy, George Mitchell, in Paris.

Berlusconi endorsed Netanyahu’s plan for a future demilitarized Palestinian state and said peace wouldn’t be possible unless the Palestinians recognize Israel as a “Jewish state” with a right to exist. (Leading French government officials also expressed support for Israel’s positions last week, in contrast to those in America. Netanyahu has moved sharply to the left and Israel’s centrist Kadima party and left-center Labor party are now finding it difficult to differentiate its policy statements from Netanyahu’s.)

Whereas the U.S. says emphatically that Israel must call an immediate halt to all forms of Jewish settlement activity, including the building of children’s playgrounds and medical centers in the suburbs of Jerusalem, Berlusconi was more gentle, speaking only of the need for Israel “to send signals” on stopping settlement activity in the West Bank.

However, although Italy is one of Israel’s closest allies in Europe, it also remains Iran’s No. 1 European trading partner, accounting for about 26 percent of total import-export trade between EU countries and Tehran. Last year, Italian imports from Iran amounted to 4.1 billion euro ($5.73 billion).

 

U.S., EU SEEK TO INCLUDE HAMAS IN PEACE PROCESS

The American government and the European Union are making efforts to include Hamas in a broader diplomatic effort that would aim at a long-term cease-fire between Hamas and Israel, and reconciliation between Fatah and Hamas.

A deal is reportedly being formulated for the transfer of kidnapped Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit to Egypt, in return for which Israel would release Palestinian prisoners, including convicted murderers. A European diplomatic source has confirmed that such talks were continuing in secret, and only four persons were privy to the details of the talks. Israel was not a party to this initiative.

Israel has downplayed reports of a pending breakthrough in the Shalit case, and Israeli officials noted that Shalit’s release has been undermined in the past by too many public statements.

Meanwhile, four senior American Republican and Democratic figures, including former president Jimmy Carter and former secretary of state James Baker, called on President Barack Obama to initiate a dialogue with Hamas without delay. Speaking during a conference organized by the Foundation for Middle East Peace, Baker said that just as the U.S. spoke to Yasser Arafat, so it must do with Hamas.

Last month at least 7 Palestinians were killed in a series of fierce gun battles between Fatah and Hamas operatives in the West Bank.

According to a new poll released today by the Palestinian Jerusalem Media and Communications Center (JMCC), support for Hamas among Palestinians in both the West Bank and Gaza is waning. 18.8 percent of the Palestinian population backs the Islamist group, compared to 27% when the last JMCC survey was conducted in January. The survey of 1,199 people also showed that 35% of Palestinians support Fatah, a nine percent rise compared with the previous survey.

 

LIVNI: AGREEMENT WITH HAMAS WILL “GRAVELY HARM ISRAEL”

Israeli Opposition leader and former foreign minister Tzipi Livni, of the center-left Kadima party, said yesterday that any “agreements with Hamas would clearly, and gravely, harm the interests of the state of Israel.”

Speaking at a conference in Tel Aviv, Livni criticized not only Western governments for trying to include Hamas but also Prime Minister Netanyahu’s possible involvement in the deal. She said that “just as halting the negotiations with the moderates in the Palestinian Authority harms Israel, so does formulating direct or indirect deals with Hamas, which could legitimize the organization in exchange for a mere few days of quiet [i.e. Hamas not firing rockets at Israel]. It is a strategic mistake that will harm Israel.”

 

JERUSALEM POST LAMENTS THE “BUSLOADS OF TERRORISTS” WHO WILL BE RELEASED FOR GILAD SHALIT

In an editorial, The Jerusalem Post discusses the three years that have passed since the abduction of Gilad Shalit, and hopes for his imminent release. However, the editors oppose the wholesale release of violent terrorists in exchange for Shalit, and write that “Once the wrenching Shalit affair is ended, we urge an efficient commission of inquiry into why there was no attempt to rescue the soldier over three years. Israelis have the right to know why the risks to the civilian population in releasing busloads of terrorists were deemed to trump those of a rescue mission.”

By contrast, the left-wing Israeli paper Ha’aretz calls for Netanyahu to release the extra 100 or so Palestinians convicted of serious crimes that Hamas is demanding (in addition to some 900 Palestinians convicted of lesser crimes that Israel has already agreed to) to secure Shalit’s release.

In order to torment his family further, Hamas has refused to confirm whether or not Shalit is alive. Osama al-Muzaini, a Hamas official authorized to speak about the case, again said on Monday that maybe Shalit was dead. Hizbullah also didn’t confirm whether the Israeli soldiers they kidnapped inside Israel in 2006, were alive or dead until a prisoner swap was under way last year. While Israel delivered live terrorists in good health, on that occasion Hizbullah delivered dead soldiers in return.

 

THREE YEARS ON, HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH FINALLY FIRMLY CONDEMNS KIDNAP OF SHALIT (WHILE AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL, OXFAM STILL SILENT)

Last week, on the third anniversary of Shalit’s kidnapping, the New York-based NGO Human Rights Watch (HRW) – which has continually been outspoken against Israel – finally issued a firm statement (rather than the tepid ones it has previously issued) condemning the kidnapping of Shalit and the manner in which he was being held, calling it “cruel and inhumane”.

Shalit has been denied even one visit by the International Red Cross, a grave violation of international humanitarian law. HRW makes clear that Hamas has “no excuse” for the way it has treated Shalit.

By contrast, other major international human rights NGOs, including the British-based Amnesty International and Oxfam, have failed to unreservedly condemn Shalit’s detention, thereby further damaging their unconvincing claims to impartiality.

 

THE BBC’S ALAN JOHNSTON ALSO REFUSES TO CONDEMN HOLDING OF SHALIT

The BBC’s former Gaza correspondent Alan Johnston, who was held by Palestinian terrorists for 114 days (barely a tenth of the time that Shalit has been in captivity) again refused to express sympathy for Shalit when asked by Ha’aretz newspaper last weekend. Johnson has been repeatedly criticized for his strong anti-Israel views. He now presents BBC radio news programs from London.

The day after his release in 2007, at an hour-long press conference at the British consulate in Jerusalem, Johnston went out of his way to thank almost everyone – including Hamas, Fatah, the Palestinian people, the BBC, the British Foreign Office, international journalists, the European Union and the UN – but noticeably avoided thanking the government of Israel, who had been aiding the British in all kinds of ways behind the scenes to secure his release.

During that press conference he also refused to express sympathy for the young Israeli hostage Gilad Shalit, despite being asked to do so by Israeli journalists. After the press conference, Johnston paid a courtesy visit to Fatah leader Mahmoud Abbas in Ramallah. Later that day, Johnston called Hamas supreme leader Khaled Meshaal in Damascus to thank him in person.

 

HAMAS LEADER MESHAAL REJECTS IDEA OF DEMILITARIZED PALESTINE AS “PATHETIC”

The exiled Hamas leader Khaled Meshaal has responded to the recent speeches by U.S. President Barack Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

In a speech last Thursday in Damascus, Meshaal said that Netanyahu’s suggestion that a Palestinian state be demilitarized was “pathetic”. Recognizing Israel as a Jewish state “would erase the right of return to lands taken in 1948,” he added.

Rather than saying it might be the starting point for negotiations, the Fatah leadership in Ramallah also dismissed Netanyahu’s offer out of hand.

(For a full transcript of Netanyahu’s speech, not the misleading extracts that some Western media printed, please see here.)

Regarding Obama’s recent speech in Cairo, Meshaal said it was “good, but not enough.” Meshaal addressed Obama directly, saying he appreciated the new administration’s attitude towards Hamas, calling it “a step in the right direction.”

He added “The times have changed. Israel can no longer defeat our people and the Muslim nations. It has failed in its Nazi war on Gaza just as it failed in Lebanon. This is the result of the resistance [terror and rocket attacks], not negotiations that only mask the face of the occupation.”

 

CARTOONS: PALESTINIANS DISCUSS STATEHOOD

Here is the take by cartoonist Dry Bones on the Palestinian reaction to Netanyahu’s speech.


And here was his take in 1994 after the Israeli Labor government offered the Palestinians “land for peace”:

 

WILL MICHAEL JACKSON’S KIDS BE RAISED BY THEIR JEWISH MOTHER?

Lawyers are debating whether Michael Jackson’s two oldest children will be returned to the custody of Deborah Rowe, their Jewish mother.

The children Rowe had with the “King of Pop,” who died Friday of unspecified causes, are Prince Michael I, who is 12, and Paris Michael Katherine, 11. By virtue of having a Jewish mother, they are considered Jewish. A third child, Prince Michael II, was born to a surrogate mother, whose identity has not been revealed.

After divorcing Lisa Marie Presley, Jackson married Rowe, his former dermatologist nurse, in 1996. The couple divorced in 1999 and Rowe signed a contract waiving her parental rights. She later contested the contract, arguing among other things that she feared her children were being exposed to the teachings of the extremist group, the Nation of Islam.

Her fears were based on the fact that Jackson’s security was being handled by the Nation of Islam, headed by Louis Farrakhan, and that Jermaine Jackson, Michael’s brother, as well as the children’s nanny, were both Nation of Islam members.

Rowe’s attorney, Iris Finsilver, told the Associated Press yesterday that Rowe would be seeking custody of the two children.

[All notes above by Tom Gross]


Twitter 1, BBC 0: online videos show the real face of Ahmadinejad

June 22, 2009

* Roger Cohen and the Swiss president should be ashamed
* Many international media misreport the true nature and severity of the Iranian uprising
* "Opposition" candidate Mir Hossein Mousavi is no Iranian Vaclav Havel or Aung San Suu Kyi

(For other comment on the Iranian uprising, please see "What Iran has been doing while you were watching the protests".)

 

CONTENTS

1. Twitter's finest hour
2. Roger Cohen and the Swiss president should be ashamed
3. Videos: the real face of Ahmadinejad
4. So were the neocons right all along?
5. Failing to highlight Khamenei's central role in the terror
6. Mousavi is neither a liberal nor an opponent of the Islamist state
7. The true Iranian opposition is still being ignored
8. Khamenei at prayer, resting on the barrel of a gun
9. The List: Iran's worst clerics
10. Was Dennis Ross ousted as U.S. envoy to Iran because he refused to take anti-Israel stance?
11. British ambassador and Hizbullah deputy hold meeting
12. Peres, Merkel, McCain speak out strongly, while Obama's meek response is criticized
13. Hamas, Syria hail Ahmadinejad "victory"
14. Arab League chief congratulates Ahmadinejad
15. Pakistani leaders congratulate Ahmadinejad
16. Update: Roger Cohen on Roger Cohen
17. "Iran's worst clerics" (By Joshua Keating, Foreign Policy)


[All notes below by Tom Gross]

TWITTER'S FINEST HOUR

Twitter was previously known as a website for celebrities, not revolutionaries. Now it has played a key role in enabling many around the world to show what is happening in Iran. A few media (such as Sky News) have shown video posted on YouTube via Twitter, while others, such as the BBC, have downplayed the full severity of what is happening in Iran, and not shown these videos.

(Indeed, as pointed out over the years on this website, the BBC and others have regularly failed to report on the Iranian regime's use of extreme brutality against political liberals, ethnic minorities, and homosexuals, instead preferring to incessantly criticize Israel, the only democracy in the Middle East.)

With text messaging and internet sites such as Facebook, Skype, Flickr and YouTube blocked in Iran, Twitter has become a crucial tool enabling Iranians to communicate. Twitter users have played an electronic cat and mouse game to defy authorities, to post videos taken with mobile phones on YouTube abroad, and to organize protests. Twitter remains much more resistant to censorship than other websites because there are so many ways for users to post without using twitter.com

 

ROGER COHEN AND THE SWISS PRESIDENT SHOULD BE ASHAMED

Below I attach a few of the videos showing the reality of Iran's dictatorship, a reality that many international TV networks are refusing to show. Some of these videos make for gruesome viewing, though I have not included those which are too bloody to watch. Please do watch them. To state the obvious, this is not some video game or Hollywood movie. These events really happened, and they happened last week, and the leader of the free world, Barack Obama, has been extraordinarily slow to criticize them.

Those journalists who for months before the election were apologizing for Ahmadinejad and whitewashing him – journalists like New York Times and International Herald Tribune columnist Roger Cohen (and the Times editors who continued to publish him), or editors at meretricious publications like The London Review of Books – should be ashamed of themselves.

So too should the Swiss president, who only two months ago hosted a state banquet for Ahmadinejad, and the authorities at Columbia university in New York who graciously invited Ahmadinejad to address their students. (Please see previous dispatches on this list for details of the red carpet treatment Ahmadinejad has been given there and elsewhere.)

 

VIDEOS: THE REAL FACE OF AHMADINEJAD

Some of these videos are disturbing but I feel they need to be watched to understand the true nature of Iran's regime and why it should never be allowed to acquire nuclear weapons. You are seeing history instantly in front of your eyes.

***

Fascist blackshirts, Iranian-style. I suggest you watch this 93-second video through to the end. Remember the Iranian protestors are completely unarmed.

***

One's own home is no escape from the revolutionary guards and Basij militia. This 43-second video shows a man beaten unconscious in his own front yard. The video was shot from an upstairs neighbor's house.

***

Tehran, June 22. This 22-second video shows what the regime is willing to do to its own people. Imagine what it will do to the satanic "Jews and infidels".


***

A girl shot in the eye by security services. This 16-second video, taken at 1.42 pm on Saturday June 20, is particularly violent. It has been shown on Sky News, though not on other channels.

(The girl in the above video has been named as Neda Salehi Agha Soltan. In the above video, her father watches over as she dies, desperately asking her not to be afraid. Her funeral was supposed to be held today at Tehran's Niloufar Mosque. But the Iranian regime’s agents contacted the mosque this morning and ordered the funeral service cancelled. Other mosques have also been issued directives warning them not to hold a funeral for Neda. Thousands of her fellow students were expected to attend her funeral.)

***

Another murdered protestor (a two-second video):

***

This 23-second video shows what it is like when a pro-democracy student has been shot. Where are all those British academics and students who are constantly calling for a boycott of Israeli students and academics? Their silence now is deafening.

***

This 41-second video shows the murder of another student:

***

Ahmadinejad's thugs smash up student dorms and cars:


***

Doctors and nurses protest the regime. Their placards read (in Persian) that they don’t want to treat any more victims killed and injured by the "dictator Ahmadinejad".

***

Another dead protestor carried by the crowd:

***

There are hundreds of videos like this coming out of Iran. The brutality in cities other than Tehran where there are fewer cameras is said to be much worse.

CNN put the death toll from last Saturday alone at 150. The BBC, taking a more conservative estimate than even the regime, said only 10 innocents died that day.

A picture of one of last week's demonstrations before the Iranian revolutionary guards and Basij militia broke it up:

 

SO WERE THE NEOCONS RIGHT ALL ALONG?

President Bush said liberating Iraq would have a regional domino effect and give people a taste for freedom and democracy. Is this what we're seeing now in Iran?

As Bush said, liberty isn’t American, or British, or French. It is human. No, the morality police in Iran are not just "part of Iranian culture" as some critics of Bush have claimed. Nor are public hangings. Nor are arbitrary detentions of doctors, or Holocaust denial conferences, or the public flogging and hanging of homosexuals.

Peace comes through the spread of liberalism and democracy. Whatever the "foreign policy realists" or "regime apologists" might claim, there is little doubt in my view that should Iran become a liberal nation the world will be a safer place for all, not just a better place for Iranians.

 

FAILING TO HIGHLIGHT KHAMENEI'S CENTRAL ROLE IN THE TERROR

Just as mainstream left-leaning media such as the BBC, have failed to report properly on the central role that Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei plays in crushing dissent in Iran, they have also misled viewers by telling them that all in the vast crowds protesting the regime last week were supporting the "moderate reformer" Hossein Mousavi.

Pictures of Khamenei, 70, are pasted across Iran. He has maneuvered against reform, promoted the nuclear program, is close to the feared and ruthless revolutionary guards, and has ordered increased money and weapons be provided to Hizbullah and Hamas for use against Israel.

 

MOUSAVI IS NEITHER A LIBERAL NOR AN OPPONENT OF THE ISLAMIST STATE

The "opposition" candidate Mir Hossein Mousavi is one of the fathers of Iran's nuclear program, and was prime minister during the Iran-Iraq war, directing his army to send waves of teenage suicide bombers against Iraqi forces. (He is incidentally a cousin of Ayatollah Khamenei.) He is almost as much a hardliner of the regime as the "victor" President Ahmadinejad is. That is why he was one of just four candidates (out of over 4000 people who applied) allowed by the regime to stand in this stage-managed presidential election.

All four regime-approved candidates have long been involved in the regime's reign of terror. For example, Mousavi was responsible for ordering the execution of 30,000 Iraqi prisoners.

 

THE TRUE IRANIAN OPPOSITION IS STILL BEING IGNORED

The BBC and others continue to ignore real opposition to the dictatorship, supported by many of the demonstrators, such as the National Council of Resistance of Iran, a political umbrella coalition of five Iranian opposition political organizations, including secular democrats, led by Mrs. Maryam Rajavi from exile in Paris. Several times last week, the Supreme Leader acknowledged this in his public statements. But the Western media has hardly mentioned the NCRI, even though in Paris on Saturday, tens of thousands of its supporters staged the largest ever demonstration by Iranians outside Iran.

As usual, the BBC, the world's largest news broadcaster, gets so much of its Middle East reporting wrong. This is not a battle between a hard-line reactionary Ahmadinejad and a "moderate reformist" Mousavi. It is a battle between rival factions of a ruthless and dangerous regime.

 

KHAMENEI AT PRAYER, RESTING ON THE BARREL OF A GUN

Here is a small detail from Saturday's coverage of Khamenei's Friday sermon in the 23rd paragraph of a story in The Washington Post:

"But Khamenei's comments rejecting significant irregularities appeared to preempt the council's probe. As Khamenei arrived to lead the Friday prayers, a sea of fists punched the air, and thousands of supporters roared their greetings: 'Our blood in our veins is for you, O Leader!' Khamenei smiled, raising his hand, which was resting on the barrel of a gun, to calm the audience."

It is in fact common for Khamenei to do this, although the Western media usually avoid mentioning or showing pictures of it. Here, as an exception, is a picture from two years ago.

Of course, in the context of this past Friday's sermon, for Khamenei to do so is particularly chilling.

 

THE LIST: IRAN'S WORST CLERICS

At the end of this dispatch, I attach a list of "Iran's Worst Clerics": five hard-line mullahs who stand in the way of any liberalization.

Here are extracts for those who don't have time to read the item in full:

* Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati, Chairman of the Guardian Council, the 12 member group that oversees elections and is tasked with ensuring Iran's government complies with the principals of the Islamic state. The 82-year old Jannati regularly uses his Friday sermons to call for the destruction of Israel and the United States and to encourage Iranians to support Hizbullah in Lebanon and an Islamic state in Iraq.

* Ayatollah Mohammad-Taqi Mesbah-Yazdi, Chairman of the Assembly of Experts, the group that chooses Iran's supreme leader. Yazdi has publicly supported the use of suicide bombing against the enemies of Islam and the use of death squads against political reformers. He is often described as Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's spiritual mentor, though at times, even the incumbent president has been too moderate for him. When Ahmadinejad tried to change the law to allow women to attend soccer matches, he was publicly rebuked by Yazdi.

Yazdi, like Ahmadinejad, believes in the return of the 12th Imam as the final act in the preparations for the end of the world. There has been speculation that Yazdi will succeed Khamenei as supreme leader.

* Grand Ayatollah Naser Makarem Shirazi. A grand ayatollah, the highest rank for Shi'ite clerics, Shirazi was very politically active before and during the 1979 revolution and played a key role in writing the Islamic Republic's constitution. He's written that men should be permitted to beat their wives for failing to perform their sexual obligations.

* Ayatollah Qorbanali Dorri-Najafabadi, Iran's prosecutor general. He earned some ridicule in the West for calling Barbie dolls and Harry Potter a "Zionist plot to undermine Islam" (as reported previously on this email list) but in Iran he is known and feared for his brutality and is said to have had a hand in many major atrocities over the years.

* Hojjatol-Islam Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei, the Minister of intelligence and security. He played a key role in the trial and brief imprisonment recently of American journalist Roxanna Saberi. He has been equally prominent in quashing dissent during the current unrest.

 

WAS DENNIS ROSS OUSTED AS U.S. ENVOY TO IRAN BECAUSE HE REFUSED TO TAKE ANTI-ISRAEL POSITIONS?

On February 24 this year, Dennis Ross was appointed as Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's advisor on the Persian Gulf and as special envoy to Iran.

In the coming days, he will abruptly be relieved of his duties, sources in Washington have confirmed to the Israeli paper Ha'aretz. An official announcement is expected shortly.

The Obama administration will announce that Ross has been reassigned to another position in the White House, reports the paper. In his new post, the former Mideast peace envoy under President Bill Clinton will deal primarily with regional issues related to the peace process.

Washington insiders speculate that Ross is being reassigned because he is regarded as too fair to Israel and he argued with others in the Obama administration against a linkage between the Palestinian issue and America's policy against Iran's nuclear ambitions. Ross maintains contacts with senior officials in Israel's defense establishment and the Israeli government. (Ross is also a subscriber to this email list.)

It is possible, however, that if Ross is based in the White House in future, he will gain better access to Obama.

 

BRITISH AMBASSADOR AND HIZBULLAH DEPUTY HOLD MEETING

In spite of, or perhaps because of Supreme Leader Khamenei's attack on Britain, the British government continues to appease the Iranian-created Lebanese Shia terror group Hizbullah. The British are making a nonsensical distinction (denied even by Hizbullah itself) that the "political wing" and "military wing" of the organization are separate.

The London based Arabic-language newspaper Asharq Al-Awsat reported on Friday that:

"Almost three months after Britain announced it would pursue a more open policy toward Hizbullah, the first public meeting took place yesterday between the two sides. British Ambassador to Lebanon Frances Mary Guy visited Hizbullah Deputy Muhammad Raid in his office in parliament in central Beirut.

"A Hizbullah official told Asharq Al-Awsat that the meeting was held at Britain's request while a British Foreign Office source said the timing after the [Lebanese] elections was a coincidence and that the two sides had agreed to hold a meeting some time ago but did not have the time for this until now and referred to Hizbullah's preoccupation with the preparations for the elections."

 

PERES, MERKEL, MCCAIN SPEAK OUT STRONGLY, WHILE OBAMA'S MEEK RESPONSE IS CRITICIZED

Israeli President Shimon Peres, commenting on the unrest in Iran, said yesterday that he hoped the current Iranian government would be ousted from office.

"Let the young people raise their voice of freedom for a positive policy. Let the Iranian women, who are a very courageous group of people, voice their thirst for equality, for freedom," Peres said in a meeting with visiting American Jews in Jerusalem.

"I really don't know what will disappear first, their enriched uranium, or their wretched government," Peres continued. "Hopefully, the wretched government will disappear."

Conservative politicians, such as German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Canadian Foreign Affairs Minister Lawrence Cannon, have been outspoken in their criticism of Iran's government and elections, and on behalf of human rights.

By contrast, U.S. President Barack Obama is coming under increased criticism, even from members of his own Democrat party, for his extremely mild response. Others in his administration have also, on Obama's instructions, given only very cautious responses.

Even after many unarmed peaceful Iranian protestors had been murdered, Vice-President Joe Biden said "We're going to withhold comment... mean we're just waiting to see." And Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said: "We are monitoring the situation as it unfolds in Iran but we, like the rest of the world, are waiting and watching to see what the Iranian people decide."

On the other hand, U.S. Senator John McCain, last year's defeated Republican presidential candidate, made strong comments calling the Iranian government a "brutal dictatorship" which "orchestrated this sham election" and saying that "America should be acting as a symbol of hope for the Iranian people."

 

HAMAS, SYRIA HAIL AHMADINEJAD "VICTORY"

The brutal regime of Syria (which some Western governments are trying to fool themselves is a force for moderation in the Middle East) and the Islamist group Hamas, have hailed Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's "victory".

"The results of the elections in Iran show the wide public support for Iran's policy of challenge [to the United States, to the existence of Israel and to the truth about the Holocaust]," Fawzi Barhoum, a Hamas spokesman in Gaza, said in a statement.

Syrian President Bashir Assad sent Ahmadinejad a cable in which he offered Ahmadinejad his "best wishes for progress and prosperity," AFP reported, quoting the Syrian news agency SANA.

Hamas, like Hizbullah in Lebanon, is widely viewed as an Iranian client militia, receiving financial and military support from the Islamic Republic.

 

ARAB LEAGUE CHIEF CONGRATULATES AHMADINEJAD

Amr Moussa, the secretary-general of the Arab League, also congratulated Ahmadinejad on his victory, but voiced Arab concerns over Iran's nuclear program.

"We hope that the next term would witness progress on the relations between Iran and the Arab world and cooperation in establishing peace in the Middle East," he said.

"Also that the security, regional security in the region will be paramount in working together to free the region from all weapons of mass destruction including nuclear weapons."

 

PAKISTANI LEADERS CONGRATULATE AHMADINEJAD

Iran's state-controlled Fars news agency reports:

Pakistan's President Asif Ali Zardari and Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani in separate messages extended their congratulations to the incumbent President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on his landslide triumph in 10th presidential election in Iran.

"This is indeed testimony of the confidence of the people of Iran in your leadership qualities and an acknowledgement of your outstanding services," Pakistani President Zardari said in his message.

He also wished further expansion for Tehran-Islamabad ties in a near future based on close, brotherly relations. "I wish you every success and ever greater prosperity for the brotherly people of Iran. Please accept, Excellency, the assurances of my highest consideration," he reiterated.

Meantime, Pakistani Prime Minister Gilani said in his message, "It gives me immense pleasure to congratulate you on your well deserved re-election as the President of the Islamic Republic of Iran."

"On behalf of the government and people of Pakistan, I wish to convey to you and our Iranian brothers every success, peace, happiness and prosperity."

Pakistan's Prime Minister also said, "We are determined to further strengthen our cooperative ties in a comprehensive manner. I have no doubt that our close brotherly relations will strengthen and attain new heights in the years ahead."

Ahmadinejad won a second term in office after gaining 24,527,516 votes from a total number of 39,165,191 ballots cast in the boxes, which accounts for 62.63% of the votes. His main rival Mir-Hossein Mousavi could secure only 13,216,411 (33.75%) of the votes. The ministry's election headquarters also put the rate of public participation at 85%.

http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=8803240990

[Tom Gross adds: The above item comes from Iranian government sources and has not been independently verified.]

 

UPDATE: ROGER COHEN ON ROGER COHEN

Roger Cohen has now demonstrated a small glimmering of self-awareness:

He wrote in The New York Times: "I’ve argued for engagement with Iran and I still believe in it, although, in the name of the millions defrauded, President Obama’s outreach must now await a decent interval.

"I’ve also argued that, although repressive, the Islamic Republic offers significant margins of freedom by regional standards. I erred in underestimating the brutality and cynicism of a regime that understands the uses of ruthlessness."

[All notes above by Tom Gross]


FULL ARTICLE

FIVE MULLAHS TO FEAR

Iran's Worst Clerics
By Joshua Keating
Foreign Policy
June 2009

As the Iranian opposition takes its case to the country's religious leader, here's a look at five hard-line mullahs who could stand in the way.

AYATOLLAH AHMAD JANNATI

Position: Chairman of the Guardian Council, the 12 member group that oversees elections and is tasked with ensuring the government complies with the principals of the Islamic state. He also holds seats on the Assembly of Experts and Expediency Discernment Council, two other top regime bodies. Jannati frequently acts as "substitute imam" for Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei by delivering the Friday prayers in Tehran.

Worldview: "He's considered a real hardliner. Way, way, way on the right. He's a real dying breed," says Geneive Abdo, a Middle East expert at the Century Foundation who has reported extensively on Iran's clerics. The 82-year old Jannati has used his Friday sermons to call for the destruction of Israel and the United States and encourage Iranians to support Hizbullah in Lebanon and an Islamic state in Iraq.

Possible election role: The Guardian Council vets candidates before they can run, generally weeding out unacceptable reformists and women. As chairman of the council, the hard-line Jannati wields enormous influence over Iran's political process. At the same time, experts say, his influence has been somewhat diminished lately.

"Jannati is old and he's an idiot," says Rasool Nafisi of Strayer University. "He was put in his position only because of his absolutely loyalty [to Khomeini]." Jannati has been eclipsed somewhat by Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, his more politically shrewd and ideologically promiscuous rival within Iran's clerical establishment, according to Nafisi. But given his revolutionary credentials, powerful office, and nearly blind devotion to Khamenei, it would be a mistake to write him off completely.

 

AYATOLLAH MOHAMMAD-TAQI MESBAH-YAZDI

Position: Chairman of the Assembly of Experts, the group tasked with selecting Iran's supreme leader

Worldview: Nicknamed "professor crocodile" by reformists, Yazdi (not to be confused with fellow Ayatollah Mohammad Yazdi of the Guardian Council) is the hard-liner's hard-liner. "He speaks only in rhetoric," says Abdo, who has interviewed him. "When you ask him questions, you don't get answers, you get slogans."

Yazdi has publicly supported the use of suicide bombing against the enemies of Islam and the use of death squads against political reformers. He is often described as Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's spiritual mentor, though at times, even the incumbent president has been too moderate for him. When Ahmadinejad tried to change the law to allow women to attend soccer matches, he was publicly rebuked by Yazdi.

Possible election role: The current turmoil should be a test of Yazdi's true loyalties. In recent years, there has been speculation that Yazdi has been eyeing Khamenei's position. If true, Yazdi could exploit the current turmoil to move against the supreme leader, but Nafisi thinks the rumors are overblown. "He's on Khamenei's payroll," he says. "[Khamenei's predecessor, Ayatollah Ruhollah] Khomeini hated Yazdi. It was Khamenei who lifted him up and gave him his position."

On the other hand, Nafisi also believes that the relationship between Yazdi and Ahmadinejad has been exaggerated, noting that in the run-up to the election Yazdi "said nothing in support" of the president. But if Yazdi is not overly fond of Ahmadinejad, he absolutely despises Iran's reformists and is unlikely to favor concessions to them.

 

GRAND AYATOLLAH NASER MAKAREM SHIRAZI

Position: A grand ayatollah, the highest rank for Shiite clerics, Shirazi was very politically active before and during the 1979 revolution and played a role in writing the Islamic Republic's constitution.

Worldview: Shirazi is among the most conservative of the Iran's ayatollahs and one of the most influential. His views on gender roles are particularly extreme; he's written that men should be permitted to beat their wives for failing to perform their sexual obligations. He is a "major player in terms of advocating the authority of the supreme leader from a religious point of view," says Nafisi.

Possible election role: Shirazi, who can be relied upon to go to bat for Khamenei in any potential power struggle, came to his position of influence within the clerical establishment through a somewhat unusual route. After the revolution, Shirazi was given control of Iran's sugar exports and became very wealthy in the process. "Today, Shirazi is powerful in Qom [Iran's center of religious scholarship] because he is the man the other clerics go to when they need money," Nafisi says. The "Sultan of Sugar" has more than a few favors to call in if his friend Khamenei needs it.

 

AYATOLLAH QORBANALI DORRI-NAJAFABADI

Position: Iran's prosecutor general

Worldview: Dorri-Najafabadi has earned some ridicule in the West last year for calling Barbie dolls and Harry Potter a "destructive culturally and a social danger," but his role in stifling dissent in Iran is deadly serious. In his former post as minister of intelligence, Dorri-Najafabadi was implicated in the murders of numerous reformist politicians and journalists.

He was forced to resign that post under the presidency of Mohammad Khatami, but under Ahmadinejad he has reemerged as a major player in the Iranian state's security apparatus. "He's a very brutal guy," says Nafisi. "He's involved in nearly every atrocity." Dorri-Najafabadi also spoke out shortly before the election to emphasize that whoever won, they should continue the struggle against Zionism.

Possible election role: Dorri-Najafabadi's political influence is limited, but he can still make life miserable through his influence in Iran's security and legal systems. He has described pro-Mousavi marchers as "opportunists" who are "engaged in criminal activities."

But Dorri-Najafabadi has been sending mixed signals recently. He chastised election authorities for not allowing Ahmadinejad's opponents equal time during televised debates and the Association of Combatant Clerics, a leading group of reformists, has asked that he be invited to participate in the Guardian Council's deliberations on whether to hold an election recount. It would be the ultimate irony if this longtime scourge of Iran's reformist movement emerged as a key ally.

 

HOJJATOL-ISLAM GHOLAM-HOSSEIN MOHSENI-EJEI

Position: Minister of intelligence and security

Worldview: A member of the infamous Ministry Of Intelligence and Security since its creation, Mohseni-Ejei is dedicated to protecting the Islamic Republic from enemies foreign and domestic. He has on numerous occasions accused the United States and Israel of spying inside Iran and has routinely blames domestic unrest on foreign involvement. Even after Iranian courts cleared U.S. journalist Roxanna Saberi of any wrongdoing, Mohseni-Ejei publicly maintained that she was a spy.

Mohseni-Ejei has a reputation, like Ahmadinejad, who appointed him to his current post, for being tough on corruption and brought prosecutions against a number of government officials in his former post as prosecutor general. However, reformists point out that he has almost never prosecuted clerics suspected of corruption, earning him a reputation as an enforcer for the ayatollahs. (Mohseni-Ejei is not an ayatollah himself but a hojjatol-Islam, a middle-ranking cleric.)

Possible election role: Since Iran's election crisis began, Mohseni-Ejei has followed his usual habit of blaming the unrest on international actors. His ministry has carried out numerous arrests of "provocation agents" and he has warned that if demonstrators disturb the peace, they will "not only be arrested… their identities will be made public."

Like Dorri-Najafabadi, Mohseni-Ejei is one of the most influential clerics in Iran's security establishment, but unlike him, "he remains quite active politically," according to Nafisi. He can be expected to lobby the state to resist reform and quash dissent.


What Iran has been doing while you were watching the protests (& other aspects of the uprising)

June 21, 2009

* “While the remarkable turmoil in the aftermath of Iran’s presidential election has captured the world’s attention, other news relating to Iran has slipped by relatively unnoticed. Last week, the head of the Pentagon’s Missile Defense Agency told Congress that Iran and North Korea were cooperating on ballistic missiles. Diplomats in Vienna said that Iran had denied an IAEA request to install additional monitoring cameras at the uranium enrichment facility at Natanz, and IAEA director-general Mohammad ElBaradei claimed categorically that Iran desires nuclear weapons, not civil nuclear energy.”

* Since its inception in 1979, the Islamic republic has organized 31 elections at different levels. All have been carefully scripted, with candidates pre-approved by the regime and no independent mechanism for oversight.

* “The President yesterday denounced the ‘extent of the fraud’ and the ‘shocking’ and ‘brutal’ response of the Iranian regime to public demonstrations in Tehran. That president was not Barack Obama.”

 

CONTENTS

1. The fight over Iran’s future is only just beginning
2. Cartoon: Obama’s 3 am phone call
3. Spoken like a good lawyer
4. The U.S. should vigorously defend a free Iran
5. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei: The election is a “miracle” and a “triumph for Islam”
6. President Ahmadinelandslide
7. Summary of editorials on Iran from today’s Israeli press
8. “Obama’s Iran abdication” (Editorial, Wall Street Journal)
9. What Iran has been doing while you were watching the protests (By Michael Singh)
10. “Iran’s dictator gives up pretence of democracy” (By Amir Taheri)
11. “Neutrality isn’t an option” (By Mark Steyn)


THE FIGHT OVER IRAN’S FUTURE IS ONLY JUST BEGINNING

Tomorrow I will post a dispatch (titled: Twitter 1, BBC 0) exploring the current situation in Iran in more depth, with various videos and notes of my own. Meanwhile below, I attach four articles by others, exploring the aftermath of the rigged Iranian election, the uprising which has followed, and the response or lack of response by Western leaders.

I have prepared summaries of the articles first for those who don’t have time to read them in full, though I recommend reading the full pieces if you can.

-- Tom Gross

 

CARTOON: OBAMA’S 3 AM PHONE CALL

As mentioned in a previous dispatch, the Israeli cartoonist, Dry Bones, who is no longer with The Jerusalem Post, has given me permission to reproduce his cartoons on my website. His latest cartoon can be seen here:

 

SUMMARIES

SPOKEN LIKE A GOOD LAWYER

In an editorial last Thursday, The Wall Street Journal writes:

The President yesterday denounced the “extent of the fraud” and the “shocking” and “brutal” response of the Iranian regime to public demonstrations in Tehran these past four days.

“These elections are an atrocity,” he said. “If [Mahmoud] Ahmadinejad had made such progress since the last elections, if he won two-thirds of the vote, why such violence?” The statement named the regime as the cause of the outrage in Iran and, without meddling or picking favorites, stood up for Iranian democracy.

The President who spoke those words was France’s Nicolas Sarkozy.

The French are hardly known for their idealistic foreign policy and moral fortitude. Then again many global roles are reversing in the era of Obama. The American President didn’t have anything to say the first two days after polls closed in Iran on Friday.

… When Obama finally did find his voice, he sounded like a good lawyer. Mr. Obama didn’t call the vote fraudulent, though he did allow that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei “understands the Iranian people have deep concerns about the election.” This is a generous interpretation of the Supreme Leader’s effort to defuse public rage by mooting a possible recount of select precincts. “How that plays out,” Mr. Obama said, “is ultimately for the Iranian people to decide.” Sort of like the 2000 Florida recount, no doubt.

… The Iranian rebellion, though too soon to call a revolution, is turning out to be that 3 a.m. phone call for Mr. Obama. As a French President shows up the American on moral clarity, Hillary Clinton’s point about his inexperience and instincts in a crisis is turning out to be prescient.

 

THE U.S. SHOULD VIGOROUSLY DEFEND A FREE IRAN

In the second article below, Michael Singh, the former senior director for Middle East affairs at the U.S. government’s National Security Council, writes on the website of Foreign Policy magazine:

While the remarkable turmoil in the aftermath of Iran’s presidential election has captured the world’s attention, other news relating to Iran has slipped by relatively unnoticed. Last week, the head of the Pentagon’s Missile Defense Agency told Congress that Iran and North Korea were cooperating on ballistic missiles*. Diplomats in Vienna told the press that Iran had denied an IAEA request to install additional monitoring cameras at the uranium enrichment facility at Natanz, and IAEA director-general Mohammad ElBaradei asserted that Iran desires nuclear weapons.

… The juxtaposition of these activities with the ferment in the streets of Tehran reveals two altogether different Irans struggling with one another – one marked by political dynamism and a hunger for justice, and another that is autocratic, bent on projecting power, and in which elected officials have little influence.

… This begs the question: Upon which Iran should U.S. policy be focused? Can the United States successfully support freedom in Iran without endangering its “tough diplomacy” aimed at the Iranian nuclear threat?

In formulating an answer, it is important to note that prospects for U.S.-Iran engagement, never too great, have been diminished by the election and its aftermath. The Iranian regime’s willingness to flout international opinion and the yearnings of its own people reveals either overconfidence or, conversely, serious insecurity. A cautious regime might see an opportunity in President Obama’s offer of dialogue, but a regime that is either supremely confident or shakily insecure is unlikely to grasp Obama’s outstretched hand. A confident regime is likely to dismiss the consequences of defiance, and an insecure one will see any opening to the West as a threat rather than a prize.

… Nevertheless, whatever chances exist for successful engagement with the Iranian regime will not be dimmed by a vigorous defense of the rights of the Iranian people; rather, those prospects would paradoxically be enhanced.

… Some have argued that Iranians will naturally resent any perceived involvement by foreign powers in their affairs, citing as an example the American-backed overthrow of Iranian Prime Minister Muhammad Mossadeq in 1953. This reading of history strains credulity. Iranians’ wariness of outside powers arises in large part from Western indifference to the oppression of Iranians and failure to support their struggle for justice, whether in the Constitutional Revolution of 1906-11, or during the Mossadeq era. Iranians do not want outsiders, including the United States, to pick winners in their elections. But silence in the face of a violent crackdown in Iran would compound these historical errors, not reverse them…

* [TG adds: Japanese intelligence sources say North Korean nuclear personnel are packing up and leaving Iran, though perhaps only temporarily. They don’t want to be around to take the flak if the protestors win, and they don’t want information about their activities in Iran to be revealed.]

 

AYATOLLAH KHAMENEI: THE ELECTION IS A “MIRACLE” AND A “TRIUMPH FOR ISLAM”

In the third article below, Amir Taheri, probably the leading Iranian journalist and author working in the West (and a longtime subscriber to this email list), writes in today’s Sunday Times of London:

Just before noon on Friday, June 19, the Islamic republic died in Iran. Its death was announced by its “supreme guide”, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who had come to praise the system but buried it instead. Khamenei was addressing supporters on the campus of Tehran University, transformed into a mosque for the occasion. Many had expected him to speak as a guide, an arbiter of disputes – a voice for national reconciliation. Instead, he spoke as a rabble rouser and a tinpot despot.

… Elections in the Islamic republic resembled primaries in American political parties in which all candidates are from the same political family but the contest is free and fair. The June 12 election was exceptional because three of the four candidates challenged the results.

Once the initial shock had passed, everyone looked to the supreme leader to find a way out of the impasse. Instead, Khamenei came out with a long lyrical monologue, hailing the election as a “miracle” and a “triumph for Islam”. Never before had Khamenei commented on the results of elections beyond accepting them as an expression of the popular will. The Khomeinist system was supposed to be 80% theocracy and 20% democracy, regardless of how bizarre the combination looked.

On Friday, the 20% democratic part disappeared, as Iran was transformed from an Islamic republic into an Islamic emirate headed by the Emir al-Momeneen (Commander of the Faithful) Ali Khamenei…

… Today there are two Irans. One is prepared to support Khamenei’s bid to transform the republic into an emirate in the service of the Islamic cause. Then there is a second Iran – one that wishes to cease to be a cause and yearns to be an ordinary nation. This Iran has not yet found its ultimate leaders…

 

PRESIDENT AHMADINELANDSLIDE

In the fourth article below, American-based Canadian commentator Mark Steyn (who is also a subscriber to this email list), writes:

The polite explanation for Barack Obama’s diffidence on Iran is that he doesn’t want to give the mullahs the excuse to say the Great Satan is meddling in Tehran’s affairs. So the president’s official position is that he’s modestly encouraged by the regime’s supposed interest in investigating some of the allegations of fraud. “You’ve seen in Iran,” explained President Obama, “some initial reaction from the Supreme Leader that indicates he understands the Iranian people have deep concerns about the election …”

“Supreme Leader”? I thought that was official house style for Barack Obama at Newsweek and MSNBC. But no. It’s also the title held by Ayatollah Khamenei for the last couple of decades. If it sounds odd from the lips of an American president, that’s because none has ever been as deferential in observing the Islamic republic’s dictatorial protocol. Like President Obama’s deep, ostentatious bow to the king of Saudi Arabia, it signals a fresh start in our relations with the Muslim world, “mutually respectful” and unilaterally fawning.

And how did it go down? At Friday prayers in Tehran, Ayatollah Khamenei attacked “dirty Zionists” and “bad British radio”. “The most evil of them all is the British government,” added the supreme leader, warming to his theme. The crowd, including President Ahmadinelandslide and his cabinet, chanted, “Death to the U.K.”

Her Majesty’s Government brought this on themselves by allowing their shoot-from-the-lip prime minister to issue saber-rattling threats like: “The regime must address the serious questions which have been asked about the conduct of the Iranian elections.”

Fortunately, President Obama was far more judicious. And in return, instead of denouncing him as “evil” and deploring the quality of his radio programming, Ayatollah Khamenei said Obama’s “agents” had been behind the protests: “They started to cause riots in the street, they caused destruction, they burnt houses.” …

 

SUMMARY OF EDITORIALS ON IRAN FROM TODAY’S ISRAELI PRESS

For those of you interested, here is a summary of editorials on the Iranian situation from newspapers in Israel:

Yediot Ahronot says that opposition presidential candidate Mir Hossein Mousavi “is merely the platform. He is not the story. The real story is the brave soccer players wearing green armbands. The real story is the beaten and shot-at masses in the streets. The real story is the women who are refusing to be quiet beneath head-coverings and are demanding freedom now.”

Ma’ariv believes that “It is difficult to tell how the ongoing riots in Tehran will end; however, one thing may be determined with certainty – The first seeds of a popular revolution have been sown, the results of which could lead to the crumbling of the existing Islamic regime… Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is now on the horns of a serious dilemma – to crack down hard and risk inflaming the protests further or to respond with restraint and risk appearing weak, which could also increase the numbers of protestors.

Yisrael Hayom argues that “Unless America responds with credible strength to what is happening in North Korea and in Iran, Obama’s vision will remain a pipedream,” and adds that “While George Bush gave a bad name to the forceful intervention of the U.S. against the axis of evil, Obama’s withdrawal from what Samuel Huntington referred to as ‘the clash of civilizations’ in favor of conciliating the dictators in Tehran and Pyongyang is liable to be disastrous for all humanity… President Obama should learn from the example of former British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain as well as from the examples of Hungary in 1956 and Czechoslovakia in 1968, when freedom fighters were abandoned to their fate.”


FULL ARTICLES

SORT OF LIKE THE 2000 FLORIDA RECOUNT, NO DOUBT

Obama’s Iran Abdication
Wall Street Journal (editorial)
June 18, 2009

The President yesterday denounced the “extent of the fraud” and the “shocking” and “brutal” response of the Iranian regime to public demonstrations in Tehran these past four days.

“These elections are an atrocity,” he said. “If [Mahmoud] Ahmadinejad had made such progress since the last elections, if he won two-thirds of the vote, why such violence?” The statement named the regime as the cause of the outrage in Iran and, without meddling or picking favorites, stood up for Iranian democracy.

The President who spoke those words was France’s Nicolas Sarkozy.

The French are hardly known for their idealistic foreign policy and moral fortitude. Then again many global roles are reversing in the era of Obama. The American President didn’t have anything to say the first two days after polls closed in Iran on Friday and an improbable landslide victory for Mr. Ahmadinejad sparked the protests. “I have deep concerns about the election,” he said yesterday at the White House, when he finally did find his voice. “When I see violence directed at peaceful protestors, when I see peaceful dissent being suppressed, wherever that takes place, it is of concern to me and it’s of concern to the American people.”

Spoken like a good lawyer. Mr. Obama didn’t call the vote fraudulent, though he did allow that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei “understands the Iranian people have deep concerns about the election.” This is a generous interpretation of the Supreme Leader’s effort to defuse public rage by mooting a possible recount of select precincts. “How that plays out,” Mr. Obama said, “is ultimately for the Iranian people to decide.” Sort of like the 2000 Florida recount, no doubt.

From the start of this Iranian election, Administration officials said the U.S. should avoid becoming an issue in the campaign that the regime might exploit. Before votes were cast, this hands-off strategy made sense in that the election didn’t present a real choice for Iranians. Whether President Ahmadinejad or his chief challenger, Mir Hossein Mousavi, won wouldn’t change the mullahs’ ultimate political control. Mr. Mousavi had been Ayatollah Khomeini’s Prime Minister, hardly the resume of a revolutionary.

But Friday’s vote and aftermath have changed those facts on the ground. Like other authoritarians – Ferdinand Marcos in 1986 or Slobodan Milosevic in 2000 – Tehran misjudged its own people. Having put a democratic veneer around their theocracy, they attempted to steal an election in such a blatant way that it has become a new and profound challenge to their legitimacy. Especially in the cities, Iranians are fed up with the corruption and incompetence rampant in the Islamic Republic. This dissatisfaction was galvanized by the regime’s contempt for their votes and found an accidental leader in Mr. Mousavi. The movement has now taken on a life of its own, with consequences no one can predict.

The Obama Administration came into office with a realpolitik script to goad the mullahs into a “grand bargain” on its nuclear program. But Team Obama isn’t proving to be good at the improv. His foreign policy gurus drew up an agenda defined mainly in opposition to the perceived Bush legacy: The U.S. will sit down with the likes of Iran, North Korea or Russia and hash out deals. In a Journal story on Monday, a senior U.S. official bordered on enthusiastic about confirming an Ahmadinejad victory as soon as possible. “Had there been a transition to a new government, a new president wouldn’t have emerged until August. In some respects, this might allow Iran to engage the international community quicker.” The popular uprising in Iran is so inconvenient to this agenda.

President Obama elaborates on this point with his now-frequent moral equivalance. Yesterday he invoked the CIA’s role in the 1953 coup against Iranian leader Mohammad Mossadeq to explain his reticence. “Now, it’s not productive, given the history of the U.S.-Iranian relations, to be seen as meddling – the U.S. President meddling in Iranian elections,” Mr. Obama said.

As far as we can tell, the CIA or other government agencies aren’t directing the protests or bankrolling Mr. Mousavi. Beyond token Congressional support for civil society groups and the brave reporting of the Persian-language and U.S.-funded Radio Farda, America’s role here is limited. Less than a fortnight ago, in Cairo, Mr. Obama touted his commitment to “governments that reflect the will of the people.” Now the President who likes to say that “words matter” refuses to utter a word of support to Iran’s people. By that measure, the U.S. should never have supported Soviet dissidents because it would have interfered with nuclear arms control.

The Iranian rebellion, though too soon to call a revolution, is turning out to be that 3 a.m. phone call for Mr. Obama. As a French President shows up the American on moral clarity, Hillary Clinton’s point about his inexperience and instincts in a crisis is turning out to be prescient.

 

WHAT IRAN HAS BEEN DOING WHILE YOU WERE WATCHING THE PROTESTS

What Iran has been doing while you were watching the protests
By Michael Singh
Foreign Policy magazine
June 18, 2009

While the remarkable turmoil in the aftermath of Iran’s presidential election has captured the world’s attention, other news relating to Iran has slipped by relatively unnoticed. Last week, the head of the Pentagon’s Missile Defense Agency told Congress that Iran and North Korea were cooperating on ballistic missiles. Diplomats in Vienna told the press that Iran had denied an IAEA request to install additional monitoring cameras at the uranium enrichment facility at Natanz, and IAEA director-general Mohammad ElBaradei asserted that Iran desires nuclear weapons. Meanwhile, two Hizbullah operatives were reportedly arrested in Azerbaijan, bearing Iranian passports.

The juxtaposition of these activities with the ferment in the streets of Tehran reveals two altogether different Irans struggling with one another – one marked by political dynamism and a hunger for justice, and another that is autocratic, bent on projecting power, and in which elected officials have little influence. To Iranians, this sort of conflict follows a familiar pattern in Iran’s history. To Westerners, it has been eye-opening. What is surprising to outside observers is not that Iran’s elections were rigged, but that their manipulation has elicited such a powerful response from the Iranian people.

While policymakers in the United States and elsewhere pin their hopes on the first, vibrant Iran, they must deal with the stark reality of the second, harsher one. This may explain the unusually cautious statements emanating from the White House, including President Obama’s own statement to the effect that Ahmadinejad and his challengers are not much different as far as the United States is concerned. This begs the question: Upon which Iran should U.S. policy be focused? Can the United States successfully support freedom in Iran without endangering its “tough diplomacy” aimed at the Iranian nuclear threat?

In formulating an answer, it is important to note that prospects for U.S.-Iran engagement, never too great, have been diminished by the election and its aftermath. The Iranian regime’s willingness to flout international opinion and the yearnings of its own people reveals either overconfidence or, conversely, serious insecurity. A cautious regime might see an opportunity in President Obama’s offer of dialogue, but a regime that is either supremely confident or shakily insecure is unlikely to grasp Obama’s outstretched hand. A confident regime is likely to dismiss the consequences of defiance, and an insecure one will see any opening to the West as a threat rather than a prize.

The results themselves suggest that engagement with the United States is not the regime’s top priority. Whereas his challengers argued during their campaign for improving U.S.-Iran relations, Ahmadinejad heaped scorn on those who would pursue “detente” with the West. He was supported by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who pronounced himself “ideologically disinclined” toward U.S.-Iran reconciliation and urged Iranian voters to reject candidates who would reach out to Washington.

Nevertheless, whatever chances exist for successful engagement with the Iranian regime will not be dimmed by a vigorous defense of the rights of the Iranian people; rather, those prospects would paradoxically be enhanced.

This crisis provides an opportunity to demonstrate to the regime that it will face multilateral penalties for flouting international norms, a lesson clearly transferrable to the nuclear question. While our allies may vary in their views on the risks posed by Iran’s nuclear program and the best way to deal with it, the regime’s actions against its own people are drawing broad condemnation from across the world. If even this global outcry is not translated into concrete action, Iran’s leaders will draw the lesson that the international community’s resolve has dissipated and will act accordingly.

Furthermore, vigorously defending Iranians’ rights, both now and in the context of any future dialogue with Iran, could enhance U.S. credibility inside Iran and boost support among Iranians for a compromise with the West.

Some have argued that Iranians will naturally resent any perceived involvement by foreign powers in their affairs, citing as an example the American-backed overthrow of Iranian Prime Minister Muhammad Mossadeq in 1953. This reading of history strains credulity. Iranians’ wariness of outside powers arises in large part from Western indifference to the oppression of Iranians and failure to support their struggle for justice, whether in the Constitutional Revolution of 1906-11, or during the Mossadeq era. Iranians do not want outsiders, including the United States, to pick winners in their elections. But silence in the face of a violent crackdown in Iran would compound these historical errors, not reverse them.

Iran is a multifaceted nation which demands a multifaceted U.S. policy. A successful approach to Iran will require the United States to simultaneously confront head-on the challenges posed by both Irans evident today – to support the first Iran, which is demanding justice, and to deter the second, determined to challenge international security. If we fail to do so, we will unwittingly be writing yet another tragic chapter in the troubled history of U.S.-Iran relations.

 

ON FRIDAY, JUNE 19, THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC DIED IN IRAN

Iran’s dictator gives up pretence of democracy
By Amir Taheri
The Sunday Times (London)
June 21, 2009

Just before noon on Friday, June 19, the Islamic republic died in Iran. Its death was announced by its “supreme guide”, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who had come to praise the system but buried it instead. Khamenei was addressing supporters on the campus of Tehran University, transformed into a mosque for the occasion. Many had expected him to speak as a guide, an arbiter of disputes – a voice for national reconciliation. Instead, he spoke as a rabble rouser and a tinpot despot.

At issue was the June 12 presidential election that millions of Iranians, perhaps a majority, believe was rigged to ensure the re-election of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad with a two-thirds majority. Since its inception in 1979, the Islamic republic has organised 31 elections at different levels. All have been carefully scripted, with candidates pre-approved by the regime and no independent mechanism for oversight.

Nevertheless, the results were never contested because most Iranians believed the regime would not cheat within the limits set by itself. Elections in the Islamic republic resembled primaries in American political parties in which all candidates are from the same political family but the contest is free and fair. The June 12 election was exceptional because three of the four candidates challenged the results.

Once the initial shock had passed, everyone looked to the supreme leader to find a way out of the impasse. Instead, Khamenei came out with a long lyrical monologue, hailing the election as a “miracle” and a “triumph for Islam”. Never before had Khamenei commented on the results of elections beyond accepting them as an expression of the popular will. The Khomeinist system was supposed to be 80% theocracy and 20% democracy, regardless of how bizarre the combination looked.

On Friday, the 20% democratic part disappeared, as Iran was transformed from an Islamic republic into an Islamic emirate headed by the Emir al-Momeneen (Commander of the Faithful) Ali Khamenei. As Iranians marched in the street in support of more freedom and democracy, Khamenei served notice that he was determined to lead the country in the opposite direction.

A sign that the self-appointed emir wanted to jettison the republican part of the system was there for all to see. The diminutive Ahmadinejad was relegated to the third rung of the faithful praying behind Khamenei. Sandwiched between two mullahs with giant turbans, he was almost hidden from public view. For almost a week the usually voluble Ahmadinejad has been kept off the airwaves. Suddenly the office of the president has become irrelevant. Ahmadinejad is there not because the people wanted him but because the emir found “his views closer to mine than the views of others”.

Khamenei’s decision to kill the Islamic republic may lead Iran into uncharted waters. The move has split the establishment as never before. All prominent figures of the “loyal opposition”, including former presidents Hashemi Rafsanjani and Mohammad Khatami, boycotted the Friday gathering. Nearly half the members of the Majlis, Iran’s ersatz parliament, were absent – along with most members of the Assembly of Experts, a body of 92 mullahs supposed to supervise the work of the supreme leader. Many senior figures of the military/security establishment were significantly absent, too.

If Khamenei had hoped to intimidate the protesters into accepting the results, he was quickly disappointed. No sooner had the “emirate” been born than millions of people throughout Iran were on the rooftops shouting, “I will die, but won’t accept humiliation!” A week of nationwide protests has claimed at least seven lives. Khamenei’s intervention has been followed by a wave of arrests. The supreme leader has tried to divide the opposition by offering public assurances to Rafsanjani and Ali Akbar Nateq-Nuri, the former parliamentary Speaker, that they would not be prosecuted on corruption charges as threatened by Ahmadinejad. Nevertheless, both men still refuse to endorse Ahmadinejad’s re-election.

As the principal face of the opposition, Mir Hossein Mousavi has come under pressure to wind up the movement. Yesterday Abbas Mohtaj, the head of Iran’s security council, issued a veiled death threat. Zahra Rahnavard, Mousavi’s wife and principal campaign manager, has retaliated by publishing a poem through Twitter and SMS sent to millions of Iranians: “Let the wolves know that in our tribe / If the father dies, his gun will remain / Even if all the men of the tribe are killed / A baby son will remain in the wooden cradle”.

For the past three days the regime has held back its security forces while tightening the lasso around the opposition leadership, especially Mousavi. He is under virtual house arrest.

Today there are two Irans. One is prepared to support Khamenei’s bid to transform the republic into an emirate in the service of the Islamic cause. Then there is a second Iran – one that wishes to cease to be a cause and yearns to be an ordinary nation. This Iran has not yet found its ultimate leaders. For now, it is prepared to bet on Mousavi. The fight over Iran’s future is only beginning.

 

THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES, PEACE BE UPON HIM

Neutrality isn’t an option
By Mark Steyn
National Review
June 20, 2009

The polite explanation for Barack Obama’s diffidence on Iran is that he doesn’t want to give the mullahs the excuse to say the Great Satan is meddling in Tehran’s affairs. So the president’s official position is that he’s modestly encouraged by the regime’s supposed interest in investigating some of the allegations of fraud. Also, he’s heartened to hear that OJ is looking for the real killers. “You’ve seen in Iran,” explained President Obama, “some initial reaction from the Supreme Leader that indicates he understands the Iranian people have deep concerns about the election . . .”

“Supreme Leader”? I thought that was official house style for Barack Obama at Newsweek and MSNBC. But no. It’s also the title held by Ayatollah Khamenei for the last couple of decades. If it sounds odd from the lips of an American president, that’s because none has ever been as deferential in observing the Islamic republic’s dictatorial protocol. Like President Obama’s deep, ostentatious bow to the king of Saudi Arabia, it signals a fresh start in our relations with the Muslim world, “mutually respectful” and unilaterally fawning.

And how did it go down? At Friday prayers in Tehran, Ayatollah Khamenei attacked “dirty Zionists” and “bad British radio” (presumably a reference to the BBC’s Farsi news service rather than the non-stop Herman’s Hermits marathon on Supergold Oldies FM). “The most evil of them all is the British government,” added the supreme leader, warming to his theme. The crowd, including President Ahmadinelandslide and his cabinet, chanted, “Death to the U.K.”

Her Majesty’s Government brought this on themselves by allowing their shoot-from-the-lip prime minister to issue saber-rattling threats like: “The regime must address the serious questions which have been asked about the conduct of the Iranian elections.”

Fortunately, President Obama was far more judicious. And in return, instead of denouncing him as “evil” and deploring the quality of his radio programming, Ayatollah Khamenei said Obama’s “agents” had been behind the protests: “They started to cause riots in the street, they caused destruction, they burnt houses.” But that wasn’t all the Great Satin did. “What is the worst thing to me in all this,” sighed the supreme leader, “are comments made in the name of human rights and freedom and liberty by American officials . . . What? Are you serious? Do you know what human rights are?”

And then he got into specifics: “During the time of the Democrats, the time of Clinton, 80 people were burned alive in Waco. Now you are talking about human rights?”

It’s unclear whether the “Death to the U.K.” chanters switched at this point to “Democrats lied, people fried.” But you get the gist. The President of the United States can make nice to His Hunkalicious Munificence the Supremely Supreme Leader of Leaders (Peace Be Upon Him) all he wants, but it isn’t going to be reciprocated.

There’s a very basic lesson here: For great powers, studied neutrality isn’t an option. Even if you’re genuinely neutral. In the early nineties, the attitude of much of the west to the disintegrating Yugoslavia was summed up in the brute dismissal of James Baker that America didn’t have a dog in this fight. Fair enough. But over in the Balkans junkyard the various mangy old pooches saw it rather differently. And so did the Muslim world, which regarded British and European “neutrality” as a form of complicity in mass murder. As Osama bin Laden put it:

“The British are responsible for destroying the Caliphate system. They are the ones who created the Palestinian problem. They are the ones who created the Kashmiri problem. They are the ones who put the arms embargo on the Muslims of Bosnia so that two million Muslims were killed.”

How come a catalogue of imperial interventions wound up with that bit of scrupulous non-imperial non-intervention? Because great-power “even-handedness” will invariably be received as a form of one-handedness by the time its effects are felt on the other side of the world. Western “even-handedness” on Bosnia was the biggest single factor in the radicalization of European Muslims. They swarmed to the Balkans to support their coreligionists and ran into a bunch of Wahhabi imams moving into the neighborhood with lots of Saudi money and anxious to fill their Rolodex with useful contacts in the west. Among the alumni of that conflict was the hitherto impeccably assimilated English public (i.e., private) schoolboy and London School of Economics student who went on to behead the Wall Street Journal’s Daniel Pearl. You always have a dog in the fight, whether you know it or not.

For the Obama administration, this presents a particular challenge – because the president’s preferred rhetorical tic is to stake out the two sides and present himself as a dispassionate, disinterested soul of moderation: “There are those who would argue . . . “ on the one hand, whereas “there are those who insist . . . “ on the other, whereas he is beyond such petty dogmatic positions. That was pretty much his shtick on abortion at Notre Dame. Of course, such studied moderation is usually a crock: Obama is an abortion absolutist, supporting partial-birth infanticide, and even laws that prevent any baby so inconsiderate as to survive the abortion from receiving medical treatment.

So in his recent speech in Cairo he applied the same technique. Among his many unique qualities, the 44th president is the first to give the impression that the job is beneath him – that he is too big and too gifted to be confined to the humdrum interests of one nation state. As my former National Review colleague David Frum put it, the Obama address offered “the amazing spectacle of an American president taking an equidistant position between the country he leads and its detractors and enemies.”

What would you make of that “equidistance” if you were back in the palace watching it on CNN International? Maybe you’d know that, on domestic policy, Obama uses the veneer of disinterested arbiter as a feint. Or maybe you’d just figure that no serious world leader can ever be neutral on vital issues. So you’d start combing the speech for what lies underneath the usual Obama straw men – and women: “I reject the view of some in the West that a woman who chooses to cover her hair is somehow less equal.” Very brave of you, I’m sure. But what about the Muslim women who choose not to cover themselves and wind up as the victims of honor killings in Germany and Scandinavia and Toronto and Dallas? Ah, but that would have required real courage, not audience flattery masquerading as such.

And so, when the analysts had finished combing the speech, they would have concluded that the meta-message of his “equidistance” was a prostration before “stability” – an acceptance of the region’s worst pathologies as a permanent feature of life.

The mullahs stole this election on a grander scale than ever before primarily for reasons of internal security and regional strategy. But Obama’s speech told them that, in the “post-American world,” they could do so with impunity. Blaming his “agents” for the protests is merely a bonus: Offered the world’s biggest carrot, Khamenei took it and used it as a stick.

He won’t be the last to read Obama this way.


Official transcript of Israeli PM Netanyahu’s speech calling for demilitarized Palestinian state

June 14, 2009

[I have very limited time this week because of other work commitments, so this dispatch contains much less commentary from me than usual.]

Since many in the international media may selectively pick and choose what they report from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s keynote speech this evening (and some may even misreport it altogether), for those of you who missed it, below is the full official Israeli government text of Netanyahu’s remarks.

Also, this “Live blog of the Iranian uprising” (including videos) may be of interest: www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/06/13/iran-demonstrations-viole_n_215189.html

-- Tom Gross


SPEECH BY BENJAMIN NETANYAHU, JUNE 14, 2009

www.pmo.gov.il/PMOEng/Communication/PMSpeaks/speechbarilan140609.htm

Honored guests,

Citizens of Israel.

Peace has always been our people’s most ardent desire. Our prophets gave the world the vision of peace, we greet one another with wishes of peace, and our prayers conclude with the word peace.

We are gathered this evening in an institution named for two pioneers of peace, Menachem Begin and Anwar Sadat, and we share in their vision.

Two and half months ago, I took the oath of office as the Prime Minister of Israel. I pledged to establish a national unity government – and I did. I believed and I still believe that unity was essential for us now more than ever as we face three immense challenges – the Iranian threat, the economic crisis, and the advancement of peace.

The Iranian threat looms large before us, as was further demonstrated yesterday. The greatest danger confronting Israel, the Middle East, the entire world and human race, is the nexus between radical Islam and nuclear weapons. I discussed this issue with President Obama during my recent visit to Washington, and I will raise it again in my meetings next week with European leaders. For years, I have been working tirelessly to forge an international alliance to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.

Confronting a global economic crisis, the government acted swiftly to stabilize Israel’s economy. We passed a two year budget in the government – and the Knesset will soon approve it.

And the third challenge, so exceedingly important, is the advancement of peace. I also spoke about this with President Obama, and I fully support the idea of a regional peace that he is leading.

I share the President’s desire to bring about a new era of reconciliation in our region. To this end, I met with President Mubarak in Egypt, and King Abdullah in Jordan, to elicit the support of these leaders in expanding the circle of peace in our region.

I turn to all Arab leaders tonight and I say: “Let us meet. Let us speak of peace and let us make peace. I am ready to meet with you at any time. I am willing to go to Damascus, to Riyadh, to Beirut, to any place- including Jerusalem.

I call on the Arab countries to cooperate with the Palestinians and with us to advance an economic peace. An economic peace is not a substitute for a political peace, but an important element to achieving it. Together, we can undertake projects to overcome the scarcities of our region, like water desalination or to maximize its advantages, like developing solar energy, or laying gas and petroleum lines, and transportation links between Asia, Africa and Europe.

The economic success of the Gulf States has impressed us all and it has impressed me. I call on the talented entrepreneurs of the Arab world to come and invest here and to assist the Palestinians – and us – in spurring the economy.

Together, we can develop industrial areas that will generate thousands of jobs and create tourist sites that will attract millions of visitors eager to walk in the footsteps of history – in Nazareth and in Bethlehem, around the walls of Jericho and the walls of Jerusalem, on the banks of the Sea of Galilee and the baptismal site of the Jordan.

There is an enormous potential for archeological tourism, if we can only learn to cooperate and to develop it.

I turn to you, our Palestinian neighbors, led by the Palestinian Authority, and I say: Let’s begin negotiations immediately without preconditions.

Israel is obligated by its international commitments and expects all parties to keep their commitments.

We want to live with you in peace, as good neighbors. We want our children and your children to never again experience war: that parents, brothers and sisters will never again know the agony of losing loved ones in battle; that our children will be able to dream of a better future and realize that dream; and that together we will invest our energies in plowshares and pruning hooks, not swords and spears.

I know the face of war. I have experienced battle. I lost close friends, I lost a brother. I have seen the pain of bereaved families. I do not want war. No one in Israel wants war.

If we join hands and work together for peace, there is no limit to the development and prosperity we can achieve for our two peoples – in the economy, agriculture, trade, tourism and education - most importantly, in providing our youth a better world in which to live, a life full of tranquility, creativity, opportunity and hope.

If the advantages of peace are so evident, we must ask ourselves why peace remains so remote, even as our hand remains outstretched to peace? Why has this conflict continued for more than sixty years?

In order to bring an end to the conflict, we must give an honest and forthright answer to the question: What is the root of the conflict?

In his speech to the first Zionist Conference in Basel, the founder of the Zionist movement, Theodore Herzl, said about the Jewish national home “This idea is so big that we must speak of it only in the simplest terms.” Today, I will speak about the immense challenge of peace in the simplest words possible.

Even as we look toward the horizon, we must be firmly connected to reality, to the truth. And the simple truth is that the root of the conflict was, and remains, the refusal to recognize the right of the Jewish people to a state of their own, in their historic homeland.

In 1947, when the United Nations proposed the partition plan of a Jewish state and an Arab state, the entire Arab world rejected the resolution. The Jewish community, by contrast, welcomed it by dancing and rejoicing.

The Arabs rejected any Jewish state, in any borders.

Those who think that the continued enmity toward Israel is a product of our presence in Judea, Samaria and Gaza, is confusing cause and consequence.

The attacks against us began in the 1920s, escalated into a comprehensive attack in 1948 with the declaration of Israel’s independence, continued with the fedayeen attacks in the 1950s, and climaxed in 1967, on the eve of the six-day war, in an attempt to tighten a noose around the neck of the State of Israel.

All this occurred during the fifty years before a single Israeli soldier ever set foot in Judea and Samaria.

Fortunately, Egypt and Jordan left this circle of enmity. The signing of peace treaties have brought about an end to their claims against Israel, an end to the conflict. But to our regret, this is not the case with the Palestinians. The closer we get to an agreement with them, the further they retreat and raise demands that are inconsistent with a true desire to end the conflict.

Many good people have told us that withdrawal from territories is the key to peace with the Palestinians. Well, we withdrew. But the fact is that every withdrawal was met with massive waves of terror, by suicide bombers and thousands of missiles.

We tried to withdraw with an agreement and without an agreement. We tried a partial withdrawal and a full withdrawal. In 2000 and again last year, Israel proposed an almost total withdrawal in exchange for an end to the conflict, and twice our offers were rejected.

We evacuated every last inch of the Gaza strip, we uprooted tens of settlements and evicted thousands of Israelis from their homes, and in response, we received a hail of missiles on our cities, towns and children.

The claim that territorial withdrawals will bring peace with the Palestinians, or at least advance peace, has up till now not stood the test of reality.

In addition to this, Hamas in the south, like Hezbollah in the north, repeatedly proclaims their commitment to “liberate” the Israeli cities of Ashkelon, Beersheba, Acre and Haifa.

Territorial withdrawals have not lessened the hatred, and to our regret, Palestinian moderates are not yet ready to say the simple words: Israel is the nation-state of the Jewish people, and it will stay that way.

Achieving peace will require courage and candor from both sides, and not only from the Israeli side.

The Palestinian leadership must arise and say: “Enough of this conflict. We recognize the right of the Jewish people to a state of their own in this land, and we are prepared to live beside you in true peace.”

I am yearning for that moment, for when Palestinian leaders say those words to our people and to their people, then a path will be opened to resolving all the problems between our peoples, no matter how complex they may be.

Therefore, a fundamental prerequisite for ending the conflict is a public, binding and unequivocal Palestinian recognition of Israel as the nation state of the Jewish people.

To vest this declaration with practical meaning, there must also be a clear understanding that the Palestinian refugee problem will be resolved outside Israel’s borders. For it is clear that any demand for resettling Palestinian refugees within Israel undermines Israel’s continued existence as the state of the Jewish people.

The Palestinian refugee problem must be solved, and it can be solved, as we ourselves proved in a similar situation. Tiny Israel successfully absorbed tens of thousands of Jewish refugees who left their homes and belongings in Arab countries.

Therefore, justice and logic demand that the Palestinian refugee problem be solved outside Israel’s borders. On this point, there is a broad national consensus. I believe that with goodwill and international investment, this humanitarian problem can be permanently resolved.

So far I have spoken about the need for Palestinians to recognize our rights. In am moment, I will speak openly about our need to recognize their rights.

But let me first say that the connection between the Jewish people and the Land of Israel has lasted for more than 3500 years. Judea and Samaria, the places where Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob, David and Solomon, and Isaiah and Jeremiah lived, are not alien to us. This is the land of our forefathers.

The right of the Jewish people to a state in the land of Israel does not derive from the catastrophes that have plagued our people. True, for 2000 years the Jewish people suffered expulsions, pogroms, blood libels, and massacres which culminated in a Holocaust - a suffering which has no parallel in human history.

There are those who say that if the Holocaust had not occurred, the state of Israel would never have been established. But I say that if the state of Israel would have been established earlier, the Holocaust would not have occurred.

This tragic history of powerlessness explains why the Jewish people need a sovereign power of self-defense.

But our right to build our sovereign state here, in the land of Israel, arises from one simple fact: this is the homeland of the Jewish people, this is where our identity was forged.

As Israel’s first Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion proclaimed in Israel’s Declaration of Independence: “The Jewish people arose in the land of Israel and it was here that its spiritual, religious and political character was shaped. Here they attained their sovereignty, and here they bequeathed to the world their national and cultural treasures, and the most eternal of books.”

But we must also tell the truth in its entirety: within this homeland lives a large Palestinian community. We do not want to rule over them, we do not want to govern their lives, we do not want to impose either our flag or our culture on them.

In my vision of peace, in this small land of ours, two peoples live freely, side-by-side, in amity and mutual respect. Each will have its own flag, its own national anthem, its own government. Neither will threaten the security or survival of the other.

These two realities – our connection to the land of Israel, and the Palestinian population living within it – have created deep divisions in Israeli society. But the truth is that we have much more that unites us than divides us.

I have come tonight to give expression to that unity, and to the principles of peace and security on which there is broad agreement within Israeli society. These are the principles that guide our policy.

This policy must take into account the international situation that has recently developed. We must recognize this reality and at the same time stand firmly on those principles essential for Israel.

I have already stressed the first principle – recognition. Palestinians must clearly and unambiguously recognize Israel as the state of the Jewish people. The second principle is: demilitarization. The territory under Palestinian control must be demilitarized with ironclad security provisions for Israel.

Without these two conditions, there is a real danger that an armed Palestinian state would emerge that would become another terrorist base against the Jewish state, such as the one in Gaza.

We don’t want Kassam rockets on Petach Tikva, Grad rockets on Tel Aviv, or missiles on Ben-Gurion airport. We want peace.

In order to achieve peace, we must ensure that Palestinians will not be able to import missiles into their territory, to field an army, to close their airspace to us, or to make pacts with the likes of Hezbollah and Iran. On this point as well, there is wide consensus within Israel.

It is impossible to expect us to agree in advance to the principle of a Palestinian state without assurances that this state will be demilitarized.

On a matter so critical to the existence of Israel, we must first have our security needs addressed.

Therefore, today we ask our friends in the international community, led by the United States, for what is critical to the security of Israel: Clear commitments that in a future peace agreement, the territory controlled by the Palestinians will be demilitarized: namely, without an army, without control of its airspace, and with effective security measures to prevent weapons smuggling into the territory – real monitoring, and not what occurs in Gaza today. And obviously, the Palestinians will not be able to forge military pacts.

Without this, sooner or later, these territories will become another Hamastan. And that we cannot accept.

I told President Obama when I was in Washington that if we could agree on the substance, then the terminology would not pose a problem.

And here is the substance that I now state clearly:

If we receive this guarantee regarding demilitirization and Israel’s security needs, and if the Palestinians recognize Israel as the State of the Jewish people, then we will be ready in a future peace agreement to reach a solution where a demilitarized Palestinian state exists alongside the Jewish state.

Regarding the remaining important issues that will be discussed as part of the final settlement, my positions are known: Israel needs defensible borders, and Jerusalem must remain the united capital of Israel with continued religious freedom for all faiths.

The territorial question will be discussed as part of the final peace agreement. In the meantime, we have no intention of building new settlements or of expropriating additional land for existing settlements.

But there is a need to enable the residents to live normal lives, to allow mothers and fathers to raise their children like families elsewhere. The settlers are neither the enemies of the people nor the enemies of peace. Rather, they are an integral part of our people, a principled, pioneering and Zionist public.

Unity among us is essential and will help us achieve reconciliation with our neighbors. That reconciliation must already begin by altering existing realities. I believe that a strong Palestinian economy will strengthen peace.

If the Palestinians turn toward peace – in fighting terror, in strengthening governance and the rule of law, in educating their children for peace and in stopping incitement against Israel - we will do our part in making every effort to facilitate freedom of movement and access, and to enable them to develop their economy. All of this will help us advance a peace treaty between us.

Above all else, the Palestinians must decide between the path of peace and the path of Hamas. The Palestinian Authority will have to establish the rule of law in Gaza and overcome Hamas. Israel will not sit at the negotiating table with terrorists who seek their destruction.

Hamas will not even allow the Red Cross to visit our kidnapped soldier Gilad Shalit, who has spent three years in captivity, cut off from his parents, his family and his people. We are committed to bringing him home, healthy and safe.

With a Palestinian leadership committed to peace, with the active participation of the Arab world, and the support of the United States and the international community, there is no reason why we cannot achieve a breakthrough to peace.

Our people have already proven that we can do the impossible. Over the past 61 years, while constantly defending our existence, we have performed wonders.

Our microchips are powering the world’s computers. Our medicines are treating diseases once considered incurable. Our drip irrigation is bringing arid lands back to life across the globe. And Israeli scientists are expanding the boundaries of human knowledge.

If only our neighbors would respond to our call – peace too will be in our reach.

I call on the leaders of the Arab world and on the Palestinian leadership, let us continue together on the path of Menahem Begin and Anwar Sadat, Yitzhak Rabin and King Hussein. Let us realize the vision of the prophet Isaiah, who in Jerusalem 2700 years ago said: “nations shall not lift up sword against nation, and they shall learn war no more.”

With God’s help, we will know no more war. We will know peace.


“The Cost”: a military exchange between American and Israeli friends

June 09, 2009

* “That’s over 1,000 men and women in uniform who today are perfectly healthy and alive – just like the men under my command still in Iraq – who will likely be dead or wounded in August 2010, that would not otherwise have been had we started the redeployment a few months ago.”

* “I am sure you don’t like the notion of being an empire – even the term ‘empire’ makes you feel uncomfortable – but that’s exactly what makes the U.S. such a great empire.”

* “In a way, the world is less safe than in the Cold War. It is less safe than during the Cuban missile crisis. The Soviets were, at the end of the day, a European, Christian nation, that read the same books and listened to the same music as we do (they wrote much of it). Paraphrasing Sting’s song, they loved their children too. The Soviet block was centralized, Westphalian, rational. It was cold and calculated. So you could deal with it, even in a nuclear crisis. MAD worked. The Jihadi threat is quite different.”

* “It’s not fun, it’s not good, all those tours of duty are bad for your family – but the alternative is worse. It’s better to have you patrol tonight on the Iraqi-Iranian border than a nuclear 9/11.”

 

CONTENTS

1. Not mere armchair commentary
2. Heartfelt reactions from fighting men
3. An American soldier writes: The cost of staying in Iraq
4. The Israeli responds: No going back to pre-Pearl Harbor days
5. The American replies: Either we ought to be in or we ought to be out


[Note by Tom Gross]

NOT MERE ARMCHAIR COMMENTARY

This dispatch is a little different from my regular “Middle East dispatches”. I attach below, with their permission, email correspondence which took place last week between a U.S. Army Major currently stationed on the Iraq-Iran border, and a LTC (Res.) in the IAF (Israeli Airforce). The two have become friends. Both are subscribers to this email list. I have removed their names to protect their privacy.

The American writes late at night, asking what is the point of staying in Iraq until the end of August 2010 (the date by which President Obama has promised to withdraw most troops), since nothing will be gained strategically for the U.S. by staying another 15 months if the Americans are going to leave then anyway. Yet he says that although nothing will be gained, more American troops will be killed and injured and another $168 billion of American tax-payers’ money will be spent.

The American raises some very thoughtful points, based on frontline observations and long experience.

HEARTFELT REACTIONS FROM FIGHTING MEN

The Israeli then responds with particularly powerful answers that go to the very heart of America’s role in the world. He sets America’s role in a deeper historical perspective, and I think his arguments are well worth reading in full for those of you who have time.

I then attach a third email in which the American replies to the Israeli, making more good points.

This isn’t the end of the debate of course, and I know that this Israeli, indeed most Israelis, would dispute the idea that Iran would most likely not use or threaten to use a nuclear device. For Israel, a nuclear Iran and the resultant nuclear arms race throughout the Middle East and beyond, is an existential threat.

These are serious, thoughtful men who are actually living through the situation they discuss. This is not mere armchair commentary. These are the reflections of men who are involved body and soul in the issues at stake.

-- Tom Gross


AN AMERICAN SOLDIER WRITES: THE COST OF STAYING IN IRAQ

From: [U.S. Army Major – name removed]
To: [LTC (Res) in the IAF – name removed]
Sent: Thursday, June 4, 2009 11:27 PM
Subject: the cost

Just something that occurred to me tonight as I was sitting in front of my computer...

Here is a prediction: if you took a snapshot of the strategic condition that exists in the Middle East today – specifically as it relates to the United States vis-a-vis Iraq – and then compare it again with what's going to exist on August 1st, 2010, I would venture to guess that the two snapshots will be virtually indistinguishable.

If you could choose five or six different significant categories to measure or capture as of 1 June 2009, and then run them again on 1 August 2010 I'm guessing you'd find something very near the same thing exists in both snapshots (this assumes, however, that Israel doesn't attack Iran or no other major regional war breaks out in the interim) – except for one major category: the cost to the United States.

Here are some major sub-categories that would be very different between the two dates:

1. money. One can assume that despite announced troop withdrawal numbers through the rest of the year (which, though unbeknownst to most people are not significant reductions), we will still be spending something close to $12 billion/month. So that means we'll have spent roughly another $168 billion. Additionally, we currently spend about $17 billion a year on recapitalizing old equipment to keep rebuilding the stuff we wear out; we'll have to continue that refurbishing the old stuff for the foreseeable future because of the continued pace. Total price tag: $185 billion.

2. spread. By keeping the Army spread out throughout Iraq and Afghanistan, we'll continue to limit our strategic responsiveness by tying down virtually the Army's entire maneuver force in either Iraq, Afghanistan, or in the US/Germany (where some units coming back; others preparing to go). Only time will tell, but this dangerous situation only gets more dangerous with the recent bellicose statements of North Korea after their successful nuclear test and missile launches; Russia's continued warnings over Georgia; Israel's ominous statements towards Iran and Iran's bellicose statements and actions toward the West; and then the 'normal' Pakistan, India, China, and a host of smaller possibilities. Bottom line: we incur more strategic risk because some or many of the above-mentioned states might be more tempted to take action because they know we're tied down than they might otherwise be.

But to me, the most important subcategory that would cost us more in snapshot #2 is:

3. blood. How many more American men and women will be dead in August 2010 than will be dead in, say, August 2009? If, as I strongly believe, we have a virtually undistinguishable strategic snapshot in the two time periods mentioned, then whatever the number of American killed and wounded in this category will have been wasted blood. How many men must be killed, how many more widows must we create, how many more fatherless children must be made – how many more flag-draped coffins must we off-ramp at Dover? In 2008, the average was 18 dead per month. Thus far in 2009, the average is down to 'only' 7.2. If we use 'only' the lower numbers, that would produce in the next 14 months a new total of about 101 killed, and 949 wounded/injured.

That's over 1,000 men and women in uniform who today are perfectly healthy and alive – just like the men under my command still in Iraq – who will likely be dead or wounded in August 2010 that would not otherwise have been had we started the redeployment a few months ago.

To sum: we are going to spend $185 billion dollars, accept a greater strategic vulnerability, and throw away the lives or health of 1,000 American men and women – for no strategic gain to the United States.

This makes me so mad when I see it in print, but the facts are what they are and things are what they seem. Until we actually begin the redeployment process (not expected to begin in earnest until sometime in February next year), the loss of life, the open-ended nature of the financial outflow, and the strategic risk remains open-ended and enduring. So my premise stands: if we do nothing between now and August 2010 (and we are still saying we're going to leave 60,000 or so there between August 2010 and December 2011 – thus increasing the cost for all three sub-categories), the costs specified above will be spent, the strategic threat will exist, the 100 Americans will be dead and another 900 of their buddies will be wounded/injured.

How can anyone justify such a cost with no associated benefit?

-- [name removed]

 

THE ISRAELI RESPONDS: NO GOING BACK TO PRE-PEARL HARBOR DAYS

Hi [name removed],

Good hearing from you. Interesting email as well.

In 1946 the US decided it wasn't going back to its pre-Pearl Harbor "minding my own business" policy, and that it would accept being an empire.

It was the world's first empire that accepted that role and did not crave for it. It was the world's first ever benevolent empire.

It was and still is a constructive, balancing power. The world should thank the US for being an empire. (I am sure you don't like the notion of being an empire – even the term "empire" makes you feel uncomfortable – but that's exactly what makes the US such a great empire). Don't believe what your enemies are saying about you – you are the good guys.

But being an empire has its toll.

I served and still serve in reserve in a regional military organization of a regional/small power – definitely not an empire. The longest I've been away from home was 5 weeks. As a fighter pilot, I took a C-130 home every day at 1730. As a staff officer, I slept in my bed every night. With the exception of one-night operations, I've never served more than 250 miles from home.

But being an empire is different. By definition, you have expeditionary forces, you have engagements in far away places due to high politics – places whose name you can't even properly pronounce. And yes, you lose men and women who die horribly in a remote corner of the world, for reasons that the National Security Advisor can understand but not the grieving family. You lose men in places you've never heard of before, called Khe Sanh or Golf of Tonkin or Yalu River or Jipyeong-ri or Al Anbar or Abu Hishman or Kandahar or Badghis or ... Berlin.

As a man in uniform myself (today only 45-60 days a year), I do not feel it’s fair pitching to what I do not practice myself.

Today, I took a day off and as I write this email on my laptop, my wife is next to me practicing Pilates and my two daughters are watching Dora. Soon we will take the Jeep and go to have a pizza. You, on the other hand, must have slept with another dozen snoring smelly guys in the same room, must have blisters for legs and don't know if you are going to be in a body bag by sunset (though as Israelis, we may also be in body bags by sunset even though we only went for a pizza in the nearby shopping mall).

So, I can't look you in the eyes and tell you it’s worth it – but guess what – it is.

Going into Iraq was a mistake. I said that to my friends at the US embassy before OIF.

Every organization – as professional, benevolent, and serious as it may – sometimes makes mistakes.

The US means well most of the time, and so did President Bush. But OIF happened and now there is a new reality we must manage (we no longer have the options we had in 2003 – no point re-living it).

The math we need to do now is the contemporary one – not that math of February 2003.

And today's math is that there is a clear and imminent danger to US hegemony in the mid east.

Once you leave, Iran will become the dominant force in Iraq. Iran has already become the dominant force in Lebanon, Gaza and to an extent Syria. Iran gained a military foothold in Eritrea, Sudan, and other places in the Horn of Africa. Iran is threatening Bahrain, Yemen and other gulf states. It is attempting to topple the Egyptian government. And they meddle up in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

And once it goes nuclear – Iran will be untouchable.

Iran is trying to replace the US as the hegemoneous force in the region.

I do agree that if the US sticks to SOFA's dates, every additional marginal day carries a price and does not carry a benefit.

Once you have a departure date, your enemies only need to outlast you. They only need not to be utterly and irrevocably defeated until the next winter, and then they can have Iraq for themselves. This is the inevitable outcome of a strategy driven by dates. The same thing had happened when we declared in the summer of 1999 that we will be out of Lebanon by the summer of 2000. It was a failure waiting to happen. You can’t fight against attritionists when you are bound by dates.

But should you be bound by dates?

President Obama's "lets-be-nice-to-them-and-they'll-be-nice-to-us" doctrine is not working. It’s blowing up in our face. You can see it in N Korea, and you can see the ripple effect with Japanese generals now talking about preemption and a nuclear Japan. You can see it with the Iranian rejection of the "double freeze" proposal (freeze the nuclear program and we will freeze the sanctions).

The nice way will not work. You have in essence two bad options:

Either continue your military commitment and be willing to expand it (including immediate military action with Iran).

Or return to the pre-Pearl Harbor policies and say you don't care (hoping the problem doesn't hunt you back to the US as 9/11 did).

In case of the second option, Israel will (I hope) take independent military action against Iran.

I do not see another American splendid isolationism as a viable option. The world changed since Pearl Harbor, and the ocean is no longer a great barrier from trouble. When the economy is globalized, the missiles from North Korea have longer and longer ranges, terrorists show up in downtown Manhattan and the Pentagon, and nuclear proliferation reaches the lunatics of N Korea, Iran and a host of non-state actors – isolation is not an option.

The ocean is no longer the high fence that guarantees good neighbors (and BTW – Iran and Hezbollah now operate in the western hemisphere from Venezuela to Equator to drug trafficking via Mexico).

In a way, the world is less safe than in the Cold War. It is less safe than during the Cuban missile crisis.

The Soviets were, at the end of the day, a European, Christian nation, that read the same books and listened to the same music as we do (they wrote much of it). Paraphrasing Sting's song, they loved their children too.

The Soviet block was centralized, Westphalian, rational. It was cold and calculated. So you could deal with it, even in a nuclear crisis. MAD worked.

Today, we are dealing with more dangerous enemies. They are incoherent. They lack a structure. They are not centralized. They are a fluid ameba. You can't really know where they start and where they end. Iran doesn't invade countries. It creates deniable non-state proxies and destabilizes and turns countries. Why invade a country if you can reach the same outcome using proxies and mafia-like methods?

Hezbollah can do something and Iran would say "that wasn't me". During the Cuba crisis, no Soviet sergeant would shoot a pistol without an OK from the Kremlin (so none shot). Today, someone would shoot and you wouldn't know who, if any, gave the order. And tomorrow it will happen with nuclear weapons.

Even the bunch of "Dr. Evils" that run N Korea and Iran have already proved that they can wipe out a whole generation of their own people without thinking twice.

Iran is a nation state but it works using non-state and indirect means. Let it do its own thing, let it get nuclear, and you will see the Straits of Hormoz becoming an Iranian lake, you will see Iraq, Bahrain and then the rest of them fall under Iranian influence. You'll find it impossible to sail through the Straits of Bab Al-mandeb (between the Horn of Africa and the Saudi Peninsula), you'll find them in central Asia. You will find an Iranian mid east, you will find Europe covered by Iranian nuclear ICBMs.

This is something you can’t hide from.

The US doesn't have good options, and I hope it makes the right choices. When it does, the policies are physically manifested by honest patriotic soldiers such as yourself sleeping in a place whose name you can't properly pronounce.

But that's the way it is. The physical expression of a correct, balanced, stabilizing policies are that flaks such as yourself sweat on a dusty desert road.

It’s not fun, it’s not good, all those tours of duty are bad for your family – but the alternative is worse.

It’s better to have you patrol tonight on the Iraqi-Iranian border than a nuclear 9/11.

Keep safe and keep the valor.

-- [Name removed]

 

THE AMERICAN REPLIES: EITHER WE OUGHT TO BE IN OR WE OUGHT TO BE OUT

From: [U.S. Army Captain – name removed]
To: [LTC (Res) in the IAF – name removed]
Subject: RE: the cost
Date: Fri, 5 June 2009 04:43:06 -0500

[Name removed],

Thanks ever so kindly for the thorough response; I enjoyed reading it greatly (plus, as it's almost lunch time, it made me strangely hungry for pizza!). I do have a slightly nuanced view, however, from your perspective.

Much of what you believe I hold to just as strongly. But my particular view on the issue you cite is that there is more than just "splendid isolation" or having my hand in everyone's pockets as I see fit. Particularly in the case of Iraq, either we ought to be in or we ought to be out. This something-in-the-middle thing we're doing now is a waste of American blood, and that is what gets me seething. I and my fellow Soldiers have often made this comment on this tour: during Desert Storm (or even the initial stages of Operation Iraqi Freedom), we knew what was at stake. We knew the mission. We knew what we had to do, and were prepared to do it, knowing some of us would be wounded and others would be killed. Maybe me. We knew that and readily accepted it. What we (I) can not accept, however, is when we are deployed and: we don't know what's at stake (because the political leaders and/or senior military leaders either tell us nothing that makes sense, or gives us empty rhetoric that we know is rhetoric), we don't know what we're supposed to accomplish, and we don't know what we die for.

That is a crucial problem. If the fighting men don't even know why they are there – but they very much know that their fellow service members are killed in action virtually every day – motivation and morale goes lower and lower by the day. But of far greater significance than whether or not I'm motivated, is the issue of our senior military and civilian leaders bleeding our force and wasting it on a field where it will not serve the nation's interest, but perversely drains it of both men and fighting spirit. This is irresponsible and must be stopped.

If there are issues of empire that affect the vital national interests of the United States or her allies and a case can be made to show that the spilling of our blood is worth it to our way of life, then so be it. If you can give me a rationale that is reasonable to our culture and history, then you will have no complaint from me in doing a job that could deprive me of my life. It will then be my patriotic duty and there would be no shortage of such men in this country willing to perform such duty.

Ultimately, I think it is a high crime to piss away their lives, however, for no return to the nation. Our senior military and civilian leaders, in my view, only expose their remarkably low ability to find complex solutions to very complex problems. Instead, they take the easy way out and make the non-thinking decisions – which result in the type of condition about which I railed in my previous message!

So in the final analysis, I agree with you without hesitation that there are indeed things worth fighting, bleeding, and dying for, and believe that the defense of one's way of life (not simply the physical boundaries) is a 24/7/365 job...

Regarding Iraq and the break-role it plays vis-a-vis Iran: this is also a tricky issue. First, there is a signed, legal document that says we're going to be out entirely by the end of 2011 – whether we want to be or not. Now there is much debate as to whether the Iraqi leadership will suddenly discover the need to "request" that some of our forces remain beyond that point, but even in that case it will be small-ish numbers. The civilian population in neither Iraq nor America will allow either government currently sitting to keep their jobs if that requirement is bypassed in too strong of numbers.

Iran isn't the only global consideration we've got to concern ourselves with. Frankly, I think the consideration that Iran would flex its influence-muscles in lieu of invading someone else is something that can be dealt with. Most countries want to have influence in other nations without having to resort to physical force (Sun Tzu said the most excellent form of fighting is to bend your foe to your will without having to fight), and all try to one degree or another. The ones I worry about, however, are the ones that might consider using physical force to get what they want.

Israel obviously has a very different viewpoint on Iran than anyone else does, including us. I can sit here and give you a logical stream lasting dozens of pages explaining why I believe the facts support a contention that Iran will never use a nuclear weapon on Israel. But in the end, there only has to be that one tiny chance that I am wrong and Israel as I know it ceases to exist. It won't matter that there would be massive retaliation and automatic counter-strikes to bring down Iran: none of that would bring back Israel as a single bomb would wipe most of you out. That’s an argument for which I have no meaningful counterargument.

So where does that leave us? If Israel launches an attack on Iran, it will almost certainly be viewed, without pausing for investigation, as a joint US-Israel operation by Iran (and indeed most of the world; possibly correctly), and we'll be just as much in the retaliation cross hairs as the IDF. Depending on how big the attack and how painful the retaliation strikes, no one can predict where such a war would go. if the retaliation is too severe, or strikes a school house of children, for example, the counter-counter strike would be likewise severe, and escalation begets escalation – where it stops no one knows – and then all kinds of ugly possibilities come into play where nations join nation and the violence spreads and grows until... well, you see where this is going.

Bottom line to all this mess:

Yeah, I haven't figure out the bottom line yet...

-- [name removed]


“The speech President Obama won’t dare give to the Muslim world”

June 03, 2009

* Asia Times: President Obama, there is no such thing as a “Muslim world” any more than there is “Christian world,” and by pretending there is you are merely helping Muslim extremists. By choosing Cairo as the venue for your “address to the Muslim world” tomorrow, you are making a terrible, terrible mistake.

* Asia Times: To speak to the “Muslim world” is to speak not to a fact, but rather to an aspiration, and that is the aspiration that Islam shall be a global state religion as its founders intended. To address this aspiration is to breathe life into it.

* Dennis Prager: “Bosnia and Kosovo, as well as the failed 1992-93 Somalia intervention to feed starving African Muslims – in which 43 Americans were killed – were all humanitarian exercises. In none of them was there a significant U.S. strategic interest at stake. In the last 20 years, America has done more for suffering and oppressed Muslims than any other nation, Muslim or non-Muslim.”

* “What would have been Egypt’s reaction had 19 Christians, in the name of Christianity, slaughtered 3,000 Egyptians. How would the Christians of Egypt and elsewhere in the Middle East have fared?”

* Saudi Ambassador Adel Al-Jubeir: the U.S. State Department’s warning that journalists may not freely report in the country when Obama is there today is “inaccurate”.

* U.S. State Department spokesman Robert Wood denies New York Times report that U.S. will stop vetoing anti-Israel motions at the UN.

A Palestinian shopkeeper sells lots of Obama mugs yesterday in “impoverished” Gaza City

 

CONTENTS

1. Washington Post: Abbas doesn’t seem too interested in peace
2. Asia Times: Obama’s speech to the “Muslim world” will merely help the Islamic extremists
3. Western media myths about poor U.S.-Arab relations
4. “America has received little gratitude from the Muslim world”
5. “Obama is discouraging the forces of reform and change”
6. Will Obama again bow to his majesty?; U.S.-Israeli tensions
7. Congressional Democrats pressure Obama on Israel
8. How to watch President Obama’s speech in Cairo
9. “Wrong venue for Obama’s Muslim speech” (Asia Times, June 2, 2009)
10. “The speech President Obama won’t dare give in Egypt” (By Dennis Prager, June 2, 2009)
11. “Obama is blind to his blunders over Islam” (By Amir Taheri, London Times, June 2, 2009)
12. “Abbas’s Waiting Game” (By Jackson Diehl, Washington Post, May 29, 2009)


[All notes below by Tom Gross]

WASHINGTON POST: ABBAS DOESN’T SEEM TOO INTERESTED IN PEACE

I attach three pieces taking a hard-headed look at U.S. President Barack Obama’s much billed “address to the Muslim world” that he is due to deliver at Cairo University tomorrow.

Given the heavy pro-Obama slant in reporting in major Western media regarding Middle East matters in particular, I think it is worth reading these pieces for an alternative view.

The full articles are attached further down this dispatch. There are extracts first for those who haven’t got time to read the full articles, and also various other notes by myself.

***

The fourth and final article (which is not summarized but is quite short) is also worth reading in full. As The Washington Post notes, “In the Obama administration, so far, it’s easy being Palestinian.”

Of some importance, the Post also confirms Abbas turned down a very good offer for an independent Palestinian state from Israel’s former left-leaning prime minister Ehud Olmert last year.

The Post breaks with the rest of the liberal media by noting Abbas is a “hardliner” and also says: “Abbas – usually described as the most moderate of Palestinian leaders – last year helped doom Netanyahu’s predecessor, Ehud Olmert, by rejecting a generous outline for Palestinian statehood.”

Olmert’s Kadima government offered Abbas 97 percent of the West Bank (plus land swaps in Israel proper to make up the difference), and major concessions on refugees and Jerusalem. Abbas turned him down.

The Washington Post reveals Abbas’s Five Noes: Would he negotiate with Benjamin Netanyahu without preconditions? No. Would he recognize Israel as a Jewish state? No. Would he consider territorial compromise? No. Would he compromise on the refugee issue? No. Would he modify the Arab Peace Initiative to make it a more viable negotiating tool? No.

And yet a few hours after his candid talk with the Post in Washington last week, Abbas, sitting next to Obama in the Oval Office, told the assembled reporters in a press conference carried live by television stations across the world: “Time is of the essence.” Abbas said Israel needed to resume talks “right now” and blamed Israel for the deadlock. And the rest of the media once again seemed to be fooled by Abbas, the man who for four decades was Yasser Arafat’s trusted deputy as head of the PLO.

 

ASIA TIMES: OBAMA’S SPEECH TO THE “MUSLIM WORLD” WILL MERELY HELP THE ISLAMIC EXTREMISTS

The first piece below, an editorial column in yesterday’s Asia Times, warns Obama that his naïve Western outlook will do more harm than good. The writer argues that since there is no such thing as a “Muslim world” – any more than there is some kind of unified “Christian world” – Obama is merely helping to boost the Muslim extremist position by pretending there is. And by choosing Cairo for such an “address to the Muslim world” on Thursday, Obama is compounding his mistake, the writer explains.

EXTRACTS OF ASIA TIMES ARTICLE

Why should the president of the United States address the “Muslim world,” as Barack Obama will do in Egypt this Thursday? What would happen if the leader of a big country addressed the “Christian world”? Half the world would giggle and the other half would sulk. There is no such thing as a Christian world, of course; there hasn’t been since the Great Schism of 1054, even less so since the Reformation. Europe’s nations agreed at the Treaty of Westphalia in 1648 to subordinate the confessional to political sovereignty. America, the new model of a nation, kept church separate from state. To utter the words “Christian world” would persuade the Muslim world that a foul conspiracy was afoot, perhaps a new Crusade…

What does it mean to address the “Muslim world”? As a matter of practice, the Muslim world is just as fractured as the Christian world, even more so in the absence of any religious authority like the Catholic Church, which claims doctrinal authority over a billion people…

To speak to the “Muslim world” is to speak not to a fact, but rather to an aspiration, and that is the aspiration that Islam shall be a global state religion as its founders intended. To address this aspiration is to breathe life into it…

Obama, the White House press office told reporters last week, will address among other issues the Arab-Israeli issue. What does it imply to raise this issue in a speech to the “Muslim world”? Nearly 700 million of the world’s 1.4 billion Muslims live in Indonesia, Pakistan, India and Bangladesh, countries which share no linguistic or cultural affinities with the Arabs, and have only religion in common. They have no strategic interest whatever in the outcome of war or peace in the Levant. Their only possible interest is religious. Does the United States really believe that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is religious in origin? …

It is quite possible for the state of Israel to live in peace with nation-states whose population is mainly Muslim, to be sure. Israel has done so since 1975 with Egypt and Jordan, and has until recently maintained excellent relations with Turkey. Until the Ruhollah Khomeini revolution of 1979, Israel was an ally and arms supplier of Iran. As a matter of national interest, many Muslim-majority countries may seek peaceful and even friendly relations with the Jewish state, irrespective of what the dictates of Islamic theology might be. Rather than addressing nations with national interest, though, Obama is addressing Muslims, over the heads as it were of majority-Muslim nation states.

Even though the Koran mentions Jerusalem not once (against 832 times in the Hebrew Bible and 161 times in the New Testament), later Muslim tradition makes Jerusalem a Muslim holy place. No Muslim religious authority in Asia or Africa can or will rule that Islam can tolerate a Jewish state in Palestine with its capital in Jerusalem. There are a few Muslim voices in Europe and the US favorably disposed to co-existence with the Jewish state, but they are whispers against the roar of an ocean…

By addressing the “Islamic world” from Cairo, Obama lends credibility to the Muslim Brotherhood, Hamas, and other advocates of political Islam who demand that Muslims be addressed globally and on religious terms – in contradistinction to nationalists such as Mubarak. Rather than buttress a loyal ally, Obama’s speech undermines him on his home ground. That is a lose-lose proposition…

(Full article below.)

 

WESTERN MEDIA MYTHS ABOUT POOR U.S.-ARAB RELATIONS

Tom Gross adds: In spite of what some Western media (notably the BBC World Service) keep on telling us, there are indications that America’s image in the Arab world improved in many ways during the Bush era. Since 2003, the number of popular anti-American street protests in the Arab world declined sharply compared to the 1980s and 1990s. The number of Arab citizens granted visas to visit the U.S. steadily increased in the Bush era. And U.S. exports to Arab countries have increased from $16 billion in 2000 to $52 billion in 2008.

 

“AMERICA HAS RECEIVED LITTLE GRATITUDE FROM THE MUSLIM WORLD”

In the second article below Dennis Prager (who is a syndicated columnist and radio host, as well as being a subscriber to this email list) writes:

Here is what an honest address by Obama would sound like:

“Lets’ look a little deeper at that relationship. For the truth is… in the last 20-30 years America did not just respect Muslims, it bled for Muslims. We Americans engaged in five military campaigns on behalf of Muslims, each one resulting in the liberation of a Muslim people: Bosnia, Kosovo, Kuwait, Afghanistan and Iraq.

“Bosnia and Kosovo, as well as the failed 1992-93 Somalia intervention to feed starving African Muslims – in which 43 Americans were killed – were all humanitarian exercises. In none of them was there a significant U.S. strategic interest at stake. So, in fact, in these 20 years, my country, the United States of America has done more for suffering and oppressed Muslims than any other nation, Muslim or non-Muslim.

“… America has not only not received little gratitude from the Muslim world, it has been the object of hatred, mass murder, and economic attack from Muslim individuals, groups, and countries.

“… I ask you to please ask yourselves what Egypt’s reaction would have been had 19 Christians, in the name of Christianity, slaughtered 3,000 Egyptians. How would the Christians of Egypt and elsewhere in the Middle East have fared?

“As it is, because of persecution by Muslim majorities, Christians have been leaving the Middle East in such great numbers that for the first time since Christ, there are large parts of the Middle East that have become empty of both Jews and Christians.

“Yet, at the same time, millions of Muslims have moved to Western countries and to America. It is fair to say that the freest, and often the safest, place in the world for a practicing Muslim is the United States of America.

“… As a friend of Egypt and of the Muslim world, I want to say something from the bottom of my heart: The day the Arab world ceases obsessing over the existence of a Jewish state the size of Belize will be a great day for the Arab and Muslim worlds. Your obsession with Israel has cost you dearly in every area of social development.

“… Finally, my fellow Americans would feel more confident in American-Muslim relations if they had ever seen a large demonstration of Muslims anywhere against all the terror committed by Muslims in the name of Islam – whether in London, Madrid, New York, Bali, Cairo, or Mumbai…”

(Full article below.)

 

“OBAMA IS DISCOURAGING THE FORCES OF REFORM AND CHANGE”

In the third piece below (“Barack Obama is blind to his blunders over Islam”), exiled Iranian writer Amir Taheri (who is also a subscriber to this email list) writes in The Times of London:

Obama has aroused more curiosity in the Middle East than any previous U.S. leader, partly because of his Arabic-Islamic first and middle names. The choice of the date for Obama’s address indicates his attention to detail. It coincides with the anniversary of the start of the first battle between Islam, under Prophet Muhammad, and Christendom in the shape of a Byzantine expeditionary force in AD629.

The “address to Islam” also marks the 30th anniversary of Ayatollah Ruhallah Khomeini’s demise and the appointment of Ali Khamenei as the new “Supreme Guide of the Islamic ummah”. More importantly, it also coincides with the rebuilding of the Ka’abah, the stone at the heart of Mecca, which had been destroyed in a Muslim civil war.

Rich in symbolism, Obama’s “address to Islam” is also full of political implications… By adopting the key element of the Islamist narrative, that is to say the division of humanity into religious blocs, Obama also intends to send a signal to the Middle East’s nascent democratic forces that Washington is abandoning with a vengeance George W. Bush’s “freedom agenda”.

... In her recent visit to Cairo to prepare for Obama’s visit, his Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, made no mention of human rights, democratization and good governance. Vice-President Biden’s visit to Lebanon, where a crucial election is due on June 7, was designed to hammer home a similar message: Obama is more interested in the country’s stability than the victory of democratic forces.

… In trying to prove that he is not George Bush, Barack Obama has committed big mistakes on key issues of foreign policy. His Cairo address, and his “one-size-fits-all” Islam policy, is just the latest. It encourages Islamists and ruling despots, discourages the forces of reform and change and, ultimately, could produce greater resentment of the United States among peoples thirsting for freedom, human rights and decent governance.

(Full article below.)

 

WILL OBAMA AGAIN BOW TO HIS MAJESTY?

Before his major speech in Cairo, Obama (age 47) today meets Saudi King Abdullah (age 86) in Riyadh. Last weekend, according to the official Saudi news agency, a man was publicly beheaded in the Saudi capital and his body and head were left on public display for many hours. Will Obama mention this, or is all his criticism reserved for Benjamin Netanyahu?

U.S.-ISRAELI TENSIONS

Reports in the Israeli press this week also indicate that Israeli leaders are “stunned” by the Obama administration’s repudiation of written agreements between Israel and the U.S. concluded under the previous American president. When questioned, a State Department spokesman refused to say whether the U.S. would or would not abide by the terms of previous agreements between the U.S. and Israel.

Israeli leaders say Obama appears to be criticizing the Israeli government, even though Israel is upholding the precise terms of the Road Map which was negotiated under a previous Israeli government, while Obama seems to think it is ok for him to dispense with U.S. agreements, agreements which are vital to Israel’s national security.

The Israeli daily Yediot Ahronot reported that the American interference in Israel’s democratically-elected government may be being spearheaded by Obama’s chief of staff Rahm Emanuel.

Senior Likud ministers said yesterday that the Obama administration’s criticism of Netanyahu’s policies had “crossed the line into interfering in Israeli politics.”

Kadima officials responded to the allegations by disagreeing that the U.S. was meddling but expressed concern that such a perception by the Israeli public would harm their party and end up strengthening the prime minister.

Vice Premier Moshe Ya’alon accused Israeli far leftist groups and their American allies of “coaching Obama’s administration on how to handle Netanyahu’ even though they had lost a democratic election. Netanyahu said last weekend: “What do they want from me? Do they want my government to fall?”

Despite the current tension between Washington and Jerusalem, Obama unexpectedly joined a meeting between Israeli Defense Minister and U.S. National Security Adviser Jim Jones in Washington yesterday. Barak and Jones met for four hours, with Obama joining them for 15 minutes.

***

ISRAELIS: OUR GOVERNMENT SHOULD STAND ITS GROUND AGAINST OBAMA’S DICTATES

In an opinion poll conducted for Israeli Channel One TV yesterday, 54% of Israelis (Jews and Arabs) said Israel should say no to Obama’s one-sided pressure and “not make any more withdrawals and concessions to the Palestinians until conditions of peace and security on the ground are reached.” 33% Israelis said Israel should listen to Obama and 13% expressed no opinion.

 

CONGRESSIONAL DEMOCRATS PRESSURE OBAMA ON ISRAEL

The Obama administration’s escalating pressure on Israel, which has surprised even the Israeli center and center-left, has begun to stir concern among Israel’s allies in both parties on Capitol Hill, reports Politico.

“My concern is that we are applying pressure to the wrong party in this dispute,” said Rep. Shelley Berkley (D-Nev.), a subscriber to this email list. “I think it would serve America’s interest better if we were pressuring the Iranians to eliminate the potential of a nuclear threat from Iran, and less time pressuring our allies and the only democracy in the Middle East. When Congress gets back into session the administration is going to hear from many more members than just me,” she added.

Even a key defender of Obama’s Mideast policy, Rep. Robert Wexler (D-Fla.), is reportedly concerned that Obama is squeezing Benjamin Netanyahu too much, to the point that the newly democratically elected Israeli government is likely to fall within months of being formed.

“There’s a line between articulating U.S. policy and seeming to be pressuring a democracy on what are their domestic policies, and the president is tiptoeing right up to that line,” said Rep. Anthony Weiner (D-N.Y.).

“I don’t think anybody wants to dictate to an ally what they have to do in their own national security interests,” Rep. Gary Ackerman (D-N.Y.) told Politico.

Republicans have been even more critical of the pressure Obama is putting on Israel.

 

HOW TO WATCH PRESIDENT OBAMA’S SPEECH IN CAIRO

One of the American diplomats who subscribe to this email list asks me to pass on to readers his note, as follows:

In addition to being aired live in its entirety on local and international television networks, the president’s speech, which begins at 1.10 p.m. Cairo time (6.10 am EST), will be available through SMS updates created by the U.S. State Department.

This service will allow interested persons to receive speech highlights live via text message. To register for the service in any of five languages – English, Arabic, Urdu, Persian and Hebrew – you can visit American embassy websites, for example, this one in Tel Aviv: at http://israel.usembassy.gov/

Registration takes less than two minutes. Enrolled participants are invited to send comments to Obama Speech SMS highlights – via standard 2-way mobile SMS reply. Selected comments will be posted on www.america.gov/sms-comments.html.

[All notes above by Tom Gross]


FULL ARTICLES

“OBAMA BREATHES LIFE TO THE MUSLIM EXTREMISTS”

Wrong venue for Obama’s Muslim speech
Editorial column
Asia Times
June 2, 2009

Why should the president of the United States address the “Muslim world”, as Barack Obama will do in Egypt this Thursday? What would happen if the leader of a big country addressed the “Christian world”? Half the world would giggle and the other half would sulk. There is no such thing as a Christian world, of course; there hasn’t been since the Great Schism of 1054, even less so since the Reformation. Europe’s nations agreed at the Treaty of Westphalia in 1648 to subordinate the confessional to political sovereignty. America, the new model of a nation, kept church separate from state. To utter the words “Christian world” would persuade the Muslim world that a foul conspiracy was afoot, perhaps a new Crusade.

There is no “Christian world” to address because Christianity has become a private religion of personal conscience. Few Christian denominations aspire to the status of state religion; the Catholic Church abandoned earthly power at the Second Vatican Council in 1965. No Christian denomination aspires to world power. A “Christian world”, in short, is not even a fantasy, let alone a fact, and to pronounce the words would be an absurdity.

What does it mean, though, to address the “Muslim world”? As a matter of practice, the Muslim world is just as fractured as the Christian world, even more so in the absence of any religious authority like the Catholic Church, which claims doctrinal authority over a billion people. Muslim religious authority is exercised ad hoc. The quasi-animist Islam of Sumatra and the Wahhabi Islam of Saudi Arabia have about as much in common as Midwest Methodists and Nigerian Pentecostals. But there is a great gulf fixed between the terms, “Christian world”, and “Muslim world”. No denomination of Islam will abandon its pretensions at official status, and all aspire to world power.

To speak to the “Muslim world”, is to speak not to a fact, but rather to an aspiration, and that is the aspiration that Islam shall be a global state religion as its founders intended. To address this aspiration is to breathe life into it. For an American president to validate such an aspiration is madness. America is not at war with Islam, unless, that is, Islam were to take a political form that threatens America’s global interests. These interests include friendly relationships with nation-states that have a Muslim majority, such as Egypt, Turkey and Jordan. To address “the Muslim world” is to conjure up a prospective enemy, for global political Islam only can exist as the enemy of the nation-states with which America has allied.

Obama, the White House press office told reporters last week, will address among other issues the Arab-Israeli issue. What does it imply to raise this issue in a speech to the “Muslim world”? Nearly 700 million of the world’s 1.4 billion Muslims live in Indonesia, Pakistan, India and Bangladesh, countries which share no linguistic or cultural affinities with the Arabs, and have only religion in common. They have no strategic interest whatever in the outcome of war or peace in the Levant. Their only possible interest is religious. Does the United States really believe that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is religious in origin? If that is not so, why should South Asian or East Asian Muslims care about the conflict to begin with? Why should the United States address concerns that it does not consider valid to begin with? And if it is religious in origin, what specifically makes the conflict religious?

If it really were the case that the Israelis and Palestinian Arabs are fighting over religious matters, then the theological Muslim position is the one represented by Hamas in Palestine and Hezbollah in Lebanon, namely that a Jewish state on territory once held by the ummah (Muslim community) is an outrage to Islam and never can be accepted.

For the US president to address the “Muslim world” on the subject of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and by implication frame the matter in religious terms, is to define the matter as a jihad, and to rule out a peaceful solution – unless, of course, the president were to tell Muslims to abandon their religious scruples in order to accept the existence of the state of Israel. Excluding the unlikely possibility that Obama will declare himself to be a Muslim and claim religious authority in matters affecting Muslims everywhere, that is not going to happen in Cairo this Thursday.

It is quite possible for the state of Israel to live in peace with nation-states whose population is mainly Muslim, to be sure. Israel has done so since 1975 with Egypt and Jordan, and has until recently maintained excellent relations with Turkey. Until the Ruhollah Khomeini revolution of 1979, Israel was an ally and arms supplier of Iran. As a matter of national interest, many Muslim-majority countries may seek peaceful and even friendly relations with the Jewish state, irrespective of what the dictates of Islamic theology might be. Rather than addressing nations with national interest, though, Obama is addressing Muslims, over the heads as it were of majority-Muslim nation states.

Even though the Koran mentions Jerusalem not once (against 832 times in the Hebrew Bible and 161 times in the New Testament), later Muslim tradition makes Jerusalem a Muslim holy place. No Muslim religious authority in Asia or Africa can or will rule that Islam can tolerate a Jewish state in Palestine with its capital in Jerusalem. There are a few Muslim voices in Europe and the US favorably disposed to co-existence with the Jewish state, but they are whispers against the roar of an ocean.

Obama and his advisors seem to have taken to heart the view of Iraq’s former defense minister Ali Allawi, whose book The Crisis In Islamic Civilization I reviewed some weeks ago (Predicting the death of Islam Asia Times Online, May 5.) Allawi, who had been the Central Intelligence Agency’s preferred candidate for president of Iraq under the George W Bush administration, writes off the nation-state as a political vehicle in the Islamic world. As I noted, he cites Pew Institute polls showing that people in Islamic countries view themselves as Muslims first, and citizens second: “Large majorities of Muslims in countries as diverse as Pakistan (79%), Morocco (70%) and Jordan (63%) viewed themselves as Muslims rather than citizens of their nation-states. Even in countries such as Turkey with its long secular history as a nation-state, 43% viewed themselves as Muslims in the first place, although 29% saw themselves as citizens of the nation-state.”

The dream of a new caliphate is unattainable, Allawi argued, but the Western-style nation-state can only be a coffin for the culture of Islam. Muslims either will “live an outer life which is an expression of their innermost faith” and “reclaim those parts of their public spaces which have been conceded to other world views over the past centuries”, he wrote, or “the dominant civilizational order” will “fatally undermine whatever is left of Muslims’ basic identity and autonomy”. Allawi is a Shi’ite with close ties to Iran, whose vision for the region centers on the transnational bloc of 200 million Shi’ite Muslims and their aspirations from Lebanon through Pakistan.

A gauge of the absurdity of an American president addressing “the Muslim world” was the difficulty in finding a venue for Thursday’s speech. Egypt’s President Hosni Mubarak remains one of America’s closest allies in the Muslim world, and the head of the most populous, important Arab state, and one that has a peace treaty with Israel. Egypt was the natural choice, but it called down criticism on Obama for validating a regime that suppresses political opposition. The opposition it suppresses most brutally comes from the Muslim Brotherhood (the Egyptian parent organization of which Hamas is the Palestinian branch), the first and still the most important Islamist organization.

By addressing the “Islamic world” from Cairo, Obama lends credibility to the Muslim Brotherhood, Hamas, and other advocates of political Islam who demand that Muslims be addressed globally and on religious terms – in contradistinction to nationalists such as Mubarak. Rather than buttress a loyal ally, Obama’s speech undermines him on his home ground. That is a lose-lose proposition.

There is a way to rescue the situation, which I now propose to Obama in good faith: change the venue to New Delhi. After all, India’s Muslim population is the world’s third-largest at 158 million, just under Pakistan’s 175 million and Indonesia’s 200 million. Speaking from an Indian podium, Obama could say something like this:

“I have come here to address the Muslims of the world on Indian soil to emphasize that there is life after the end of Islam’s status as a state religion. As a minority, Indian Muslims have had to maintain their communal life without a link between mosque and state, and by and large they have succeeded. It has not been easy. On occasion Indian Muslims have been provoked to violence against their more numerous Hindu neighbors, as in the state of Gujarat in 2002, and the Hindu response was horrendous. India’s Muslims have learned that extremists in their ranks will call vengeance down upon their communities. They demonstrated sagacity in their refusal to bury in consecrated ground the Muslim terrorists killed last year in Mumbai.

“Muslims around the world should look to India as an example of moderation and co-existence. Whether they like it or not, Muslims will remain a minority in the world, a minority that cannot defend itself against the superior technology and military culture of other countries. Its legitimate aspirations must lead it to moderation and compromise. The alternative could be quite nasty.”

That sort of speech would get the undivided attention of the Muslim world. Anything else will lend credibility to the Islamists and foster triumphalism. Thus far, Obama’s efforts to propitiate the “Muslim world” have made the administration’s future work all the harder. Iran is convinced that the administration needs it to help out in Iraq and Afghanistan, and has all the less incentive to abandon its central goal of developing nuclear weapons. Pakistan is in the midst of a bloody civil war forced upon it by the United States. After Obama leaned on the Israelis to halt settlement construction, the Palestinian Authority’s President Mahmoud Abbas left Washington convinced that Obama will force out the Israeli government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during the next two years.

For his trouble, Obama will get more bloodshed in Pakistan, more megalomania from Iran, more triumphalism from the Palestinians, and less control over Iraq and Afghanistan. Of all the available bad choices, Obama has taken the worst. It is hard to imagine any consequence except a steep diminution of American influence.

 

“THE SPEECH PRESIDENT OBAMA WON’T DARE GIVE IN EGYPT”

The speech President Obama won’t dare give in Egypt
By Dennis Prager
June 2, 2009

This week, President Barack Obama is scheduled to give a major address in Cairo to the Muslim world. He is likely to reiterate what he has stated previously to Muslim audiences, that America has no battle with Islam, deeply respects Islam and the Muslim world, and apologizes for any anti-Muslim sentiment that any Americans may express.

Here is what an honest address would sound like:

“Thank you for the honor of addressing the Egyptian people and the wider Muslim world.

“I am here primarily to dispel some of the erroneous beliefs many Muslims have about America and to thereby reassure you that America has no desire to be at war with the Muslim world.

“To my great disappointment, many Muslims have come to believe that my country has declared war on Muslims and Islam.

“Because of this widespread belief, I said in an interview with al-Arabiya a few months ago, that we need to restore “the same respect and partnership that America had with the Muslim world as recently as 20 or 30 years ago.”

“Lets’ look a little deeper at that relationship. For the truth is, as noted by the Pulitzer-Prize winning columnist for the American newspaper the Washington Post, Charles Krauthammer, in the last 20-30 years America did not just respect Muslims, it bled for Muslims. We Americans engaged in five military campaigns on behalf of Muslims, each one resulting in the liberation of a Muslim people: Bosnia, Kosovo, Kuwait, Afghanistan and Iraq.

“Bosnia and Kosovo, as well as the failed 1992-93 Somalia intervention to feed starving African Muslims – in which] 43 Americans were killed – were all humanitarian exercises. In none of them was there a significant U.S. strategic interest at stake. So, in fact, in these 20 years, my country, the United States of America has done more for suffering and oppressed Muslims than any other nation, Muslim or non-Muslim.

“While I recognize that gratitude is the rarest positive human quality, I need to say – because candor is the highest form respect – that America has not only not received little gratitude from the Muslim world, it has been the object of hatred, mass murder, and economic attack from Muslim individuals, groups, and countries.

“Just to cite a few of many examples from the last 40 years:

“In 1973, Muslim terrorists attacked the American embassy in Sudan and murdered our country’s ambassador, Cleo Noel, and the chief deputy of the mission, George C. Moore. Later in 1973, the Arab oil embargo against America sent my country into a long and painful recession. In 1977, Muslim militants murdered the U.S. ambassador to Lebanon, Frances E. Meloy, and Robert O.Waring, the U.S. economic counselor. In 1979 radical Muslims violently attacked my country’s embassy in Teheran, and for 14 months held American diplomats hostage, often in appalling conditions. In 1998, Muslim militants bombed the American embassy in Nairobi, killing 12 Americans and 280 Kenyans, and bombed our embassy in Tanzania, killing another 11 Americans. Then, on Sept. 11, 2001, 19 Muslims who had been living in America slit the throats of American pilots and flight attendants and then flew airplanes into civilian buildings in New York City, burning 3,000 innocent Americans to death.

“So, my friends here in Egypt, between America and the Muslim world, who exactly has been making war on whom?

“I have enormous differences with my predecessor, President George W. Bush. But please remember that less than a week after thousands of Americans were slaughtered in the name of your religion, President Bush went to the Islamic Center in Washington, D.C., and announced that Islam was a religion of peace. Moreover, in a country of 300 million people, of whom only a few million are Muslim, there is virtually no recorded incident of anti-mosque or other anti-Muslim violence despite the butchery of 9/11 and the popular support for Osama Bin Laden that we saw in the Muslim world after 9/11.

“I ask you to please ask yourselves what Egypt’s reaction would have been had 19 Christians, in the name of Christianity, slaughtered 3,000 Egyptians. How would the Christians of Egypt and elsewhere in the Middle East have fared?

“As it is, because of persecution by Muslim majorities, Christians have been leaving the Middle East in such great numbers that for the first time since Christ, there are large parts of the Middle East that have become empty of both Jews and Christians.

“Yet, at the same time, millions of Muslims have moved to Western countries and to America. It is fair to say that the freest, and often the safest, place in the world for a practicing Muslim is the United States of America.

“Muslim-Americans are treated exactly as other Americans are treated. It is exceedingly rare to hear any anti-Muslim bigotry in my country. And while there is some criticism of the Muslim world, but there is far more criticism of Christianity in America than of Islam.

“Unfortunately, in much of the Muslim world today anti-Jewish speeches and writing are frequently identical to the genocidal anti-Semitism one heard and read in Nazi Germany. This is a blight on your civilization. How can you seriously charge that America is at war with Islam when in fact it is much of the Islamic world that is at war with Jews and Christians?

“I know that you would like me to announce that America is abandoning its support for Israel. But every president since Harry Truman, Democrat and Republican, has been passionate about enabling Israel to defend itself from those who wish to destroy it. And that, dear Muslims, is the issue. America will continue to support a two-state solution to the Arab-Israeli dispute, but the issue has never really been about two states. It has always been about Palestinians and other Arabs and Muslims recognizing Israel’s right to exist as a Jewish state.

“As a friend of Egypt and of the Muslim world, I want to say something from the bottom of my heart: The day the Arab world ceases obsessing over the existence of a Jewish state the size of Belize will be a great day for the Arab and Muslim worlds. Your obsession with Israel has cost you dearly in every area of social development. This is easily demonstrated. If Israel were destroyed – and the so-called “right of return” of millions of third-generation Palestinian refugees would ensure that outcome as effectively as would a nuclear device from Iran – what difference would that make to the Egyptian economy, to Egyptian lack of freedoms, or anything else that matters to Egyptians? In my opinion, none whatsoever. Preoccupation with Israel has simply enabled the Arab world to not look within for 60 years.

“Finally, my fellow Americans would feel more confident in American-Muslim relations if they had ever seen a large demonstration of Muslims anywhere against all the terror committed by Muslims in the name of Islam – whether in London, Madrid, New York, Bali, Cairo, or Mumbai. The mark of a great civilization – and Arab civilization was indeed once great – is a willingness to criticize itself.

“Thank you again for this opportunity to address you. I could have patronized you by exaggerating American misdeeds and ignoring yours. But I have too much respect for you.

“Shukran jiddan.”

 

“BARACK OBAMA IS BLIND TO HIS BLUNDERS OVER ISLAM”

Barack Obama is blind to his blunders over Islam
By Amir Taheri
The Times (of London)
June 2, 2009

For the past week or so, the Middle East has been abuzz with speculation about Barack Obama’s “historic address to the Muslim world” to be delivered in Cairo on Thursday. During his presidential campaign, Obama had promised to make such a move within his first 100 days at the White House.

In the event, the first 100 days came and went without Obama delivering on his promise. Nevertheless, he granted his first interview as President to Saudi television and, later, made a speech at the Turkish parliament in Ankara. On both occasions he highlighted the Islamic element of his background and solemnly declared that the “United States is not and will never be at war with Islam”.

Obama has aroused more curiosity in the Middle East than any previous US leader, partly because of his Arabic-Islamic first and middle names. The choice of the date for Obama’s address indicates his attention to detail. It coincides with the anniversary of the start of the first battle between Islam, under Prophet Muhammad, and Christendom in the shape of a Byzantine expeditionary force in AD629. The “address to Islam” also marks the 30th anniversary of Ayatollah Ruhallah Khomeini’s demise and the appointment of Ali Khamenei as the new “Supreme Guide of the Islamic ummah”. More importantly, it also coincides with the rebuilding of the Ka’abah, the stone at the heart of Mecca, which had been destroyed in a Muslim civil war.

Rich in symbolism, Obama’s “address to Islam” is also full of political implications. Obama is the first major Western leader, after Bonaparte, to address Islam as a single bloc, thus adopting the traditional Islamic narrative of dividing the world according to religious beliefs. This ignores the rich and conflict-ridden diversity of the 57 Muslim-majority nations and fosters the illusion, peddled by people such as Osama bin Laden and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, that Islam is one and indivisible and should, one day, unite under a caliphate.

By adopting the key element of the Islamist narrative, that is to say the division of humanity into religious blocs, Mr Obama also intends to send a signal to the Middle East’s nascent democratic forces that Washington is abandoning with a vengeance George W. Bush’s “freedom agenda”.

Mr Bush’s analysis had been simple, or as Mr Obama suggests, simplistic: the 9/11 attacks were the result of decades of US support for repressive regimes in the Middle East that had produced closed systems in which terror thrived. In an address to university students in Cairo in 2005, Condoleezza Rice explained the “Bush doctrine” in these terms: “For 60 years, the United States pursued stability at the expense of democracy in the Middle East - and we achieved neither. Now we are taking a different course.”

That different course transformed the US from a supporter of the status quo to an active agent for change - including the use of force to remove two obnoxious regimes in Kabul and Baghdad. It also coerced traditional Arab states to adopt constitutions, hold elections, grant women the vote, ease pressure on the media, and allow greater space for debate and dissent.

Mr Obama has started scrapping that policy in the name of “political realism”, the currently fashionable phrase in Washington. The “political realist” school could also be called the “let them stew in their juices” school. It argues that Arabs, and other Muslims, are not ready for democracy and may not even like it if they encountered it. Rather than trying to shock “traditional societies” out of their sleep of centuries, Western powers, especially America, should try to maintain stability.

In her recent visit to Cairo to prepare for Mr Obama’s visit, his Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, made no mention of human rights, democratisation and good governance. Vice-President Biden’s visit to Lebanon, where a crucial election is due on June 7, was designed to hammer home a similar message: Mr Obama is more interested in the country’s stability than the victory of democratic forces.

The problem is that the status quo in the Middle East was and remains unstable. Sixty years of “political realist” support for the regimes in the region produced five Arab-Israel wars, civil wars in Lebanon and Yemen, military coups d’état in eight Arab countries, the Islamic revolution in Iran, and two wars between US-led international coalitions and Iraq under Saddam Hussein.

Richard Nixon tried to promote a new architecture of stability aimed at helping Washington’s regional allies to maintain the status quo. Ultimately, this Nixon doctrine also failed because it ignored the region’s explosive desire for change.

Is Mr Obama similarly hoping to build a bloc of Arab states led by Egypt and supported by Turkey and Israel? Or, as some Arabs fear, is he reaching out to Iran to resume its position as “the local gendarme”? The policy of “engaging Iran” cannot exclude a regional leadership position for the Khomeinist regime.

In trying to prove that he is not George Bush, Barack Obama has committed big mistakes on key issues of foreign policy. His Cairo address, and his “one-size-fits-all” Islam policy, is just the latest. It encourages Islamists and ruling despots, discourages the forces of reform and change and, ultimately, could produce greater resentment of the United States among peoples thirsting for freedom, human rights and decent governance.

 

“IN THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION, SO FAR, IT’S EASY BEING PALESTINIAN”

Abbas’s Waiting Game
By Jackson Diehl
Washington Post
May 29, 2009

Mahmoud Abbas says there is nothing for him to do.

True, the Palestinian president walked into his meeting with Barack Obama yesterday as the pivotal player in any Middle East peace process. If there is to be a deal, Abbas must (1) agree on all the details of a two-state settlement with the new Israeli government of Binyamin Netanyahu, which hasn’t yet accepted Palestinian statehood, and (2) somehow overcome the huge split in Palestinian governance between his Fatah movement, which controls the West Bank, and Hamas, which rules Gaza and hasn’t yet accepted Israel’s right to exist.

Yet on Wednesday afternoon, as he prepared for the White House meeting in a suite at the Ritz-Carlton in Pentagon City, Abbas insisted that his only role was to wait. He will wait for Hamas to capitulate to his demand that any Palestinian unity government recognize Israel and swear off violence. And he will wait for the Obama administration to force a recalcitrant Netanyahu to freeze Israeli settlement construction and publicly accept the two-state formula.

Until Israel meets his demands, the Palestinian president says, he will refuse to begin negotiations. He won’t even agree to help Obama’s envoy, George J. Mitchell, persuade Arab states to take small confidence-building measures. “We can’t talk to the Arabs until Israel agrees to freeze settlements and recognize the two-state solution,” he insisted in an interview. “Until then we can’t talk to anyone.”

For veterans of Israeli-Palestinian peace talks, Abbas’s bargaining position will be bone-wearyingly familiar: Both sides invariably begin by arguing that they cannot act until the other side offers far-reaching concessions. Netanyahu suggested during his own visit to Washington last week that the Palestinians should start by recognizing Israel as a Jewish state, though he didn’t make it a precondition for meeting with Abbas.

What’s interesting about Abbas’s hardline position, however, is what it says about the message that Obama’s first Middle East steps have sent to Palestinians and Arab governments. From its first days the Bush administration made it clear that the onus for change in the Middle East was on the Palestinians: Until they put an end to terrorism, established a democratic government and accepted the basic parameters for a settlement, the United States was not going to expect major concessions from Israel.

Obama, in contrast, has repeatedly and publicly stressed the need for a West Bank settlement freeze, with no exceptions. In so doing he has shifted the focus to Israel. He has revived a long-dormant Palestinian fantasy: that the United States will simply force Israel to make critical concessions, whether or not its democratic government agrees, while Arabs passively watch and applaud. “The Americans are the leaders of the world,” Abbas told me and Post Editorial Page Editor Fred Hiatt. “They can use their weight with anyone around the world. Two years ago they used their weight on us. Now they should tell the Israelis, ‘You have to comply with the conditions.’ “

It’s true, of course, that if Obama is to broker a Middle East settlement he will have to overcome the recalcitrance of Netanyahu and his Likud party, which has not yet reconciled itself to the idea that Israel will have to give up most of the West Bank and evacuate tens of thousands of settlers. But Palestinians remain a long way from swallowing reality as well. Setting aside Hamas and its insistence that Israel must be liquidated, Abbas – usually described as the most moderate of Palestinian leaders – last year helped doom Netanyahu’s predecessor, Ehud Olmert, by rejecting a generous outline for Palestinian statehood.

In our meeting Wednesday, Abbas acknowledged that Olmert had shown him a map proposing a Palestinian state on 97 percent of the West Bank – though he complained that the Israeli leader refused to give him a copy of the plan. He confirmed that Olmert “accepted the principle” of the “right of return” of Palestinian refugees – something no previous Israeli prime minister had done – and offered to resettle thousands in Israel. In all, Olmert’s peace offer was more generous to the Palestinians than either that of Bush or Bill Clinton; it’s almost impossible to imagine Obama, or any Israeli government, going further.

Abbas turned it down. “The gaps were wide,” he said.

Abbas and his team fully expect that Netanyahu will never agree to the full settlement freeze – if he did, his center-right coalition would almost certainly collapse. So they plan to sit back and watch while U.S. pressure slowly squeezes the Israeli prime minister from office. “It will take a couple of years,” one official breezily predicted. Abbas rejects the notion that he should make any comparable concession – such as recognizing Israel as a Jewish state, which would imply renunciation of any large-scale resettlement of refugees.

Instead, he says, he will remain passive. “I will wait for Hamas to accept international commitments. I will wait for Israel to freeze settlements,” he said. “Until then, in the West Bank we have a good reality … the people are living a normal life.” In the Obama administration, so far, it’s easy being Palestinian.


Protests against appointment of UNESCO head who wants to burn Israeli books

June 02, 2009

* Israel to help build new Palestinian city near Ramallah
* Children’s hospital in Yemen named in honor of Palestinian suicide bomber; special guest at opening ceremony was a murderer of young Israeli girls
* Contrary to the anti-Israeli propaganda broadcast daily by the likes of the BBC, Mahmoud Abbas admits in an interview in The Washington Post: “In the West Bank we have a good reality … the people are living a normal life.”
* Israel is only country in the Middle East where the Christian population is increasing, yet the new issue of National Geographic magazine blames Israel for Christianity’s demise in the region

 

CONTENTS

1. “Children’s health care,” Middle East style
2. Protests against appointment of anti-Semitic Egyptian as UNESCO head
3. Egypt rejects U.S. plan for Arab-Israeli normalization
4. Mubarak competes with Ramses II for time in office
5. National Geographic blames Israel for Christianity’s demise in the Middle East

6. Nasrallah: Iran will “gladly” supply Hizbullah with arms
7. Der Spiegel stands behind its report that Hizbullah killed Hariri
8. Israeli-Palestinian Chamber of Commerce inaugurated
9. Netanyahu sets up committee to improve Palestinian life
10. Six Palestinians killed in Hamas-PA clashes in West Bank

11. Sderot hit again; bombing thwarted
12. 13-year old Palestinian stabs Israeli soldier
13. Both Hamas and Fatah sentence additional Palestinians to death
14. Muslim radicals suspected of desecrating Christian cemeteries on West Bank
15. Hamas blocks women from leaving Gaza

16. Lieberman: Israel to open embassy in (Muslim) Turkmenistan
17. Hizbullah allows Beirut synagogue restoration
18. Women MPs make history in Kuwait
19. Madonna to appear in Israel’s largest and most expensive concert
20. Dry Bones cartoon: Iranian and Israeli strategic defenses


[All notes below by Tom Gross]

“CHILDREN’S HEALTH CARE,” MIDDLE EAST STYLE

The Yemeni news site www.yemenportal.net, reports that a library and conference hall named after Palestinian suicide bomber Wafa Idris have been inaugurated at a children’s hospital in the province of Ibb in southern Yemen. The inauguration ceremony was attended by Yemeni officials, and the guest of honor was Samir Kuntar, the Palestinian terrorist and child murderer whom Israel released last year in a highly controversial swap for the bodies of three Israelis killed by Hizbullah.

At the ceremony in Yemen, speakers extolled the “resistance” and the perpetrators of suicide bombings, and little girls read out texts and poems.

Kuntar murdered two Israeli girls aged 2 and 4 and their father in 1979 in the northern Israeli coastal town of Nahariya. Kuntar smashed one of the girl’s heads in with a rifle butt. (For more on Kuntar, see here.)

Wafa Idris was a Palestinian Arab paramedic who in 2002 entered Israel in a Red Crescent ambulance to carry out her suicide attack. (See the dispatch of Feb. 6, 2002). The Red Crescent is a part of the International Red Cross, an organization long accused of vicious anti-Israeli bias, and before that of collaborating with the Nazis both before and during the Holocaust, and also after it, when they helped several senior Nazis to escape to South America and elsewhere.

 

PROTESTS AGAINST APPOINTMENT OF “ANTI-SEMITIC” EGYPTIAN CULTURE MINISTER AS UNESCO HEAD

[This is a follow-up to my note of May 18, 2008: “Egypt’s culture minister, tipped to be the next head of UNESCO, says he would burn Israeli books himself.”]

More than a year after I first wrote on this website about concerns that Egyptian culture minister Farouk Hosni might become head of the United Nations Economic, Social and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), the international media are finally reporting on this topic. For example, there was a front page reference in The International Herald Tribune last week.

Three leading Jewish figures have also now urged the international community to prevent Hosni from being appointed. French philosopher Bernard-Henri Levy, Holocaust survivor and writer Elie Wiesel, and French filmmaker Claude Lanzmann pleaded in an open letter to Le Monde last week that the position should not be awarded to Hosni, who has been Egypt’s culture minister for the past 22 years.

BOOK BURNING

In addition to calling for the burning of library books by Israeli authors, Hosni, 71, has accused Jews of “infiltrating” the international media. As culture minister, he has banned many Israeli films (including “peace films” made by left-wing Israelis) from international film festivals in Cairo and forbidden an Israeli bookstand at the international book fair there. He has also stated that Israeli Jews have never contributed to any field of humanity, and instead claim the achievements of others as their own.

However, the Israeli newspaper Ha’aretz reports that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reached a deal with Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak not to block Farouk Hosni’s appointment as UNESCO chief. The paper says that Netanyahu regards Egypt’s support on security issues as too important to challenge Mubarak on the UNESCO issue.

Israeli human rights organization Shurat ha Din (Israel Law Center) has said it will sue Netanyahu in Israel’s Supreme Court if he fails to challenge what they termed “this outrageous appointment”.

It remains to be seen why the UN’s education and cultural organization (which was founded in 1945 with the stated goal of promoting peace and security through international cooperation in the fields of education, science, and culture) would want to appoint Farouk Hosni as its head – unless of course the leading UN movers and shakers share his anti-Semitic views.

 

EGYPT REJECTS U.S. PLAN FOR ARAB-ISRAELI NORMALIZATION

Egypt has rejected an American proposal for gradual normalization between the Arab world and Israel that would have allowed Israeli planes to fly freely through Arab air space.

The idea arose during discussions in Washington last week between Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed Aboul Gheit, Egyptian intelligence chief Omar Suleiman and senior White House and State Department officials, including National Security Advisor James Jones and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

Ha’aretz notes that this implies that Egypt does not see the Arab peace initiative as requiring Arab states to normalize relations with Israel uniformly and simultaneously.

 

MUBARAK COMPETES WITH RAMSES II FOR TIME IN OFFICE

Meanwhile Israel has express anger after it was reported that the Obama administration said he was holding up the supply of 12 military helicopters to Israel whereas the U.S is delivering 12 of the same helicopters (the AH-64D Apache Longbow attack helicopter) to Egypt.

President Mubarak, 81, has now become the third-longest serving Egyptian ruler in the country’s recorded history. He has refused to appoint a vice president. He is thought to be grooming his son Gamal (46) to inherit the “throne.” Over 60% of Egypt’s population was born during Mubarak’s tenure and have not known any other ruler.

 

NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC BLAMES ISRAEL FOR CHRISTIANITY’S DEMISE IN THE MIDDLE EAST

The prestigious magazine National Geographic is being criticized by Jewish and Christian groups for blaming Israel for the decline in Christian populations in the Middle East. The article, written by the magazine’s senior editor for foreign affairs Don Belt, appears in the new June 2009 issue.

The magazine is being accused of whitewashing the central role Islam has played in causing Christianity’s decline in the region, and downplaying the mistreatment, harassment and even murder of Christians by Muslims, for example, in the Lebanese civil war, in Iraq in recent years, and in Gaza and the Palestinian-ruled parts of the West Bank today (many examples of which I have outlined in the past on this website).

Arab Christianity has in fact been on the decline ever since the process of forced conversion of Middle Eastern Christians began soon after the death of Mohammed in the year 632.

The one country in the Middle East where the Christian population is still increasing is Israel. Israel’s Christian population grew from 120,600 in 1995 to 151,600 in 2007, a growth rate of 25 percent. In fact, the Christian growth rate has outpaced the Jewish growth in Israel in the last 12 years. But National Geographic neglects to tell its readers any of this.

 

NASRALLAH: IRAN WILL “GLADLY” SUPPLY HIZBULLAH WITH ARMS

In a rally on Friday leading up to Lebanese elections on June 7, Hizbullah leader Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah announced that Iran would “gladly” supply Lebanon with increased weapons, including an advanced air-defense system, should Hizbullah (which means “Party of God” in Arabic) win the elections. “The Islamic Republic of Iran, and in particular [supreme leader] Ayatollah [Ali] Khamenei, will not hold back on anything,” Nasrallah said.

Nasrallah’s speech was made to a crowd of tens of thousands. It was transmitted from his hiding-place via video link to supporters rallying in southern Beirut and was also broadcast live on local television. Nasrallah has not been seen in public (except by video link) for months.

Hizbullah may well solidify its power base and perhaps establish the next ruling coalition following Lebanon’s parliamentary elections. If it wins, Israeli officials believe the Iranian-backed Shi’ite group will install “acceptable faces” in the next cabinet. However, Israel is concerned that Hizbullah will appoint a defense minister affiliated with the group who will call for the participation of the Lebanese army in a future conflict with Israel. This scenario would be in contrast to the Second Lebanon War in 2006, when the Lebanese army stayed out of the war.

 

DER SPIEGEL STANDS BEHIND ITS REPORT THAT HIZBULLAH KILLED HARIRI

Hizbullah chief Nasrallah has denied a report published in the leading German weekly Der Spiegel that the radical Shi’ite group was directly involved in the 2005 assassination of former Lebanese President Rafik Hariri. Instead he claimed that Zionists had “infiltrated” Der Spiegel.

Der Spiegel’s diplomatic correspondent Erich Follath, who wrote the story, called Nasrallah’s comments nonsense.

In an interview with the London-based Arabic-language Asharq al-Awsat newspaper, Follath said that he examined “countless authenticated documents” while researching the story, and that he “verified every single word before it went to print.”

The magazine said that the United Nations Special Tribunal (which comprises 11 judges including four Lebanese ones) has overwhelming proof that Hizbullah was behind the assassination of Hariri. The UN may be suppressing the information, not wishing to clash with what could soon be a Hizbullah-dominated government in Beirut.

Follath added that he was “far from being a Zionist” and had “criticized Israel numerous times in regards to human rights issues in the occupied territories.”

You can read an English translation of Der Spiegel’s original article on the magazine’s website here.

***

HIZBULLAH ATTACK PREVENTED

The Los Angeles Times reported on Saturday that Iran and Hizbullah were behind a plot to attack the Israeli embassy in Azerbaijan. The newspaper said Azeri police and security services intercepted a fleeing car and captured two suspected Hizbullah militants from Lebanon. The vehicle contained explosives, binoculars, cameras, firearms and reconnaissance photos.

The Azerbaijani investigation concluded that the suspects intended to detonate four car bombs around the embassy simultaneously. Officials said the group had hundreds of pounds of explosives, allegedly supplied by Iranian spies. The Israeli embassy is located in the Hyatt Tower complex, which also houses the Thai and Japanese embassies.

Azerbaijan is a moderate Muslim nation of 8 million people, and has close ties to Israel. Roughly one-third of Iranians are of Azeri ethnicity and Iran is accused of occupying the whole of southern Azerbaijan.

 

ISRAELI-PALESTINIAN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE INAUGURATED

The Israeli-Palestinian Chamber of Commerce and Industry has been inaugurated with an event at the Dan Hotel in Tel Aviv. Among those attending were Israeli President Shimon Peres, Middle East Envoy Tony Blair and his wife Cherie, and various Israeli and Palestinian businessmen. Israel’s deputy foreign minister, from Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beitenu party, gave a speech saying his party would help aid the chamber of commerce, and hoping for better economic ties between Israelis and Palestinians.

***

Contrary to the anti-Israeli propaganda broadcast daily by the likes of the BBC and CNN, life in West Bank isn’t so bad now that Israeli security forces have restored order.

Mahmoud Abbas admitted as much in an interview in The Washington Post on Sunday. He said:

“I will wait for Hamas to accept international commitments. I will wait for Israel to freeze settlements. Until then, in the West Bank we have a good reality … the people are living a normal life.”

***

And The New York Times finally admitted in a news report last week that life in Gaza is better than “nearly all of Africa and most of Asia,” that there is no malnutrition, and that infant mortality rates are as bad or worse in Egypt and Jordan.

 

NETANYAHU SETS UP COMMITTEE TO IMPROVE PALESTINIAN LIFE

On May 27 May, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu convened a “Ministerial Committee on Improving the Situation of the Palestinian Residents of Judea and Samaria”. Netanyahu said that further “advancing economic projects for the Palestinian population would improve the Palestinians’ quality of life and personal welfare” and would be good for both Palestinians and Israelis.

Netanyahu said the committee would inaugurate a series of projects in the Palestinian Authority-run areas in the near future, and that the Israeli government would assist in the implementation of these investments.

Defense Minister Ehud Barak presented economic projects to the committee, including:
* The establishment of an industrial zone in the Mukibleh-Jenin area of northern Samaria
* The establishment of an industrial zone for the processing and marketing of agricultural produce in Jericho
* The establishment of an industrial zone in the Hebron-Tarkumiyeh area; the establishment of an industrial zone in Bethlehem
* Environmental protection projects (waste disposal and sewage treatment sites)
* And the establishment of a new Palestinian city near Ramallah

He noted that approximately 100 projects in the PA areas of Judea and Samaria are currently in various stages of planning.

 

SIX PALESTINIANS KILLED IN HAMAS-PA CLASHES IN WEST BANK

Six Palestinians were killed on Sunday morning in clashes between Palestinian Authority security services and Hamas gunmen in the northern West Bank city of Qalqilya, the Palestinian Ma’an news agency reported.

Three Palestinian Authority security officers and two Hamas members were killed, in addition to the owner of the building that the Hamas men had seized control of.

The clashes erupted late on Saturday night as a group from Hamas’ Al-Qassam Brigades opened fire at PA security services in Qalqilya before they took control of a building in the city.

Hamas’ Al-Aqsa TV declared the Hamas men “martyrs” and no doubt Western news agencies will add them to a Palestinian death toll and then suggest to readers that they were killed by Israel (which is what news agencies do routinely when Palestinians killed fellow Palestinians).

 

SDEROT HIT AGAIN

A rocket fired from Gaza smashed into a family home in the southern Israeli town of Sderot last week, causing extensive damage but no injuries. It was the first for some weeks. This followed a period in the first months of 2009 when 685 rockets and mortars hit southern Israel.

Despite the ongoing rocket fire, Israel continues to transfer humanitarian aid on an almost daily basis into Gaza. For example, on May 21, the day after the attack, Israel transferred 106 trucks carrying food and other supplies, 460,000 liters of fuel and 350 tons natural gas into Gaza.

BOMBING THWARTED

On May 22, 2009, an attempt by terrorists from Gaza to plant a bomb north of Kerem Shalom crossing was thwarted by the Israeli army. The terrorists were armed with explosive devices, AK-47 rifles, hand grenades and military vests.

 

13-YEAR OLD PALESTINIAN STABS ISRAELI SOLDIER

An Israeli soldier was stabbed this morning by a 13-year-old Palestinian boy at the Hawara checkpoint, south of Nablus. The stabbing took place in the “humanitarian lane,” which is meant to be used by Palestinians in need of immediate medical attention and bypasses the inspection in the regular lane.

 

BOTH HAMAS AND FATAH SENTENCE ADDITIONAL PALESTINIANS TO DEATH

The Palestinian Centre for Human Rights (PCHR) reported last week that a military court in Gaza has sentenced another three Palestinians to death by firing squad. They were named as Shadi Khader Deeb, 30, from Beit Lahi, a member of Fatah, detained for political activities; Shadi Abdul Karim al-Madhoun, from Beit Lahia; and Ra’ed Sabri al-Maqqoussi, 29, from Jabalya refugee camp.

The Hamas military prosecutor charged the three defendants with the killing of two journalists, Mohammed Matar Abdu and Suleiman Abdul Rahim al-Ashi, on May 13, 2009, near Sheikh Zayed mosque in the west of Gaza City.

***

In the West Bank, the Fatah-controlled “moderate” Palestinian Authority also last week sentenced to death a Palestinian (Anwar Brigith, 59, from the village of Bet Umar, north of Hebron), for the “crime” of selling land to Jews.

The U.S. State Department and the White House, both eager to portray the PA as a worthy peace-partner and deserving of statehood, has yet to call upon Abbas to pardon Brigith or commute the sentence.

 

MUSLIM RADICALS SUSPECTED OF CHRISTIAN CEMETERY DESECRATION ON WEST BANK

In another press release, the PCHR also strongly condemned the desecration of two cemeteries, one attached to the Orthodox and the other to the Latin (Catholic) church in Jafna, a village north of Ramallah on the West Bank, which occurred in the early hours of last Sunday.

In the Orthodox Church in Jafna, at least 70 graves, as well as some Christian symbols, were desecrated. Local Christians blamed Muslim radicals for the attack. Jafna’s population of 1,600 includes about 900 Christians.

 

HAMAS BLOCKS WOMEN FROM LEAVING GAZA

The Hamas authorities refused to let 85 women leave Gaza on Wednesday May 20. They were turned back at gunpoint. They were scheduled to participate in “activities for the advancement of women” taking place in Ramallah in the West Bank.

Women are increasingly being forced to cover up in Gaza, and men to grow beards. Last month, a senior education official said that from this fall all girls in school over the age of 13 had to wear the jilbab, an encompassing coat-dress that includes hair covering.

 

LIEBERMAN: ISRAEL TO OPEN EMBASSY IN (MUSLIM) TURKMENISTAN

Israel will open an embassy in Ashgabat, the capital of Turkmenistan, for the first time. Turkmenistan is a mainly Muslim Central Asian nation bordering Iran.

The decision was announced following a meeting between Israeli Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman and his Turkmen counterpart Rashid Meredov. The two countries first established ties in the early 1990s, and enjoy a good bilateral relationship. Among other things, Israeli experts have been training Turkmen in the fields of agriculture and public health.

 

HIZBULLAH ALLOWS BEIRUT SYNAGOGUE RESTORATION

Beirut’s historic Magen Avraham synagogue has received permission to be rebuilt. Almost all of Lebanon’s synagogues have been destroyed by local militia in recent decades and most Jews have been killed or fled the country. With only a few Jews left in Lebanon, it is likely to be more of a museum than a working synagogue.

The ruined synagogue is due to be renovated in the coming weeks, after an agreement between various religious denominations and permission from the Lebanese government planning authorities, and an assurance from Hizbullah that they won’t destroy it. Diaspora Jews will fund the project, along with a $150,000 grant from a company privately owned by the family of Rafik Hariri, the former prime minister assassinated in 2005.

“The project received the green light after political officials and community leaders became convinced it could show that Lebanon is an open country, tolerant of minorities and even Jews,” said one official. Lebanon’s Jewish community is one of the country’s 17 officially recognized faiths.

Yitzhak Levanon, an elderly Herzliya-based writer and translator who studied at the American University in Beirut decades ago, told Ha’aretz: “The story of the Jews in Lebanon is over. It cannot be returned.”

 

WOMEN MPS MAKE HISTORY IN KUWAIT

Kuwaitis have voted in their first women MPs. Two women – both U.S.-educated PhDs – were elected to parliament in the oil-rich Gulf state’s second election in less than a year.

The new MPs are Aseel al-Awadhi, professor of political philosophy at Kuwait University, who has a doctorate from the University of Texas at Austin, and Rula Dashti, chairwoman of the Kuwait Economic Society and a leading campaigner for Kuwaiti women’s political rights, who has a doctorate in economics from Johns Hopkins University.

“It’s a victory for Kuwaiti women and a victory for Kuwaiti democracy,” Awadhi said. “This is a major leap forward.”

 

MADONNA TO APPEAR IN ISRAEL’S LARGEST AND MOST EXPENSIVE CONCERT EVER

Madonna has chosen Tel Aviv as the last stop on her “Sticky & Sweet” world tour which began last summer. The show will take place on September 1. In a statement she said Israel was special to her and she was “delighted” to be concluding her tour there.

The show will take place on a specially-built stage and will include advanced visual technology and a 17-member dance group. The equipment required will be brought to Israel in five airplanes.

 

DRY BONES CARTOON: IRANIAN AND ISRAELI STRATEGIC DEFENSES

The cartoonist Yaakov Kirschen, aka “Dry Bones,” whose work I have long admired, has parted company with The Jerusalem Post after decades with the paper. With the permission of Yaakov Kirschen, who is a subscriber to this email list, some “Dry Bones” cartoons will now be carried on my website (as well as on his own).


King of Morocco acknowledges truth of Holocaust (while more Israeli Arabs deny it)

June 01, 2009

* The more concessions Israel makes, the higher the percentage of Israeli Arabs who say Israel has no right to exist
* Arafat’s former office manager: “The Palestinian people is the Jesus Christ of this world, it is crucified forever”
* Scottish church places replica of Israel’s security barrier in entrance to make congregants walk round it before entering
* Racist remarks about Jews and Lehman Brothers made by London university lecturer before the British academic vote to boycott Israelis last week
* Rival Tel Aviv, Gaza beaches established on the banks of the Danube in Vienna

 

CONTENTS

1. King of Morocco acknowledges truth of the Holocaust
2. Over 40% of Israeli Arabs: Holocaust never happened
3. Dramatic decline among Israeli Arabs saying Israel has right to exist
4. Sir Nicholas Winton, the English Schindler, turns 100
5. CAIR questions FBI over NY synagogue plot
6. Arafat’s former office manager: Israel is a cancer and should be destroyed any way possible
7. Edinburgh film festival bows to pressure from Ken Loach’s Israeli boycott
8. York University (Canada) criticized for holding conference questioning Israel’s right to exist
9. Britain’s main academic union again votes to boycott Israelis
10. World Council of Churches declares “Palestine, Israel peace week”
11. Canadian minister: much anti-Zionism is simply anti-Semitism
12. “Next” recalls underwear after complaints over Hitler image
13. Rival Tel Aviv, Gaza beaches established on the Danube
14. Dry Bones cartoon: Obama’s consistency


[All notes below by Tom Gross]

KING OF MOROCCO ACKNOWLEDGES TRUTH OF THE HOLOCAUST

In a largely unreported speech at the Royal Palace in Fez, Morocco’s King Mohammed VI has called the Holocaust “one of the blots, one of the most tragic chapters in modern history.”

“Amnesia has no bearing on my perception of the Holocaust, or on that of my people,” the king is reported as saying.

Holocaust denial, distortion, revisionism and inversion are rife throughout the Arab world and beyond, spurred on by Iranian despot Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and by various Arab newspaper editors, and it is extremely rare for an Arab or Muslim head of state to admit the truth about the world’s worst genocide.

Ahmadinejad has called the systematic murder of six million Jews a “myth,” and his government has sponsored a conference of Holocaust deniers. Meanwhile, Arabic translations of revisionist literature continue to appear on websites throughout the Arab world and some find their way into the state-sponsored Arab press. There has also been a notable increase in Holocaust distortion broadcast in English on media such as the BBC, often in the guise of “program guests” and “experts”.

ALBANIAN AND ARAB RESCUERS

Only a few Muslim majority countries openly acknowledge the Holocaust. Last year, the predominantly Muslim European nation of Albania held its first Holocaust Remembrance Day. (I have previous written extensively about the Albanian efforts, almost alone among the peoples of Europe, to shield its Jewish population from the Nazis, although some Albanian Jews were eventually deported to Bergen-Belsen.)

For writings on how some individual Arabs helped rescue Jews, please see the dispatch of Oct. 11, 2006 titled “The Holocaust’s Arab heroes”.

In denying the Holocaust and forgetting these brave Arabs, today’s Arab leaders are denying their own history. Hizbullah leader Hassan Nasrallah has said that “Jews invented the legend of the Holocaust.” Syrian President Bashar al-Assad told an interviewer that he doesn’t have “any clue how Jews were killed or how many were killed.” And Hamas’s official website calls the Nazi genocide “an alleged and invented story with no basis.”

King Mohammed’s grandfather, Mohammed V, managed to lessen application of the Vichy government’s racist laws toward Moroccan-born Jews. But thousands of European Jewish refugees who reached Morocco were placed in French-controlled slave-labor camps there, as they were in Algeria and Tunisia. Many of these Jews, as well as some Arabs and Berbers, were forced to work in horrific conditions, with insufficient food and in unbearable heat.

 

OVER 40% OF ISRAELI ARABS: HOLOCAUST NEVER HAPPENED

Only 53% of Israeli Arabs recognize Israel’s right to exist, while 40.5% believe the Holocaust never happened, a new poll conducted by Haifa University reveals. The results, which were prominently reported in the Israeli press, have dismayed and shocked Israeli Jews as well as moderate Israeli Arabs. The survey was supervised by Professor Sami Smooha, who has been monitoring Arab-Jewish relations in Israel for 35 years.

As Israel has made concessions and withdrawn from more territory since the Oslo accords began to be implemented in the mid-1990s, increasing numbers of Israeli Arabs, perhaps sensing Israeli weakness and retreat, have adopted more militant views. In 1995, only 7% of Arab-Israelis said the State of Israel had no right to exist, compared to 47% now.

DRAMATIC DECLINE AMONG THOSE SAYING ISRAEL HAS RIGHT TO EXIST

In a similar poll in 2003, before Israel’s withdrawal from Gaza, Israel’s perceived loss at the hands of Hizbullah in 2006, and the wave of “successful” Hamas rocket attacks on Israel in 2007-8, 81% of Israeli Arabs said Israel had a right to exist.

Israeli Arabs are also being influenced by the rise in Holocaust denial throughout the Arab world. Whereas, 40.5% now claim that the Holocaust never happened, in 2006 28% denied the Holocaust.

In the new poll, 47% of Israeli Arabs object to having a Jewish neighbor, while in 2003 the figure stood at 27.2%.

The poll was based on face-to-face interviews with a representative sample of 700 male and female Arab, Druze and Bedouin citizens of Israel.

 

SIR NICHOLAS WINTON, THE ENGLISH SCHINDLER, TURNS 100

Sir Nicholas Winton celebrated his hundredth birthday on May 19. In the last months of peace in 1939, when there were already clear signs that Jews would be targeted for death, Winton, then a 29-year-old stockbroker’s clerk, traveled to Prague, set up an office there, and organized eight trains that brought 669 Czech Jewish children to London.

Winton, who was not someone of special means or influence, arranged for sponsors, papers, and funding. The ninth train, which was due to leave on September 3, the day war was declared, was cancelled and the 250 children who would have been on that train were murdered.

Following a campaign by Holocaust survivors living in Britain, Queen Elizabeth II knighted Winton in 2003, and the Czechs proposed him for the Nobel Peace Prize. A Jewish organization in London is holding a special concert for him this month to mark his 100th birthday. I met him a few years ago when he revisited Prague to receive an award from Vaclav Havel and he remained in exceptionally good heath and cheer for his age. He told me that he rejects the comparison with Schindler. “My life was never in risk, unlike Schindler’s. I was back in London by the time the war started. Anybody could and should have done what I did,” he said.

A commemorative sculpture of Winton by Venezuelan-born artist Flor Kent (who is a subscriber to this email list) will be unveiled at Prague’s main train station this fall. Although he comes from a German-Jewish background (his original family name is Wertheim) Winton does not regard himself as Jewish.

 

CAIR QUESTIONS FBI OVER NY SYNAGOGUE PLOT

It didn’t take long for the revisionism to begin. The Washington-based Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) initially applauded the FBI and the other law enforcement agencies that took part in the investigation that uncovered a plot by four New York converts to Islam to attack worshippers at two Jewish synagogues in the Bronx last month.

Now CAIR, a prominent American Islamic advocacy group, have started to criticize the FBI and cast doubts on the veracity of their claims. In their press release they even placed the word “plot” in italics:

“This entire scheme seems to be the product of sending yet another FBI agent provocateur into an American mosque to instigate a ‘plot’ that would likely never have been hatched but for the rhetorical and financial inducements of the government informant,” CAIR claimed.

The authorities said the suspects had planned to detonate cars with plastic explosives at the synagogues. They were particularly furious that one of the synagogues has a woman rabbi.

***

Brazilian police, who thwarted an attempt to bomb two synagogues in the southern Brazilian city of Porto Alegre on May 22, 2009, said they are investigating whether the neo-Nazi group behind the attempted terror attack has international ties. “I have no doubt that we have aborted a major tragedy,” police commander Paulo Cesar Jardim said.

 

ARAFAT’S FORMER OFFICE MANAGER: ISRAEL IS A CANCER AND SHOULD BE DESTROYED ANY WAY POSSIBLE

Yasser Arafat’s former office manager, known as “Umm Nasser,” has given an interview to Mihwar TV in which she called for the destruction of Israel, referring to the world’s only Jewish-majority state as a “cancer”. “One day Allah will give us a cure to rid ourselves of the cancer called Israel once and for all,” she said.

She also said that Arafat’s widow Suha had “only” received $10 million, out of a total of $900 million that Arafat had placed in European bank accounts (almost all of it foreign aid money, including American and European taxpayers’ funds donated to Arafat’s Palestinian Authority).

“What I also know for sure,” she added, “ is that she receives a monthly stipend from brother Abu Mazen [the nom de guerre of Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, who also continues to be given money by the U.S. and other governments], as a pension to which she is entitled as the widow of Abu Ammar [Arafat’s nom de guerre]. She gets a stipend for her monthly expenses, which she spends on herself, her daughters, and their life in exile. She receives a monthly allowance of $25,000. I know this for a fact.”

Hundreds of millions of dollars disappeared following Arafat’s death. It is thought that it was divided up between senior PLO officials.

Arafat’s aide also said in the interview that “The Palestinian people is the Jesus Christ of this world, it is crucified forever.”

(Translations courtesy of MEMRI, the senior staff of which subscribe to this email list.)

 

EDINBURGH FILM FESTIVAL BOWS TO PRESSURE FROM KEN LOACH’S ISRAELI BOYCOTT

The prestigious Edinburgh International Film Festival has returned a grant from the Israeli embassy in London, after bowing to pressure from film director Ken Loach. Loach had threatened the festival organizers with a widespread boycott if they accepted the Israeli embassy grant to help an Israeli film due to be shown at the festival. In March Loach called Israel’s action in Gaza in January “one of the great crimes the world has known” and justified the rise in anti-Semitism that he said was a direct consequence of Israel’s “crimes”.

Israeli Ambassador Ron Prosor said: “Rather than encourage an open dialogue through cultural exchange, the festival is promoting bigotry by denying the British public the opportunity to hear all points of view. It is regrettable that the organizers would choose to boycott Israel and compromise their artistic integrity.”

The £300 grant was to enable Tel Aviv University graduate Tali Shalom Ezer to fly to Scotland for a screening of her film “Surrogate”. Ezer’s film is a romance set in a sex-therapy clinic, and makes no reference to war or politics. It recently won an award for Best Film at Israel’s International Women’s Film Festival.

In a statement, Festival representatives said that Loach spoke “on behalf of the film community, therefore we will be returning the funding issued by the Israeli embassy.” (It is not clear what evidence they have that Loach speaks “on behalf of the film community.”)

“AN APPALLING DECISION”

This contradicted an earlier statement, reprinted on a number of websites, in which the EIFF said: “Not accepting support from one particular country would set a dangerous precedent by politicizing what is a wholly cultural and artistic mission. We are firm believers in free cultural exchange, and do not feel that ghettoizing filmmakers or restricting their ability to communicate artistically on the basis that they come from a troubled territory is of any benefit.

“Nor do we see that filmmakers are voices of their government. It is particularly important in situations of strife and conflict that artists be supported in having their voices heard.”

Sir Jeremy Isaacs, a leading figure in the world of British film and television, told The Times (of London) that the festival’s organizers made “an appalling decision” and urged them to reconsider.

Isaacs said Loach’s act of censorship was particularly hypocritical as Loach has always been critical of censorship of his own work.

Meanwhile, the Edinburgh festival includes the world premiere of “Nakba,” (the Arabic for “catastrophe”) a Belgian documentary which “tells the story of the Palestinian exodus”.

 

YORK UNIVERSITY CONFERENCE QUESTIONING ISRAEL’S RIGHT TO EXIST CRITICIZED

Canadian Jewish human rights have strongly criticized a conference due to be held this month at York University in Toronto, which will question Israel’s right to exist. Of additional concern is a statement by York University President Mamdouh Shoukri that the conference will form part of the university’s publicly advertised 50th anniversary celebrations.

“This sham of a conference, which questions the Jewish state’s very right to exist, promises to be a veritable ‘who’s who’ of anti-Israel propagandists,” said Frank Dimant, B’nai Brith Canada’s Executive Vice President. “This is not an issue of academic freedom, despite the great lengths the university is going to try to paint it in that light. It is purely and simply about delegitimizing the Jewish state and promoting hatred of its supporters.”

“We call on York University professors, students, benefactors, alumni to demand that York cease becoming a breeding ground for encouraging anti-Jewish hatred and instead, use the opportunity of its 50th anniversary to return to its roots and celebrate tolerance and respect for all.”

 

BRITAIN’S MAIN ACADEMIC UNION AGAIN VOTES TO BOYCOTT ISRAELIS

Members of Britain’s University and College Union (UCU) defied a warning from their leadership at their annual congress last week, and passed a motion to boycott all Jewish Israeli academics.

The union’s executive had warned that the resolution would be declared null and void following legal advice that it would contravene British race discrimination laws.

Israeli universities are some of the most diverse in the Middle East and include a substantial number of Arab students.

Ha’aretz reports today that lecturers made racist remarks at a meeting held beforehand. Among them, Sean Wallis, secretary for the Union’s branch at University College London, reportedly told 80 people before the vote at a “fringe meeting” for the British Committee for Universities for Palestine that the position that a boycott was illegal was attributable to lawyers backed by people with “bank balances from Lehman Brothers that can’t be tracked down.” (A widespread anti-Semitic conspiracy theory in the Arab world, which Wallis may know about, holds that before Lehman Brothers collapsed last year, “Jews at Lehman Brothers sent $400 billion to Israel.”)

 

WORLD COUNCIL OF CHURCHES DECLARES “PALESTINE, ISRAEL PEACE WEEK”

The World Council of Churches will mark “World Week for Peace in Palestine, Israel” from June 4-10. But while the goal of the week is to “pray, educate and advocate for peace,” virtually all of the efforts center on criticism of Israeli policies.

The council’s website “calls participants to seek justice for Palestinians so that both Israelis and Palestinians can finally live in peace,” wording critics say omits half of the conflict.

A participating church in Edinburgh, Scotland, will require attendees to walk around a replica of Israel’s security barrier before entering the church. Efforts in Israel and the Palestinian areas will center on protests at checkpoints, refugee camps and Jewish communities in post-1967 territories. At least 20 nations will be represented in the World Council activities.

Meanwhile the churches are ignoring the other 130 conflicts around the world, many of which are far bloodier than the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

 

CANADIAN MINISTER: MUCH ANTI-ZIONISM IS SIMPLY ANTI-SEMITISM

Jason Kenney, Canada’s minister of citizenship, immigration and multiculturalism, has publicly identified the “new anti-Semitism” emanating from an alliance of Western far leftists and Islamic extremists, for what it is.

He said last week: “Israel is not perfect, obviously. Israelis should be the first to admit that. But we acknowledge that so much of the criticism Israel faces is motivated by a dangerous form of anti-Semitism that tries to hide behind anti-Zionism and is represented by a coalition of the far left in the West with extreme currents of jihadi Islam that seek the destruction of the Jewish nation. They seem to believe that the Jewish people are the only people in the world that don’t have a right to a homeland.”

Why won’t other Western politicians admit that?

 

“NEXT” RECALLS UNDERWEAR AFTER COMPLAINTS OVER HITLER IMAGE

The British retailing giant “Next” has recalled men’s underwear after two customers complained that the image on the underwear resembled the Nazi leader saluting as planes passed overhead.

The image was among a series of cartoons on the underwear. A spokesman for “Next” told The Sun newspaper it was withdrawing all remaining 5,200 pairs of the underwear.

 

RIVAL TEL AVIV, GAZA BEACHES ESTABLISHED ON THE DANUBE

A “Tel Aviv-style” beach has been set up on the right bank of the river running through the Austrian capital Vienna. The public relations operation, of Israel origin, is meant to promote Israeli leisure activity. Pro-Palestinian groups have put up a “Gaza Beach” on the opposite river bank complete with negative images of Israel.

(There is some more information on the Tel Aviv Danube beach here and here.)

 

DRY BONES CARTOON: OBAMA’S CONSISTENCY

The cartoonist Yaakov Kirschen, aka “Dry Bones,” whose work I have long admired, has parted company with The Jerusalem Post after decades with the paper. With the permission of Yaakov Kirschen, who is a subscriber to this email list, some “Dry Bones” cartoons will now be carried on my website (as well as on his own). The first is below.